Around the NHL — Episode XLXVII

Not having Norris & Pinto would probably have been a large factor in that scoring chance differential.

The idea of moving Norris to get out of his contract does have appeal, but if he’s gone, we’ll need a good, viable replacement. Right now, one of our strengths is having 3 good centers. Pinto could move up, but we’d still need another center. It sounds easy enough to move him to fee up some salary, but ending up with an equivalent (or better) replacement is the much more challenging & harder to execute part.

Moving Norris for spare parts would be a mistake imo. He's a solid two way forward, getting well above average QOC and 39% oz starts. We don't really have anyone that can absorb those mins especially since Pinto is already getting tough mins, and you aren't getting someone for cheap.
 
Moving Norris for spare parts would be a mistake imo. He's a solid two way forward, getting well above average QOC and 39% oz starts. We don't really have anyone that can absorb those mins especially since Pinto is already getting tough mins, and you aren't getting someone for cheap.
2015: White, Chlapic
2016: Brown, Dahlin
2017: Bowers
2018: Gruden
2019: Lodin, Kastelic
2020: Daoust
2021: Ostapchuk
2022: Pettersson, Halliday, Dyck
2023: Beckner

There is a price to be paid for Melnyk/Dorion Those two were not free.

3 success at center (Pinto, Greig, Stutzle). 14 misses. Even Greig is hardly a full time center. 14 f***ing misses. Granted only 6 of the misses were in R1 and R2.

The Euge and Pete from Orleans are the gifts that keep on giving.
 
2015: White, Chlapic
2016: Brown, Dahlin
2017: Bowers
2018: Gruden
2019: Lodin, Kastelic
2020: Daoust
2021: Ostapchuk
2022: Pettersson, Halliday, Dyck
2023: Beckner

There is a price to be paid for Melnyk/Dorion Those two were not free.

3 success at center (Pinto, Greig, Stutzle). 14 misses. Even Greig is hardly a full time center. 14 f***ing misses. Granted only 6 of the misses were in R1 and R2.

The Euge and Pete from Orleans are the gifts that keep on giving.
The expected hit rate after the first round is less than 6%, it's a bit better in just the 2nd round, but nothing like the 1st Rd.. The reality is that outside of the first round, our expected hits at C was less than 1 based on the picks we had, and we should have found about 3 centers in the first round.

That's based on league wide data set on drafts 2000 to 2010 for what what teams should expect in terms of chance of hitting.

Our drafting was average, nothing more, nothing less, though I'd argue we made some avoidable mistakes in the first round that kept us from being above average.
 
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2015: White, Chlapic
2016: Brown, Dahlin
2017: Bowers
2018: Gruden
2019: Lodin, Kastelic
2020: Daoust
2021: Ostapchuk
2022: Pettersson, Halliday, Dyck
2023: Beckner

There is a price to be paid for Melnyk/Dorion Those two were not free.

3 success at center (Pinto, Greig, Stutzle). 14 misses. Even Greig is hardly a full time center. 14 f***ing misses. Granted only 6 of the misses were in R1 and R2.

The Euge and Pete from Orleans are the gifts that keep on giving.
How does that compare to expected for the NHL drafting by round?
 

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