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Bruins Bold Predictions for 2021

The young D show promise... and get moved as part of a package for more seasoned D like OEL at the TDL with the money the Bruins are banking by going into the season with cap space.

Studnicka and Frederic become roster mainstays.

Bjork and Ritchie do not.

Vladar plays at least 5 games.

Gryz/Carlo is outstanding.

The secondary scoring is actually pretty solid!

The PK takes a hit but is still above average.

McAvoy wins 7th player because fans are jerks, but it should have gone to Gryz.

Gryz then is drafted by Seattle
 
Studnicka takes the next step and the Bs DO NOT re-sign Krejci and Tuukka.

also, Lauzon shows up and becomes a top 4 mainstay
 
Krejci has a career year.
I think think he's going to have a career year (points per game) for 3 reasons; 1) He is in a contract year and will be super motivated. 2) For the first time in 5 years is going to have two NHL caliber wingers. He is going to see a lot more PP time, and it's going to be time with the first unit because of Pasta's absence and because Cassidy wants to go back to the playoff PP that saw him on the right elbow with Marchand in front.

Carlo establishes himself as a dominant shutdown D.
I think Carlo is ready to take another step in his development. He's going to take on a lot of Z's responsibilities as a shut down guy and a PK guy, and I think he's
really going to benefit from Grzelcyk's game. Gryz brings lots of the good things that Krug brought (breakouts and transitions) but Gryz is a better skater and a better defender. Plus, Carlo is also in a contract year.

Grzelcyk proves he's the real deal.
I think Gryz establishes himself as a legit top4 D and one of the best values in the NHL. I won't be surprised if Gryz and Carlo become the top shut down pair freeing up McAvoy to be a bit more offensive.


Less "bold" predictions

Ritchie loses his job.

I think they give Ritchie every opportunity to do well but I think he ultimately comes up short because he can't play with the pace/energy Cassidy demands. I also think that once Bjork eventually gets his shot Cassidy will want to keep him in the lineup for his speed, play making and net positive impact at both ends.

Frederic becomes a fan favorite.
Fast, physical, eager to drop the gloves and more talented than he gets credit for. Frederic is going to bring some much needed snarl to the roster.

Zboril doesn't become a regular.
I think they keep him around the team, but I don't think he plays consistently. He may just be a slow learner/developer and there's not thing wrong with having him practice and watch/studay the games. I think they'll work him in here and there, but ultimately he ends up with around 15-20 games played.

Senyshyn gets waived.
I don't see him leapfrogging Studnicka, Kase, Smith or Pasta. I think they'll try to keep him on the taxi squad but I believe that requires waivers.
 
Yet another analytical model that really likes the Bruins:

Boston Bruins 2020-21 season preview

"According to this model, a top 10 team in the league carries about 20 wins worth of value from its players. For the Bruins to get there, they only need their top line, David Krejci, Charlie McAvoy, Tuukka Rask and one other player from the “second line / top pair” tier. Everyone else can be worth zero wins, and the Bruins would theoretically be fine. They wouldn’t be a contender, they would be extremely top heavy, but those seven players should be enough on their own to form a strong team."​

Other highlights from the article:

* Bruins are the favorites in the East, and a top three team in the league.

* Forwards are elite, despite the fact that he thinks the 4th line is the worst in the league. Best 1st line in the league, best 3rd line in the league (Ritchie-Coyle-Smith), decent 2nd line with the potential to be more if DeBrusk and Kase have bounce back seasons.

* Defensemen as a whole are average, but nearly all of their value comes from McAvoy and Grzelcyk. He LOVES McAvoy.
 
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Frederic - Kuraly - Wagner show shades of Merlot
Rask shows no sign of slowing down, leads league in sv percentage
Moore impresses although not always in line-up
JDB continues to be hot and cold but lights it up in the playoffs.
Kase ends up with 22 goals in 54 games.
Marchand doesn't get suspended at all this season
Miller stays healthy. *KNOCK ON WOOD
 
Going to throw out 3 player production predictions and see how I do:

Brad Marchand - 25G/45A
Jack Studnicka - 8G/28A
Nick Ritchie - 9G/16A
 
From Down Goes Brown

Down Goes Brown: NHL bottom feeders to contenders, where each team will end up

Boston Bruins
Last season: 44-14-12, +60, lost in the second round

Their offseason in one sentence: They lost Torey Krug, but it should be OK as long as Zdeno Chara is around to … oh no.

Why they’re here: Because they were really, really good last year, and I think that gives them enough cushion to survive losing two good blueliners and a month or so of David Pastrnak. Tuukka Rask should silence any critics after his sudden playoff opt-out, and Charlie McAvoy should have the breakthrough they’re counting on. Am I nervous about a tough East Division that seems to have at least five playoff-worthy teams and only four spots? I am, but I don’t think the Bruins are the team left without a chair when the music stops, and they’ll be a scary out in the playoffs for anyone they run into.
 

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