Speculation: A long run of wins is coming

[Bjornar Moxnes]

Vegas will be tired, but they will also be motivated after the loss.

I think we can beat Vegas. But I put the likelihood at 20%. They are a much better team than we are.

TBF VGK kinda didn't try against the Leafs, so I don't think they're that tired.

 

[Alex1234]

Bottom line is he didn't provide any better hockey than a replacement-level 750k goalie would have. That's a problem for an 8.25 mil goalie who we also spent a 1st round pick to get.

Aside from the goals, he let some very juicy rebounds in that game too.

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

 

[Gil Gunderson]

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

Even Alex Lyon the year before was a much better route to take than Korpisalo.

 

[BonHoonLayneCornell]

Even Alex Lyon the year before was a much better route to take than Korpisalo.

There are few contracts as predictably bad as Korpisalo's.

 

[PlayOn]

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

Stolarz was a free agent, not like we have a choice of any player we want.

 

[robsenz]

Famous last words

I did I was sorry.

 

[RickyLafleur]

My cat threw up this morning, that usually means a big win

bigly if true

 

[DueDiligence]

The Sens will go on a winning streak very soon and be solidly in a playoff spot by the end of December. They are far better than their record.

 

[Nova Stutzlia]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

 

[BigRig4]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

Half of teams make it so I don’t think that’s much more than a small deviation from what we could expect.

We’re looking at ~62% (12/19) instead of the usual ~52% (16/31).

 

[Nova Stutzlia]

Half of teams make it so I don’t think that’s much more than a small deviation from what we could expect.

We’re looking at ~62% (12/19) instead of the usual ~52% (16/31).

If you look at the standings you'll see they're right there in the mix

 

[BigRig4]

If you look at the standings you'll see they're right there in the mix

Yeah for sure. Only 4 points out, still lots of runway but it needs to turn around soon.

 

[Beech]

Yeah for sure. Only 4 points out, still lots of runway but it needs to turn around soon.

Per Hockey night in Canada/Sportsnet's Elliot Freedman: Any team that is 4 or more points out by game 10 onwards, is more or less out of it for good.

Do some digging, he has/had a X post out there and he repeated it on HNIC about 3 weeks ago.

He has been tracing this for some 15 years.

 

[BigRig4]

Per Hockey night in Canada/Sportsnet's Elliot Freedman: Any team that is 4 or more points out by game 10 onwards, is more or less out of it for good.

Do some digging, he has/had a X post out there and he repeated it on HNIC about 3 weeks ago.

He has been tracing this for some 15 years.

I’ve heard something similar, but with American thanksgiving being the benchmark. With the 1 point OTL now, it’s just so hard to catch up if you fall behind.

 

[Karterthadon]

It's 4 points out but EIGHT teams ahead of us for the final playoff spot. That's a lot.

 

[Norris4Norris]

This is one of those threads where if you're right then you become heralded as a great predictor.

But if they continue to lose, as they did last night, this thread will become a dumpster fire burning on garbage time.

 

[CDN24]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

And their record in those 7 games against non playoff teams 3-3-1

Lost to Mtl, Buffalo, Islanders in regulation. Lost to Philly in OT. Beat Seattle, Blues, and Utah

Small sample size but statistical .500 against bottom feeders is not good enough