GDT: #32 - 03/25/21 | Rangers vs. Flyers | 7:00 PM EST - MSG

[aufheben]

Seems generous, lol

NHL Team Advanced Stats​

7:00 PM ET​

[TBODY] [TD="align: center"]

66.4%​

[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]

33.6%​

[/TD] [/TBODY]

Projected lineup: Thursday, Mar. 25 at Flyers

NOTE: This lineup is subject to change.

Forwards
First line → Chris Kreider (LW) • Mika Zibanejad (C) • Pavel Buchnevich (RW)

Second line → Artemi Panarin (LW) • Ryan Strome (C) • Kaapo Kakko (RW)

Third line → Alexis Lafrenière (LW) • Filip Chytil (C) • Julien Gauthier (RW)

Fourth line → Brendan Lemieux (LW) • Kevin Rooney (C) • Colin Blackwell (RW)

Defense
Top pair → Ryan Lindgren (L) • Adam Fox (R)

Second pair → K'Andre Miller (L) • Jacob Trouba (R)

Third pair → Libor Hájek (L) • Brendan Smith (R)

Goalies
Starter → Igor Shesterkin
Backup → Alexandar Georgiev

Healthy scratch: Phil Di Giuseppe (F)
COVID-19 protocol list: Brett Howden (F)​

—

Opening Gameline	Latest Gameline
+105 -125​	-110 -110​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Starter: Shesterkin
Source: @RickCarpiniello
—

This Is A Big Game For The Rangers

Odds	If They Beat Flyers in Regulation	If They Lose To Flyers in Regulation	If They Beat Flyers in OT	If They Lose to Flyers in OT
Make Playoffs	51.6% (4%)	38.1% (9.5%)	50.6% (2.9%)	44.1% (3.5%)
Make 2nd Round	30.9% (2.2%)	23.3% (5.4%)	30.4% (1.7%)	26.9% (1.8%)
Make 3rd Round	19.6% (1.3%)	15.1% (3.2%)	19.4% (1.1%)	17.3% (1%)
Make Finals	11.2% (0.7%)	8.9% (1.6%)	10.9% (0.4%)	10.1% (0.4%)
Win Cup	6.5% (0.3%)	5.3% (0.9%)	6.4% (0.2%)	5.9% (0.3%)
1st In Division	3.3% (0.5%)	1.5% (1.3%)	3.3% (0.5%)	2% (0.8%)
2nd In Division	8.8% (1%)	5.2% (2.6%)	8.7% (0.9%)	6.6% (1.2%)
3rd In Division	15.7% (1.2%)	11.1% (3.4%)	15.1% (0.6%)	14.1% (0.4%)
4th In Division	23.7% (1.1%)	20.2% (2.4%)	23.4% (0.8%)	21.5% (1.1%)

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

This Is A Big Game For The Flyers

Odds	If They Beat Rangers in Regulation	If They Lose To Rangers in Regulation	If They Beat Rangers in OT	If They Lose to Rangers in OT
Make Playoffs	23.7% (6.1%)	14.2% (3.4%)	22.1% (4.5%)	17.7% (0%)
Make 2nd Round	9.8% (2.2%)	6.2% (1.4%)	9.8% (2.2%)	7.6% (0%)
Make 3rd Round	4.5% (0.9%)	3% (0.6%)	4.5% (0.9%)	3.7% (0.1%)
Make Finals	1.9% (0.4%)	1.3% (0.2%)	1.7% (0.2%)	1.5% (0%)
Win Cup	0.9% (0.2%)	0.6% (0.1%)	0.9% (0.2%)	0.8% (0.1%)
1st In Division	0.8% (0.3%)	0.3% (0.2%)	0.8% (0.3%)	0.4% (0.1%)
2nd In Division	2.8% (0.9%)	1.4% (0.5%)	2.5% (0.6%)	1.9% (0%)
3rd In Division	6.8% (1.9%)	3.8% (1.1%)	6.2% (1.3%)	5% (0.1%)
4th In Division	13.4% (3%)	8.7% (1.7%)	12.5% (2.1%)	10.3% (0.1%)

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Click to read more...

 

[RickChartraw]

too much math. LGR!

 

[will1066]

Expect big time games from Mike Knuble, Antero Niitymaki, and Brent Fedyk.

 

[GoAwayPanarin]

Anything less than a win would be a massive letdown. Hopefully shesty doesn’t have too much rust but the rangers shouldn’t have much trouble scoring 4 or more.

 

[Unpredictable1]

Expect big time games from Mike Knuble, Antero Niitymaki, and Brent Fedyk.

The Crazy 8s are coming...

GO RANGERS

 

[itsPLkielbasa]

19-0.

Kakko - 9

Zib - 6

Kreider - 3

Lindgren - 1

 

[Profet]

Rongos going to Rongo...

Don't have a lot of hope for this one.

 

[SnowblindNYR]

What's the probability inside and outside of parenthesis?

 

[CasusBelli]

19-0.

Kakko - 9

Zib - 6

Kreider - 3

Lindgren - 1

No Laf, so this is realistic.

 

[EdJovanovski]

My results of the 24 hour heart monitor were normal, on to the Echocardiogram tomorrow morning!

5,068,210-0 NYR

Zibanejad (5,068,198)
Buchnevich (7)
Shesterkin (4)

 

[KevinFinnerty]

Tomorrow we see a Panarin hatty

 

[NYRFANMANI]

We could potentially play the full top roster?

 

[TUQ]

My results of the 24 hour heart monitor were normal, on to the Echocardiogram tomorrow morning!

5,068,210-0 NYR

Zibanejad (5,068,198)
Buchnevich (7)
Shesterkin (4)

This is 5,068,209. Who scores the last goal?

 

[Black Tank]

Have to be wary of an emotionally charged response from the Flyers to the humiliation. Fortunately, AV will kill that quickly and we can keep on carrying on.

 

[EdJovanovski]

This is 5,068,209. Who scores the last goal?

It’s a surprise!

 

[will1066]

This is 5,068,209. Who scores the last goal?

Knoblauch.

 

[MaximusT]

What is the Math behind the Playoff Chances? 50%+ seems a bit high to be on first blush given we’ll still be 2 points out with the Bruins having 4 games in hand? We’ll be 8 points out versus the Pens, but have 1 game in hand (so 6 pts out if we make that up) - however, the Pens have hardly played the Sabres.

I assume it has something do with who the remaining teams ahead of us have on their schedule, but still seems a bit high to me.

Would think it’s closer to like 20% based on another site I was looking at.

 

[Sayba]

What is the Math behind the Playoff Chances? 50%+ seems a bit high to be on first blush given we’ll still be 2 points out with the Bruins having 4 games in hand? We’ll be 8 points out versus the Pens, but have 1 game in hand (so 6 pts out if we make that up) - however, the Pens have hardly played the Sabres.

I assume it has something do with who the remaining teams ahead of us have on their schedule, but still seems a bit high to me.

Would think it’s closer to like 20% based on another site I was looking at.

 

[PuckLuck3043]

What is the Math behind the Playoff Chances? 50%+ seems a bit high to be on first blush given we’ll still be 2 points out with the Bruins having 4 games in hand? We’ll be 8 points out versus the Pens, but have 1 game in hand (so 6 pts out if we make that up) - however, the Pens have hardly played the Sabres.

I assume it has something do with who the remaining teams ahead of us have on their schedule, but still seems a bit high to me.

Would think it’s closer to like 20% based on another site I was looking at.

Exactly. 20% is much more realistic. We are not catching either Pitt or Boston unless they go on a 20-5 run and that is not happening. I just want to see what a healthy roster can do and look forward to Kravs playing.

 

[GAGLine]

Yeah, those numbers are off. Our chances should be lower than Philly's, given that they are currently 2 points ahead of us with the same number of games played.

 

[Uncle Sid]

I was told there would be no math.

I am hoping Shesterkin has a good game tonight. It would be nice to see Igor play in front of the team that is finally clicking and that can give him some goal support.

 

[duhmetreE]

Yeah, those numbers are off. Our chances should be lower than Philly's, given that they are currently 2 points ahead of us with the same number of games played.

It goes by how we're playing as well.

Moneypuck has us 3rd in Power Rankings... yeah, I dont know.. so we're anticipated to win a lot of our games

 

[Fitzy]

Yeah, those numbers are off. Our chances should be lower than Philly's, given that they are currently 2 points ahead of us with the same number of games played.

They are probably based on some sort of hocus pocus algorithm.

Might as well be random numbers on a board.

 

[Zibanejbread]

Please win.

 

[duhmetreE]

They are probably based on some sort of hocus pocus algorithm.

Might as well be random numbers on a board.

IMO that's a lot of 'advanced' stats besides xG.