Salary Cap: AFP's Final Contract Projection Figures

[Jim Bob]

AFP updated their outlooks this morning.

 

[Jim Bob]

AFP projects him at 5x$5.4M. But, those are their midterm projections. My guess is that when they update things later today, it will go up.

The updated outlook for Gavrikov is 7x$7.6M AAV.

 

[CowbellConray]

AFP updated their outlooks this morning.

If those are the options, bridge him and take the chance that he is a $10M player in two years. If he explodes to PPG and we make the playoffs, Zucker and Greenway coming off the books in two years give us the flexibility to offer him 7x10 and lock him down

 

[Chainshot]

The updated outlook for Gavrikov is 7x$7.6M AAV.

Jack Quinn... $1.5M on their with no work put toward a longer deal. I can get behind that.

 

[Chainshot]

So Rochester-based AFP Analytics has their spreadsheet of contract estimates that they put way, way more time into this than just about anyone in the public space anywhere else published today.





I like that they have the contracts in a band for best and worst, with a reference to tax free locals.

Quinn - $1.5M
JJ - short-term $4.6M, long-term $7.8M for 7 or more
Bryam - short-term, $5.4M (that loses him to UFA), long-term $7.1-$7.5M (buys UFA years)

 

[Chainshot]

AFP updated their outlooks this morning.

Making this it's own thread.

 

[Gras]

So Rochester-based AFP Analytics has their spreadsheet of contract estimates that they put way, way more time into this than just about anyone in the public space anywhere else published today.





I like that they have the contracts in a band for best and worst, with a reference to tax free locals.

Quinn - $1.5M
JJ - short-term $4.6M, long-term $7.8M for 7 or more
Bryam - short-term, $5.4M (that loses him to UFA), long-term $7.1-$7.5M (buys UFA years)

3x 4.9 for McLeod
3x 2.5 for JBD

 

[HOOats]

I'm going max term with JJ at $7.8M x 8.

In two years if he has stagnated as a floaty 30g guy, the new cap will still make him a $6M+ player. On the other hand, if he blossoms into a 40g guy with a more well rounded game, he's probably $12M in the triple digit cap world.

We can't lure high-end talent here in UFA, so we gotta take the risk of locking down our potential home grown skill imo.

 

[slip]

Imagine having 25 milly in cap tied up in Thompson, Peterka, and Power over the next 5-6 years. It’s a recipe for perpetual playoff failure, assuming we even make the playoffs.

 

[elchud]

I would do 5x5.7 for McLeod. Why not lock up 3C for the next five years.

 

[jc17]

Imagine having 25 milly in cap tied up in Thompson, Peterka, and Power over the next 5-6 years. It’s a recipe for perpetual playoff failure, assuming we even make the playoffs.

A 40-goal scorer making $7M should not be in a list of inefficient salaries

 

[elchud]

Moving out Sammy and Clifton (and Byram) = healthier salary cap.

Peterka at 7x8 is a bargain, and with Rosen being a huge question mark we have zero 30 goal wings in the pipeline.

 

[ForsbergMoDo21]

A 40-goal scorer making $7M should not be in a list of inefficient salaries

Why don't we see if he can hit 30 goals one time before pronouncing him an eventual 40 goal scorer. Or am I missing something here?

 

[Dahlicious]

I'm going max term with JJ at $7.8M x 8.

In two years if he has stagnated as a floaty 30g guy, the new cap will still make him a $6M+ player. On the other hand, if he blossoms into a 40g guy with a more well rounded game, he's probably $12M in the triple digit cap world.

We can't lure high-end talent here in UFA, so we gotta take the risk of locking down our potential home grown skill imo.

I'd love to see them have fun with it and go with a $7.77M AAV.

 

[Zman5778]

Why don't we see if he can hit 30 goals one time before pronouncing him an eventual 40 goal scorer. Or am I missing something here?

jc17 was talking about Tage being a 40 goal scorer making $7M.

 

[Zman5778]

Moving out Sammy and Clifton (and Byram) = healthier salary cap.

Clifton at 3.3M for one more year isn't really affecting our cap either way. He's a fine 3rd pairing defenseman who can PK..............as long as that's all we ask him to do.

 

[ForsbergMoDo21]

jc17 was talking about Tage being a 40 goal scorer making $7M.

Got it. Had a feeling. My mistake @jc17

 

[slip]

A 40-goal scorer making $7M should not be in a list of inefficient salaries

Wrapping so much of your cap space around 3 players with dubious defensive instincts is the problem. Keep Tage, ditch the other two.