Speculation: Are we still in a playoff spot on January 8th

How to the Senators do after the 9 game road trip?

  • 9 wins

    Votes: 4 7.4%
  • 6-8 wins

    Votes: 11 20.4%
  • 3-5 wins

    Votes: 34 63.0%
  • 2 wins

    Votes: 1 1.9%
  • 1 win

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 4 wins, 2 OTL

    Votes: 4 7.4%

  • Total voters
    54

HoweHullOrr

Registered User
Oct 3, 2013
11,953
2,429
4sburg starts vs the Wings. I would not go that way but if the team plays like they did the last 2 it wouldn't matter.
We really need him not to give up a weak goal though and he often does
Yikes. So, Forsberg starts then. That answers a question that I had & I hoped somehow that it was going to Leevi that would get the start.
 
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Cosmix

HFBoards Sponsor
Sponsor
Jul 24, 2011
19,771
7,526
Ottawa
Absolutely. I am just throwing up an alternative reality to the sky is falling narrative of some on here.

We may not see a WC spot the rest of the season, but then again, we may find ourselves in 3rd place in a couple of weeks.

Leevi and Forsberg will be critical pieces, as will Stu. They need to be average and Stu needs to get unstuck and start driving some offence again.

Big time test, and the next 3 games hold some significance.
Put the Tkachuk - Stutzle line back together with Batherson/Giroux at RW. Or get him some offensively skilled fast skating linemates!
 

OD99

Registered User
Oct 13, 2012
5,399
4,680
Put the Tkachuk - Stutzle line back together with Batherson/Giroux at RW. Or get him some offensively skilled fast skating linemates!
He needs something to get him going.

#1 on the list is to shoot the FREAKING PUCK!!

No shots in his last 3 games is unacceptable. I don't know if he is injured again, but he is loathe to shoot for weeks now.
 

Tnuoc Alucard

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Sep 23, 2015
8,420
2,008
No.


1736313306617.png
 

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,531
10,386
Unsurprisingly, we shat the bed once the playoffs became a more real possibility.

At least we didn't lose 5-0 to Chicago this time!

There is also a lot of runway left. The battle for wild cards in the East is going to be insane.
 

Comely

Registered User
Nov 26, 2007
2,265
320
Cambridge
we are 7th in the conference by points percentage so we just need to win the games in hand at the same rate we have been going. More home games then road for the rest of the year as well.

It was a disappointing end to the road trip, early success got my expectations up but we are still in a better position then we have been for years and a greater then 50% odds of success.
 

Tnuoc Alucard

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Sep 23, 2015
8,420
2,008
we are 7th in the conference by points percentage so we just need to win the games in hand at the same rate we have been going. More home games then road for the rest of the year as well.

It was a disappointing end to the road trip, early success got my expectations up but we are still in a better position then we have been for years and a greater then 50% odds of success.


You’re correct, the Sens are in a better position than they have been for quite a while, and more home games than road should work in their favour…… but injuries to the Defensive Corp and the Starting goaltender will make playing at the current P% that much more difficult……
 

DueDiligence

Registered User
Nov 16, 2013
8,869
5,245
Scoring over the road trip: 21 goals in 9 games.
Greig with 4, BT and Pinto with 3, Stutzle Giroux Cousins and Norris with 2 and Chabot, Gregor and Sanderson 1 each.
Batherson and Norris no even strength goal over those games( Norris had shortie and a PP goals) Stutzle 1 even strength goal .
Easy to see where the problem is right now.
 

DueDiligence

Registered User
Nov 16, 2013
8,869
5,245
One thing in the Sens favour is that they have played 22 away games and only 17 home games. This is by far the biggest discrepancy for any eastern team. And virtually every team has a better record at home than away.
If the Sens can keep up their current points pace the team will remain close to a playoff spot. Come April they should pull away with 8 of their last 9 games being at home.
 

Golden_Jet

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
27,533
14,571
NHL does NOT use P% to rank teams…and the NHL never ends a season without ALL teams playing the exact number of games…..
Exactly, that’s why best to use P%.
I don’t even use that tbh.
I just look at the win loss column differentials, as that works out perfect when ranking teams. Ignore the loser points.

Here is the standings ranked by points percentage (which I agree number doesn’t mean much, as what does .577 mean compared to .534)
Just easy to see who you are chasing and far behind are the chasers looking a W/L differential.

Ie. of 50 games played say

1) 30-20-0 differential +10 and 60 points
2) 24-14-12 differential +10 and 60 points
3) 27-17-6 differential +10 and 60 points
 

Beech

Registered User
Nov 25, 2020
3,378
1,215
hosting Buffalo... a likely win for the Sens
away to Pittsburg.... toss up
hosting Dallas.. a probable loss

so by Sunday 1-1-1 or 2-1 and 3 or 4 points.

Boston has a killer next 3 games, so 1-1-1 or 1-2 and 2-3 points
MTL has a killer next 3 games, so 2-3 points
Pitt has a killer next 3 games, so 2-3 points
Detroit has a soft 3 games, so 2-1 or 2-0-1 and 4-5 points
Columbus has a mid difficulty 3 games so 3-4 points

By Monday;
Scenario 1) top 3 in Atlantic and never look back
Scenario 2) 4th in Atlantic and fight and claw
Scenario 3) 5th in Atlantic, but still in and fight and claw
Scenario 4) out of it and possibly season over

If Ottawa hits low. 3 points only. And all other teams hit high (3, 4 or 5 depending on their specific situation).. The Sens may be cooked.
 

Golden_Jet

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
27,533
14,571
hosting Buffalo... a likely win for the Sens
away to Pittsburg.... toss up
hosting Dallas.. a probable loss

so by Sunday 1-1-1 or 2-1 and 3 or 4 points.

Boston has a killer next 3 games, so 1-1-1 or 1-2 and 2-3 points
MTL has a killer next 3 games, so 2-3 points
Pitt has a killer next 3 games, so 2-3 points
Detroit has a soft 3 games, so 2-1 or 2-0-1 and 4-5 points
Columbus has a mid difficulty 3 games so 3-4 points

By Monday;
Scenario 1) top 3 in Atlantic and never look back
Scenario 2) 4th in Atlantic and fight and claw
Scenario 3) 5th in Atlantic, but still in and fight and claw
Scenario 4) out of it and possibly season over

If Ottawa hits low. 3 points only. And all other teams hit high (3, 4 or 5 depending on their specific situation).. The Sens may be cooked.
Why would they be cooked, with a half season to go.
 
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