Just based on where each team is at right now and how both sides have played head-to-head, we will lose to Tampa, beat Florida, lose to Montreal, and split Columbus with the win coming at home. There is a small chance we go 2-0 against Columbus because of how annoying it would be to help Montreal that much.
That's 5 games. If we pick up 4 points, especially with 2 of the points being head-to-head with a team fighting for a wild card spot, we are pretty close to getting in. 91 points is usually the magic number, but everybody is so equally hopeless this year that it will probably be like 87. All these teams fighting for WC spots are getting at best a point per game, and there are only 8 games left for most and we have a 7-8 point buffer on everybody whose outside. Two more wins, especially if one comes against Columbus, might even get us in.
I want the WC1 spot to face the Leafs, but if Tampa takes the division, falling to the WC2 spot might be a good thing because we have matched up better against Washington this year than we have against Tampa, regardless of which of the two is the better team. It also hilariously puts us in the Metro seeding, which should make all the 15 year old fans from Twitter and Reddit happy because it means there will be no chance of Toronto or Canadiens fans invading unless we both make it to the conference final.
