Which is what I've been saying as everyone wanted to crown Blake for "magically" taking the prospect pool from shit to potential gold: there wasn't any magic to it. You lose on purpose, draft high and then also give away legit NHL players for more prospects and good picks. Just drafting entirely based off of Central Scouting's list for five drafts with the amount of picks he's had would lead to a highly ranked prospect pool. It's still too early to say he knocked it out of the park since the shine has been coming off his first three 1st round picks. You're right about the later picks though: Blake looks real nice with that Anderson pick and Faber is shaping up to look like a real good pick as well. Byfield and/or Clarke have to be elite though for this all to work. You can shit the bed on a Hickey or Teubert when you get a Doughty and are already sitting on a Kopitar.
Well, Moller did very well in his D + 2 year in LA and then always did well in Manchester. We were all super hyped on him. Purcell was out there crushing Manchester and sitting in DL's LW1 box or whatever on his whiteboard.
I get your point but if it is about draft position, then the aforementioned Hickey and Teubert fit the bill. Or we go back to Tukonen taken around where Vilardi was. I mean, there are so many busts that we can all name that were taken Top 10 and even Top 5. SR10 isn't even talking about non-busts: he's talking game breakers. We're not going to get in to what that exactly means but we can all probably agree that--whatever your definition of game breaker is--it's going to be hard to get two-out-of-three from 2/5/11. I mean, this is why Byfield is so key since he is the prize of the tank, the Doughty pick for Blake. DL drafted 5OA the year after Doughty and then never saw the Top 10 again. Blake is on the same path at this point.
I'm not throwing dirt on Turcotte or Vilardi but "game breakers" usually would have shown themselves by now. Blake is going to get to a point where he's going to be less scared of giving up potential and more scared that he isn't going to get enough return on the draft capital spent. He's got to be getting close to one in the hand is worth two in the bush.
I'm just saying the comparison is bunk. All three of Byfield, Turcotte, Vilardi are NHLers. Right now. Plain and simple. Being held down due to roster circumstance doesn't reduce their actual ability. They're high-floor enough that they will be in the league as productive players for a decade or more. The question is their ultimate ceiling. I agree that is debateable, and whether they become gamebreakers or not is absolutely up in the air, but equating those guys to Purcell/Moller is incomprehensible and just designed to be crap-slinging.
I'm as critical as anyone on Blake et. al. on that point--the high end guys have to be hits whether its drafting or development, and god knows I've sat here and gotten shit all year for blasting their deployment--but I think given circumstance like covid and injury as well as roster circumstance these guys get a little more rope before pulling the plug on their ceilings, ESPECIALLY given each one of them were projects to a certain degree, and especially because none have been given a chance with significant time in a significant role in the NHL, which others have been given whether they 'earned it' or not (not that I give a shit that's just the common retort).
Frankly this just smells like jealousy of other shiny toys producing early in sheltered roles.
Like, do we really feel Vilardi couldn't be putting up 40-50 points like the other forwards he's often crapped on for? Necas, Norris, Thomas.
Do we really feel Turcotte couldn't be putting up Cozens, Podkolzin #s of near 40 pts + intangibles (that are exceedingly clear)?
Do we really feel Byfield...like why even bother here? Look what other players in his class are doing. People were lamenting Raymond lately too, like the f***? Do you remember how he looked when we played the Wings? They only times his name was called was when he was getting pasted to the boards by our rooks.
In other words, these guys are right on pace with the rest of their classes AT WORST but being compared basically only to whoever has emerged early--which is basically the polar opposite of what's going to happen to ours by default with their injuries and our roster. Getting pretty sick of this context being completely vacated. MIGHT our guys bust or top out? Sure, I'm willing to accept that possibility. I'm not willing to accept that what we see now is what we get, especially given none of them have been given a significant chance or opportunity to show out like any else folks are jealous of.
like oh no Zegras is putting up excellent points in an extremely sheltered role, Necas/Thomas are putting up 40 points in big minutes on elite teams, and...Byfield's peers are putting up 30-40 points on other basement teams....which has NO BEARING on our guys' development. Be f***ing patient.
Tyler Myers was rookie of the year...guess we should regret that Doughty pick. better go tell a few guys about Pietrangelo and Karlsson, too.
IF ANYTHING--Moller is a cautionary tale of the opposite, not getting stupidly overhyped on a guy who produces early in a sheltered role to the extent that you completely overlook all his warts while other players slow-cooking overtake him by year 3-4.