Stars' fan stopping by. Was reading up on Karlsson and all of your thoughts. Karlsson is obviously still an elite defenseman, and he's someone Dallas had been interested in acquiring both times he was available in the past. He fits an immediate need for us and likely makes us a Cup favorite for the next two years. But a deal has to make sense for both sides.
Firstly, Nill has already stated that Stankoven, Bourque, and Bichsel will not be moving. If one of those is required, then there is likely no deal to be had.
Secondly, if this were a deadline deal, it would require Dumba to move out and a minimum of 1.7M retained. We are expecting Heiskanen to return before the end of the season, so him going to LTIR is unlikely. If that does happen, though, then the cap hit is not an issue at all.
It would be very uncharacteristic for Nill to move consecutive firsts, but he supposedly has a directive from ownership to do everything possible to win a Cup while this window is still open. We will see if that changes things. He's blended staying competitive with a long-term vision so far, but we've also never been this close to a Cup under his tenure.
Obviously, a trade for Karlsson begins with the 2026 1st. Outside of Hemming, we don't really have any other particularly strong prospects (and Hemming is really only there because he's a 2024 1st round pick - he struggled early, but has picked it up lately). Kyrou, Stranges, Martino, etc. should all be on the table but don't have a ton of value.
As much as we would like (and need) a top 4 defender for this upcoming playoff run, I just have a hard time seeing the assets and money work at the deadline. If Karlsson is even actually available, it seems more like an offseason move. That just feels like it makes more sense for every potential party involved.
Personally, I'd move basically any combo of picks and non-roster prospects to get this done, and that's a sentiment I think most Stars' fans agree with. But we're not the one making the deals or writing the checks.