Funny things is, there is a mathematical possibility for Maple Leafs still missing the play-offs,
although, they only need 1 point from remaining 7 games to clinch.
The only scenario what leads to Leafs missing out
(and its an insane wild one and probability for that is like less than 5%)
1. Leafs lose every remaining game without scoring a point (95 points)
2. Red Wings win all 6 remaining games (96 points)
3. Islanders win all 6 remaining games, in regulation, or OT (95 points)
- both then will have 31 RW, however, Islanders then will have 1 more ROW
and we all know ROW is the #2 tie breaker
4. Flyers win all 6 remaining games, at least 4 in regulation (95 points)
- Flyers 32 RW vs Leafs 31 RW
5. Tampa gets at least 3 points from 6 remaining games (96 points)
=
Lightning finish 3rd in their division
Flyers finish 3rd in their division
Red Wings gets #1 wild card spot
Islanders gets #2 wild card spot
Leafs miss out