Getting really tired of talking about expected goals. End of the day, the Leafs have scored 3+ goals in every single game so far except for game 5 of the Ottawa series which was a one-off bad performance. Remember when Keefe's Leafs would frequently have higher expected goals and top out the 'Deserve to Win o Meter' every time but get goalied and struggle to score more than 2 goals? This is also with a compromised Matthews who isn't scoring at all and playoff Mitch Marner who is lucky to get one goal per series. It's also very clear that teams don't really use corsi or expected goals as meaningful stats to them anymore as there are other ways to win that don't revolve around having constant possession of the puck like Carolina, just look at the 2018 Capitals or 2019 Blues (who Berube coached no less) for good examples.
There are also stats we are not privy to, like the ones Sportsnet shares from SportLogiq, which focus on things like slot chances, cycle time / chances etc which paint the Leafs in a much better light. We are focusing on winning the slot battle against Florida, which we have done a good job at.
