rt
Clean Hits on Substack
I’d say this is mostly true. But I think we need to make a distinction between the Coyotes and their fans.As I said "There's not a trade available with the Coyotes that Florida and Arizona agrees to. Lundell is off the table. The 'Yotes fans don't want Knight."
I think Knight is the right value, but wrong position for Arizona right now.
My sense here is that every JC to FLA trade is going in a circle: Arizona fans want Lundell; Florida fans say no; Florida fans offer Knight+2 other firsts and Arizona says no.
For what it's worth, I'm not sure there's a player in the league that I'd trade Lundell for with considering contract status and Florida's roster.
I wouldn’t trade Chychrun for Knight, Samoskevich, and the ‘23 1st. And I don’t think you’ll find many AZ fans who would. Like basically none. Like less than 5% if you polled them. The reason is simply that Knight is a goalie prospect. Anyone who’s followed NHL prospects very closely for ten or twenty years knows what that means.
But Arizona scouts aren’t talking about generalized policies or odds on goalie prospects, on the whole. They’re talking about a very specific goalie prospect. It’s possible, even likely, they’ve watched 80% of every game Knight has ever played in D1 and pro. It’s possible, even likely, they know extremely well the people that know Knight better than anyone.
Generally speaking, it’s very stupid to draft goalies in the 1st round. Generally speaking, it’s very stupid to trade 1st round picks for goalies. Generally speaking, it’s very stupid to accept a goalie in a package, in lieu of a 1st. And this is a pretty obvious and easily probable truth, generally speaking.
However, one can agree with all of that, and still also believe that Spencer Knight is a future elite goaltender, and franchise player, akin to Carey Price. It’s not mutually exclusive. You can have the opinion that most of the time it’s very stupid to give up tremendous value for goalies, while at the same time having the opinion that Spencer Knight will be a top 5 goalie in the world for many, many years to come.
Coyotes fans aren’t qualified to hold this opinion. The Coyotes brass might be. And I’d the Coyotes brass does hold this opinion, it’s very possible they would trade Chychrun for Knight, Samoskevich and a 1st.