Aliaksei Protas - can he continue this pace?
- Thread starter SAS
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qc14
Registered User
- Jul 1, 2024
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I don't think he'll continue to be almost a PPG the rest of the season. That said, the underlying numbers for the Protas-Ovi-Strome line are incredible, Protas was already an underrated passer, and he (and McMichael) made truly unbelievable improvements to their skating over the summer. Would not surprise me to see him finish with around 50 points with almost all of them at 5v5
Silky mitts
It’s yours boys and girls and babes let’s go!
- Mar 9, 2004
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Protas Strome and Ovy have a combined shooting % over 20% it isn't sustainable but Protas can average .5 ppg the rest of the way and be around 50 points, maybe 60 points
Hivemind
We're Touched
Can he continue this current pace? Not likely.
Will he establish a new career high in offensive production? Very likely.
Will he establish a new career high in offensive production? Very likely.
Ovechkins Wodka
Registered User
negative Nancy’s in here. The question should be how much better can he get 
No.
His shooting percentage will come back to earth. He can easily shoot a career high (15-18% isn't out of the question versus his previous high water mark of 8.8%), but he is not going to finish the year shooting 22.7%.
And then his on-ice shooting percentage is 19.5% at five-on-five (this is a measure of how all Caps players are shooting while he is on ice). For context, McDavid's career number is 12.9%.
The great news is that he's on pace for roughly 30 goals and 75 points. He could slow down and still finish with 20+ goals and 60 points which would be an outstanding year for a player who has never cracked 30 points or 10 goals in a single year.
On a semi-related note, McMichael's OiSH% is a far more reasonable 14.3% at 5 on 5. The goal-scoring will slow down, but the points production is sustainable based on that measure (which I have found to have a ton of predictive power for guys who get off to hot starts and eventually slow down).
His shooting percentage will come back to earth. He can easily shoot a career high (15-18% isn't out of the question versus his previous high water mark of 8.8%), but he is not going to finish the year shooting 22.7%.
And then his on-ice shooting percentage is 19.5% at five-on-five (this is a measure of how all Caps players are shooting while he is on ice). For context, McDavid's career number is 12.9%.
The great news is that he's on pace for roughly 30 goals and 75 points. He could slow down and still finish with 20+ goals and 60 points which would be an outstanding year for a player who has never cracked 30 points or 10 goals in a single year.
On a semi-related note, McMichael's OiSH% is a far more reasonable 14.3% at 5 on 5. The goal-scoring will slow down, but the points production is sustainable based on that measure (which I have found to have a ton of predictive power for guys who get off to hot starts and eventually slow down).
trick9
Registered User
- Jun 2, 2013
- 12,662
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I hope so.
That said his PK metrics are great and he's a good defensive player so points-wise if he finishes with 'only' 60 points this season he's still arguably the best non-ELC contract in the league.
That said he's improved after each season... i'm expecting that to continue.
That said his PK metrics are great and he's a good defensive player so points-wise if he finishes with 'only' 60 points this season he's still arguably the best non-ELC contract in the league.
That said he's improved after each season... i'm expecting that to continue.
- Feb 10, 2010
- 14,523
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It's not reasonable to expect that.
If he clears 50 points this season, that has to be considered a very nice success.
If he clears 50 points this season, that has to be considered a very nice success.
I want my 80pt proclamation to be prescient!!!
@PlushMinus
It’s way early though. So much can change.
@PlushMinus
It’s way early though. So much can change.
PlushMinus
Registered User
- Nov 18, 2021
- 2,124
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The drinks would have to be on me if you turn out to be right!
As mentioned above - anything over 50 would be a very good season for him, and might create a stepping stone for further improvement in following seasons.
His contract might end up being even better than Strome's. I wonder how our top line $$$ compares to others around the league.
895
Registered User
- Jun 15, 2007
- 8,721
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26 points in 28 games while being a forechecking beast.
Guy's a legit first line winger right now.
Guy's a legit first line winger right now.
And it’s not just his points. He just looks great out there. Speed. Gaps to close. Long reach and active stick. Wins puck battles. And tonight shooting with confidence.
And we could have another Pro coming!
Silky mitts
It’s yours boys and girls and babes let’s go!
- Mar 9, 2004
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I did not expect to have heard of so many of the people ahead of Lil Pro in OHL scoring, he's 10th and I recognize 5 guys in front of him, 4 super high 1sts
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I think Carbery is fantastic and is probably the best coach in the league, I think if there’s one thing that I disagree with him most on it’s Raddysh over Protas on PP2. Everything Raddysh brings to the unit Protas is way better at.
hb13xchamps
Registered User
Only thing I can think of is that it’s a way to manage his minutes. He’s currently averaging 15:34 per game with 1:28 of that being PK time. Thats the most minutes he’s had so far in his career. Maybe they don’t want to potentially burn him out come playoff time?
Great article on Big Pro's development.
Ilya may be even bigger, too.
This is awesome. Cornerstone for the franchise. Truly
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