The only way the Kings don't match would be if a team went over probably $10 million a year. If they do that, the Kings would get 2 1st round picks, a 2nd, and a 3rd. Here are the teams that could give those picks up. Totally unclear on whether or not their cap space would allow for it.
View attachment 891097
A couple of those teams might be worth getting the 1sts from but in all likelihood, the Kings would lose out.
The only way the Kings don't match is if a team gives up $11.5 million a year and there isn't a team in the league doing that because they'd be giving up 4 1sts and QB isn't worth the cap hit or draft capital.
There's no world where the Kings don't sign him.