discostu
Registered User
Part of me is tempted to put a few bucks on John Isner to win the Open this year for the lolz, and because a lot of the European players will probably pass either because of travel expediency or the risk factor. The French didn't do the US Open or tennis any favors by dive-bombing to late September.
You make a good point in theory that people should just cede the French to Nadal including Joker but top athletes don't think that way. Maybe Joker doesn't want an asterisk by one of his majors if he does finish with one more than Fed and/or Nadal. Beating Nadal and most of the European pros at the French would be seen as legit, beating Isner, a ton of other North Americans and a few overseas stragglers to win the US Open less so.
I think Raonic has a shot at the US Open if it's a weak field. He should be healthy and probably would view it as his best shot.