Here's my list of active players whose career numbers and accomplishments during their careers so far make them locks for the Hockey Hall of Fame.
My main criteria is if they retired today, they would make the hall after the 3 year waiting period.
Patrice Bergeron
Patrick Kane
Connor McDavid
Drew Doughty
Jonathan Quick
Marc-Andre Fleury
Sidney Crosby
Evgeni Malkin
Kris Letang
Steven Stamkos
Victor Hedman
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Joe Pavelski
Brent Burns
Alex Pietrangelo
Alex Ovechkin
Nicklas Backstrom
Some others are close and very probable, like Mackinnon, Matthews, Draisaitl, but don't yet have enough years of sustained high level performance to be in the lock category.
Who would you add or subtract as locks from this list?
I like your list, but there's two I kind of just don't see.
Now let me start with Jonathan Quick. I said back in 2015 or 2016 (this was when it was VERY CONTROVERSIAL to say Quick was an HOF player on here) that Quick is nicely set up (at that time) for an HOF induction, because he's going to SMASH the wins record for American born goalies. He has not yet, but probably will pass Ryan Miller, unless he just doesn't play after this year or doesn't stay healthy enough to play much from here on out. He was going to have the most shutouts among American born goalies (he already has that), he had 2 cups, 1 Conn Smythe.
But since about 2018, the Kings have gotten worse and he's also gotten worse. He's not really racking up wins the way he did or the way he was pacing for. The Kings had a good season last year and so did he, but that was the first good year he's had since 2017-2018 and with how old he is (he's turning 37 in the middle of the year), I wouldn't bet a whole lot on him repeating last year's performance.
So I honestly think a lot of mediocre years late in his career might have cost him the HOF. I think the same thing happened to Tom Barrasso, another American goalie who had a pretty good start to his career. I think he's the only teenager to ever win the Vezina and he won the Vezina as a rookie. 2 cups in the earlier part of his career. He even owns the record for most points scored by a goalie. He got hurt a bunch and the last half of his career had some poor years and it cost him a spot in the HOF. I think that might be what happens with Quick. And we all know the HOF doesn't elect a lot of goalies to begin with. If Quick came out and won the Vezina next year, I think at that point it gets hard to leave him out of out the HOF. One other thing about Quick that he has going against him though, how many goalies that won fewer than 400 games are in the HOF? There's one really big one and that's Hasek. Rogie Vachon is another, but he went in decades and decades later. Quick can still get to 400 wins, but he almost definitely has to play in 2023-2024. He's a UFA after this coming year. Does he play another year? Maybe, but I can't see him playing two more years after this, unless last year was the beginning of a resurgence in his career and he plays well again.
The only other one I don't agree with is Pietrangelo. I'm not saying he has no shot at the hall of fame, but I don't think he would be if he never played again.