Are the Caps this years biggest frauds?

[eviohh26]

They seem like a pretty legit 4 line team.

 

[Randyne]

Based on a whole number of statistical variables.

For instance evolving hockey shows a breakdown on what their model uses to judge the shots most likely to result in goals. Distance is the biggest decider. Next is time since last shot. Anything less than a few seconds is a rebound which has a way higher chance of going in. Then they look at angle, is he shooting from center of the ice or from the half boards, etc etc etc.

Here's a primer on what goes into expected goals models:

Inside the Stats: Expected Goals

Expected goals are one of the most useful analytics concepts. They are also the most heavily criticized – some of which is warranted, and some not so much. One thing that is certain is expected goals has ballooned in popularity in recent years. For those who haven’t heard of it or have heard of...

insidetherink.com

trash stat. Any goal is a goal.

 

[GMR]

Yeah we “lucked out” when we signed Dylan Strome after every team in FA had a chance to get him. It’s okay man maybe you guys can finally get a wildcard spot this year there’s no need to still be bitter after 10 months. In the mean time you can also watch Ovechkin break the record good luck out there man

LOL. You're taking this too seriously. Or you're like 12.

I agree other teams should have signed Strome. It was a good move by Washington and a failure by others.

I've seen my team win plenty of Championships. I think I'll be Okay. I don't need a Caps fan of all people to give sympathy.

A wildcard spot is nice but getting swept by the top seed won't do the Wings any good this year. They're not ready to contend. That's all that matters. We already had a 25 year consecutive playoff streak and the last five years of that streak set the franchise back. I'm glad Yzerman isn't mortgaging the future for short gains like Ken Holland was toward the end.

 

[OilersFanatics505]

Having watch them some and idk how they have 77 points.

How are they doing it?

I see they have 7 OT losses which has given them a but of an artificial lead over some of rest of the leaders in the east,

I see teams in the east getting past them easily.

Carolina, Florida, Toronto, maybe NJ.

You take away everyone’s OT losses and they are still 2nd in the league behind Winnipeg? Are you just salty?

2nd in the league in Goals For and 4th in Goals Against… what even is this thread?

Also, in your scenario are you only counting Washington’s OT losses and ignoring the other teams?

 

[Bank Shot]

trash stat. Any goal is a goal.

Why even bother asking if you are just going to ooga booga the response?

 

[Perfect_Drug]

There's a long list of regular season super-teams that don't make it far in the playoffs due to a lack of elite players.

There's also plenty of teams that go far based solely on elite goaltending.

Washington seems to be a mix of both, and everyone is having problems slotting them for those reasons.

Those Barry Trotz islanders teams were the last 'team-defense' teams with no elite pieces go far.

 

[max21]

LOL. You're taking this too seriously. Or you're like 12.

I agree other teams should have signed Strome. It was a good move by Washington and a failure by others.

I've seen my team win plenty of Championships. I think I'll be Okay. I don't need a Caps fan of all people to give sympathy.

A wildcard spot is nice but getting swept by the top seed won't do the Wings any good this year. They're not ready to contend. That's all that matters. We already had a 25 year consecutive playoff streak and the last five years of that streak set the franchise back. I'm glad Yzerman isn't mortgaging the future for short gains like Ken Holland was toward the end.

Okay man, you just came into this thread looking for a response to your obvious agenda towards Washington. “What have they done other than 2018?” “It’s the Capitals, they’re going to get swept” and you’re calling me 12 lol. I like the Wings, and I still find it amusing you guys are still pissed after you had ample opportunity to take that playoff spot last year.
Doesn’t need to be any more strife though, I agree with what you said. Good luck the rest of the year.

 

[Randyne]

Why even bother asking if you are just going to ooga booga the response?

Why to post "30 more than expected"?
They scored those goals. Some random dude invented trash stat and called those goals wrong.
From your link they explain why stat is trash. Like "Hey that guy scored 22 more goals than he should - It's a red flag! Oh it's Matthews, so it's not a red flag anymore"

 

[GMR]

Okay man, you just came into this thread looking for a response to your obvious agenda towards Washington. “What have they done other than 2018?” “It’s the Capitals, they’re going to get swept” and you’re calling me 12 lol. I like the Wings, and I still find it amusing you guys are still pissed after you had ample opportunity to take that playoff spot last year.
Doesn’t need to be any more strife though, I agree with what you said. Good luck the rest of the year.

I don't hate Washington (they're not the Penguins for me) but they're like the boy who cried wolf. We've seen great regular seasons from them before that resulted in early playoff losses. I understand the personnel have changed but the leadership is still similar. Outside of 2018, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson didn't get them anywhere. They still have Ovie and Carlson. Hopefully Ovie plays like he gives a crap in these playoffs, unlike last year.

They've made the playoffs plenty since winning the Cup but they will not be taken seriously by most fans until they win in the playoffs again.

 

[GeeoffBrown]

I think it would have been a classy move to retire with 899 (8 for OV 99 for Gretzky) but he's still scoring like he's in his 20's so he probably will hit 1000.

Be kind of awkward for him to pick a specific number because he will likely beat Gretz early next season and then still have a whole season to play. But then, who knows what he does after that