hawksfan50
Registered User
- Feb 27, 2002
- 14,152
- 1,988
The contending theories:
1. Post-pone for 1 year= fairest way...will never happen= NHL needs Crosby now!
2. The 3 ball max. less upto 2 of them back for each of upto 2 years of the last 3 played making playoffs....seems fairest idea...but still some team that was a bottom feeder in last season played (2003/04) might get very unlucky and draft last or near last --even with 3 balls in the draw;some team who finished near the top in last season played could get lucky at get the #1...so a double unfairness could result by the vagaries of luck...
3. An equal shot at #1 = 1 ball for every team...favoured by the recent high finishers/ perenial powers/ and former big spender abusers....giving i to them could enhance the probabilities of the double unfairness scenario--eg. a worst case scenario where a DET gets #1 and a CHI drafts last or near the end of round one--rubbing it in in effect for a team recently a leader in the fan misery index!
4.Revert to usual criteriia of past drafts and base on finish of last season played + weighted lotto of 14 non-playoff teams with a limited move up of 4 more spots than the pre-lotto position....wanted by the porrest finishers of 2003/04....or perhaps a modified version of this (equal chance at #1 for 14 non-playoff teams from 2003/04).
Procedure #2 seems to be the most rumoured compromise--but why not do this:
Hold a preliminary draw--put 3 balls only into the revolving drumbowl...one ball representing each of the 3 proposed procedures to hold a draft this year...thus the worst unfairness potential (procedure #3) would still have a 1/3 chance of being implemented,and the most fair to the recent "les miserables" (procedure #4) would also have at least a 1/3 chance of being implemented ...the middle compromise position (procedure #2) still has a 1/3 chance of going through too ....
IF however--either procedure #2 or #3 do win in the pre-lim. draw,one could limit their draw to just 1 ball being drawn for #1 --then reverting back to the finishes of 2003/04 for the rest of the draft so as to avoid hurting any of the "miserables" too much...
Will the NHl be so wise? No...so we probably get DET winning Crosby and the miserable Blackhawks getting unlucky (again) and drawing the last ball (#30) = a double kick in the teeth to Blackhawks fans...
1. Post-pone for 1 year= fairest way...will never happen= NHL needs Crosby now!
2. The 3 ball max. less upto 2 of them back for each of upto 2 years of the last 3 played making playoffs....seems fairest idea...but still some team that was a bottom feeder in last season played (2003/04) might get very unlucky and draft last or near last --even with 3 balls in the draw;some team who finished near the top in last season played could get lucky at get the #1...so a double unfairness could result by the vagaries of luck...
3. An equal shot at #1 = 1 ball for every team...favoured by the recent high finishers/ perenial powers/ and former big spender abusers....giving i to them could enhance the probabilities of the double unfairness scenario--eg. a worst case scenario where a DET gets #1 and a CHI drafts last or near the end of round one--rubbing it in in effect for a team recently a leader in the fan misery index!
4.Revert to usual criteriia of past drafts and base on finish of last season played + weighted lotto of 14 non-playoff teams with a limited move up of 4 more spots than the pre-lotto position....wanted by the porrest finishers of 2003/04....or perhaps a modified version of this (equal chance at #1 for 14 non-playoff teams from 2003/04).
Procedure #2 seems to be the most rumoured compromise--but why not do this:
Hold a preliminary draw--put 3 balls only into the revolving drumbowl...one ball representing each of the 3 proposed procedures to hold a draft this year...thus the worst unfairness potential (procedure #3) would still have a 1/3 chance of being implemented,and the most fair to the recent "les miserables" (procedure #4) would also have at least a 1/3 chance of being implemented ...the middle compromise position (procedure #2) still has a 1/3 chance of going through too ....
IF however--either procedure #2 or #3 do win in the pre-lim. draw,one could limit their draw to just 1 ball being drawn for #1 --then reverting back to the finishes of 2003/04 for the rest of the draft so as to avoid hurting any of the "miserables" too much...
Will the NHl be so wise? No...so we probably get DET winning Crosby and the miserable Blackhawks getting unlucky (again) and drawing the last ball (#30) = a double kick in the teeth to Blackhawks fans...