LEAFS GDT Atlantic Division - Race to the 1st

Excellent point. I can see Brady and the Sens trying to get under his skin and taking a few runs at him and make life difficult for him (hell I would if I were Green). Break his will, and you may not need that shutdown C.
Ottawa (and more specifically Brady) is going to run around like chickens with their heads cut off trying to hit everything that moves. I honestly think they may even overdo it and get too overzealous in the first couple games. Other than Perron and Giroux this is a team full of guys who have never been here, and are going to feel the need to go absolutely bonkers.

Need to find a way to prey on that if they put themselves out of position or take needless penalties.
 
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Seems odd that you get seemingly offended if someone says something off the cusp about Marner, but constantly have a smartass comment about Nylander.

Both had better show up come playoff time if this team is going to go anywhere.
I was asking about the injuries to the two defensemen?
Yes, hopefully both defensemen are able to go in the playoffs.
 
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Ottawa (and more specifically Brady) is going to run around like chickens with their heads cut off trying to hit everything that moves. I honestly think they may even overdo it and get too overzealous in the first couple games. Other than Perron and Giroux this is a team full of guys who have never been here, and are going to feel the need to go absolutely bonkers.

Need to find a way to prey on that if they put themselves out of position or take needless penalties.

It's not difficult for Brady to blow a gasket and wind up in the box or tossed from the game. The Leafs should exploit that.
 
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Ottawa (and more specifically Brady) is going to run around like chickens with their heads cut off trying to hit everything that moves. I honestly think they may even overdo it and get too overzealous in the first couple games. Other than Perron and Giroux this is a team full of guys who have never been here, and are going to feel the need to go absolutely bonkers.

Need to find a way to prey on that if they put themselves out of position or take needless penalties.
Cozens is also an enigma and not even close to the level of JT.
 
I would obviously rather play Ottawa in the first round than Florida but I would be lying if I said I wasn’t a little worried. We’ve been ass against the Sens for a little while now for whatever reason.

I am worried about playing any team, to be honest. How can you not with this core's history? If they can't beat the Sens, this team/core is definitely not as great as we think.
 
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I went to Vegas years ago with some friends and one of them had this brilliant idea on how he could win at roulette.

It's the double-down theory whereby you bet $5 on black (or red) and if you win, great you're up $5. If you lose you double the bet on the next round. So if you lose one but win the 2nd you win $5 net (bet $5 + $10, win $20). So even you lose 5 in a row but win on the 6th, you still win $5 (do the math, it checks).

His theory was that in order for him to fail he'd have to lose something like 9 or 10 in a row - in which case he'd have to bet thousands at a time, all to win $5. And the odds of it being red 10 times in a row is ridiculous, so it sounds like a sure thing.

But I warned him repeatedly not to do it. The short version: Odds on paper are meaningless. Guess what happened? A few of us played blackjack while he did his thing. And within an hour we saw him nearly lose his s**t at the roulette table. It went red 9 times in a row. He was down $2500 and had to get an advance on his credit card. If he lost the next one ... Thankfully for him, he won and that was the end of that.

Sorry for the way too long story to prove a point but 2% is completely irrelevant. And to further drive home the point, what do you think the odds were on Toronto losing the series to the Habs when they were up 3-1? 10%? 5%? 2%? Or Edmonton even getting to game 7 down 3-0 last year?

Lesson being don't ever point to something like long odds and assume something will happen that hasn't. Real life doesn't know or care about odds. Of course Toronto will likely get the division but until it happens, they haven't.

/sermon

That's also why the roullette table has a green zero and double zero for that exact reason.

The odds aren't 50:50 anymore so the double down system will fail far more often than it will win. Why do you think casino's allow you do it. Because the odds are heavily stacked in their favour.

Any idiot wanting to risk thiusands of dollars just to win $5.00 deserves whatever comes his way.

Edit: flip a coin a hundred times and count how many sequences of heads and tails greater than seven... it might surprise you to learn there will be several... including at least one about 10 or 12 in a row.

Considering a roulette table is spun about 100 times every hour it doesn't take long to go broke using the double down system.
 
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I would obviously rather play Ottawa in the first round than Florida but I would be lying if I said I wasn’t a little worried. We’ve been ass against the Sens for a little while now for whatever reason.
Playoffs are different. Ottawa is on a nice little run and will play hard but overall they’re not a great team and they are inexperienced.

Leafs should own them and Matthews and Marner should have zero issues racking up points for once.

If we lose, it would be right up there will that Montreal series but we are a much better team this time around in my opinion.
 
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Excellent point. I can see Brady and the Sens trying to get under his skin and taking a few runs at him and make life difficult for him (hell I would if I were Green). Break his will, and you may not need that shutdown C.
Very true. I can see Domi getting suspended pretty quickly.
 
Playoffs are different. Ottawa is on a nice little run and will play hard but overall they’re not a great team and they are inexperienced.

Leafs should own them and Matthews and Marner should have zero issues racking up points for once.

If we lose, it would be right up there will that Montreal series but we are a much better team this time around in my opinion.

If the D keeps tight as it's been lately, the Sens will have difficulty.

What's the over/under on how many dives Stutzle pulls during the series?
 
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both ottawa and leafs fans should know quite well regular season doesn't matter considering how badly the 2000s leafs played against the sens in regular season but how invisible ottawa became in the playoffs

with that said, ottawa is a big threat imo. leafs do not do well against speedy teams in general.

generally lines 1/2 should be fine but the D is gonna be rough because we have no mobility
 
both ottawa and leafs fans should know quite well regular season doesn't matter considering how badly the 2000s leafs played against the sens in regular season but how invisible ottawa became in the playoffs

with that said, ottawa is a big threat imo. leafs do not do well against speedy teams in general.

generally lines 1/2 should be fine but the D is gonna be rough because we have no mobility
At the same time, there is a lot less time and space in the playoffs and many of the Sens players do not have that experience or understanding yet.
 
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Oh god. Going from watching Tampa flop in the playoffs to Stutzle flop around in the playoffs is going to be frustrating for sure
Hoping the refs put their whistles away. Ottawa is not a big TV viewership draw, nor are they the Bruins or a Southern American team backed by Bettman, so they hopefully will not receive the same beneficial treatment.
 
Oh god. Going from watching Tampa flop in the playoffs to Stutzle flop around in the playoffs is going to be frustrating for sure

Not that I have any confidence in the officials, but they better be on the lookout. I'm sure Stutzle will put out his best dives for the series.
 
Prefacing this with: this isn't me saying the Sens will be easy and that we're guaranteed a win.

One of the reasons I don't fear the Sens is they can't "Cancel out Matty" because they don't have the elite defensive C that our previous playoff opponents have had. They don't have a Danault, Cirelli/Point. Barkov/Lundell, Bergeron, who they can hard match.

Ottawa will be more of a fight-fire-with-fire sort of matchup for our top line. This also means that if Matthews/Marner/etc. don't produce you can't really blame anyone but them.
Also, Unlike Tampa (Hedman), Boston(Chara), Montreal (Weber ), Florida (Ekblad) and Washington (Orlov or Niskanen) Ottawa doesn’t have that big and elite physical shutdown pairing who can match up well against Matthews. In the Boston series, Everytime Matthews or Kessel were on the ice you also saw Chara and Bergeron line playing against them. It was systematic.

Ottawa defense is solid as a whole but they don’t have that dominant and definite shutdown pairing that can cause trouble and give fits to our top line of knies/matthews/marner.
 

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