- Jun 22, 2010
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I don’t know, if we’re a contender, it’s a pretty appealing pitch.Brady timed his free agency perfectly. While I don't think he would have stayed here after a bridge deal, it would have probably worked out better for us in the long run if we had to re-up him 2-3 years ago. The cap is expected to be 113M during his last contract year. Let's say it goes a few million to 117M in 2028-29 when he would have the option to test unrestricted free agency.
Panarin would be the last comparable UFA to Brady to hit the open market, he signed for 13.2 percent of the salary cap. That would be 15.44M under a 117M cap ceiling. Guentzel got 10.2 percent last year, which under a 117M cap would be a 11.93M.
Anywhere between 12 and 16 probably sounds right under a almost 120M cap ceiling. NMC. Frontloaded. Signing bonuses. Keys to the CTC, etc.
If we get four serious chances at playoffs out of him, and then he leaves, it is what it is. I have a hard time believing we are going to retain him after free agency, I'm not even sure he will be here come July 1st if we don't do some damage in the playoffs. I also think this tournament, and all the Canada/America tension is going to work against him staying in the short term. If he was even remotely unhappy here, and if his wife is nagging him to get Staios to accept Marino, Holtz, and a 2nd from New Jersey, then the current climate is just the cherry on top, or the straw that broke the Tkachuk's trade request. His NMC kicking in on July 1st gives him leverage to say "I'm not asking for a trade, but it would be pretty unfortuante if my NMC kicked in and I realized I wasn't too happy here, capiche."
If you're his super agent family you're looking at this guy and knowing he belongs in a big American market where he can win and become a household name. With his wife being from Jersey, the Rangers stuff makes my Senspiracy theories run wild about who could have been behind it.
Matthew Tkachuk will probably like this post with this throwaway account.
- We can give him the eighth year
- His legacy here will be cemented, at 29 years old I don’t think he’s super likely to go elsewhere and be so revered in that market given that he will probably slow down
- he will still get exposure through playoff runs and now with the international tournaments happening every two years, more opportunities with that
I don’t have a lot of confidence that we will be that level of a contender though, and I don’t expect him to stay if we aren’t, so I still think it’s likely that he leaves. In the perfect scenario though where we’re a legitimate threat to win, he can retire with Alfie level status. From an ego standpoint not sure he would wanna give that up.