I don’t have access to the athletic or hockey viz playoff percentages, but moneypuck has the Flyers at 39% and a projected 90 point finish. They’ve been higher on Flyers all year, and even had them at over 50% around Thanksgiving. That 39% is 9th in the conference in percentage if I’m not mistaken, which would have them as the highest point total to miss the playoffs in the East this year. Pittsburgh they have at 82 points I think, with like an 8% chance.
I don’t understand why they’re that high on them. Last year they had pretty good numbers, even if they overachieved. This year they do not.
And they don’t have a hot goalie or anything. In fact, their goalie numbers have been so bad that maybe some of these projections are based on a market correction in goaltending numbers actually improving going forward. But there’s nothing really redeeming about their team or underlying numbers at all this year, like there was last year. I think Pittsburgh should finish ahead of them. I could see them with 90 points and the Flyers with 82.