Speculation: 2025 TDL Discussion

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Replying to Peter James Bond:

As far as I know Kopitar, Brown and Quick were drafted under Al Murray who then went on to Tampa Bay where he had an enormous amount of success. But that's a different story to explore.

I don't know who exactly the Kings scouts are year to year over the last 20 years and the staff listings you find online aren't always 100% reliable (whether they list part-time scouts or not etc.), in fact now I can't even find the staff listing directory for Kings.

However my impression was that the Kings Euro scouting was never that strong under Lombardi as far as priorities. I don't think it is that strong today although I think they've added some scouts there, I think in the early years under Lombardi it was a very small scouting staff and very limited in Europe but I'm going off memory. I've already said in past that I don't think the Kings Euro scouting really is that great and I'd imagine there isn't anything near as close of a strong push for Europe-based players as some teams have. Not that there is something inherently wrong there, not everyone has to be Detroit.

As for their picks from Europe, it seems they favor toolsy guys (size or skating) with supposed high floor and compete level. They rarely seem interested in taking raw skilled projects with good IQ.

From the years I was scouting Europe heavily, I think their bad picks from Europe were Sodergran, Nousiainen and Kupari. Sodergran was a big kid with a decent shot but limited upside. I don't see a lot of logic to drafting limited players out of Europe with late picks. Nousiainen was a small D with good compete, but that's it. He wasn't an elite skater, he didn't have exceptional IQ and he was not exceptionally skilled. Defensemen with that profile just don't make it to NHL. Kupari... I've already said I dislike the pick the moment it was made, he was not a first rounder on our board. He had decent skill with good skating and size but average IQ at best, didn't understand the Kempe comparisons at all as Kempe had decent IQ, the only similiarity was size and skating. Fagemo was overdrafted by a round probably, a midsized winger with compete and ok mobility and high volume shooter but not much else and an overager.

If you look at their picks out of Europe they rarely use a pick on a skilled high IQ project, which is usually the type of pick you would expect to see out of Europe. The only two (partial) exceptions to this were probably Shafigulin (skill) and Moverare (IQ), again in the years I did heavy scouting.

Apparently Lias Andersson was high on their board if I remember correctly and they acquired him later from NYR. We saw his upside as a 3rd line forward and ranked him 7th in Europe (not 7th overall as he went), felt he was overrated in North America. We had Pavel Dorofeyev as a late 1st round value pick (he went in 3rd round). He's a clear example of a high IQ skill guy who was very raw and is doing pretty good for Vegas nowadays. We had Fagemo as late 3rd round value which I think in retrospect is about right. We didn't have Kupari in the first round and reading I think on Mayor's website pre-draft that they're leaning Kupari or Lundestrom among others...I was perplexed by that because neither guy had better than 3rd line upside. And I know at 20th pick you're probably most often not going to get more than that...but still, I miss some high upside picks out of Europe, they just don't make them much if at all. I'm not going to speak for their NA scouting as I haven't tracked NA players as closely (we did Europe only).

I think the scouting staff prioritizes probably the typical Kings player that they can develop and have a history of developing. From the Euro perspective, I don't think they seem to have much of an interest in high skill raw players that don't have clear projections to Kings hockey (yet), and in my opinion they tend to overvalue limited but role-projectable ones.
 
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Replying to Peter James Bond:

As far as I know Kopitar, Brown and Quick were drafted under Al Murray who then went on to Tampa Bay where he had an enormous amount of success. But that's a different story to explore.

I don't know who exactly the Kings scouts are year to year over the last 20 years and the staff listings you find online aren't always 100% reliable (whether they list part-time scouts or not etc.), in fact now I can't even find the staff listing directory for Kings.

However my impression was that the Kings Euro scouting was never that strong under Lombardi as far as priorities. I don't think it is that strong today although I think they've added some scouts there, I think in the early years under Lombardi it was a very small scouting staff and very limited in Europe but I'm going off memory. I've already said in past that I don't think the Kings Euro scouting really is that great and I'd imagine there isn't anything near as close of a strong push for Europe-based players as some teams have. Not that there is something inherently wrong there, not everyone has to be Detroit.

As for their picks from Europe, it seems they favor toolsy guys (size or skating) with supposed high floor and compete level. They rarely seem interested in taking raw skilled projects with good IQ.

From the years I was scouting Europe heavily, I think their bad picks from Europe were Sodergran, Nousiainen and Kupari. Sodergran was a big kid with a decent shot but limited upside. I don't see a lot of logic to drafting limited players out of Europe with late picks. Nousiainen was a small D with good compete, but that's it. He wasn't an elite skater, he didn't have exceptional IQ and he was not exceptionally skilled. Defensemen with that profile just don't make it to NHL. Kupari... I've already said I dislike the pick the moment it was made, he was not a first rounder on our board. He had decent skill with good skating and size but average IQ at best, didn't understand the Kempe comparisons at all as Kempe had decent IQ, the only similiarity was size and skating. Fagemo was overdrafted by a round probably, a midsized winger with compete and ok mobility and high volume shooter but not much else and an overager.

If you look at their picks out of Europe they rarely use a pick on a skilled high IQ project, which is usually the type of pick you would expect to see out of Europe. The only two (partial) exceptions to this were probably Shafigulin (skill) and Moverare (IQ), again in the years I did heavy scouting.

Apparently Lias Andersson was high on their board if I remember correctly and they acquired him later from NYR. We saw his upside as a 3rd line forward and ranked him 7th in Europe (not 7th overall as he went), felt he was overrated in North America. We had Pavel Dorofeyev as a late 1st round value pick (he went in 3rd round). He's a clear example of a high IQ skill guy who was very raw and is doing pretty good for Vegas nowadays. We had Fagemo as late 3rd round value which I think in retrospect is about right. We didn't have Kupari in the first round and reading I think on Mayor's website pre-draft that they're leaning Kupari or Lundestrom among others...I was perplexed by that because neither guy had better than 3rd line upside. And I know at 20th pick you're probably most often not going to get more than that...but still, I miss some high upside picks out of Europe, they just don't make them much if at all. I'm not going to speak for their NA scouting as I haven't tracked NA players as closely (we did Europe only).

I think the scouting staff prioritizes probably the typical Kings player that they can develop and have a history of developing. From the Euro perspective, I don't think they seem to have much of an interest in high skill raw players that don't have clear projections to Kings hockey (yet), and in my opinion they tend to overvalue limited but role-projectable ones.
Good read. I always thought Mike Futa was also a big part of our strong drafting during the Lombardi years along with Al Murray. We all know DL wasn't too fond of the European phenotype anyways, he always seemed to go after North American players in trades and drafting. I feel like you can really find a diamond in the rough with goalies in Russia and Europe more so than any other position.
 
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Al Murray was Dave Taylor's guy. He was here for Lombardi's first draft. Then he went to work for Hockey Canada and then eventually for Tampa. Futa and Yannetti were Lombardi's guys as co-directors of amateur scouting. Yannetti is still here in the same role.
 
Do you know Kings scouting? Do they only have Ruutu as fulltime covering europe and Russia?

Ruutu is the guy that oversees scouting for ALL of Europe. The Kings as far as know still have a scout in each of the major hockey countries in Europe:
-Niklas Andersson in Sweden
-Jussi Kari-Koskinen in Finland
-Yuri Khmylev in Russia
-Petr Jelinek in Czechia

It's similar to the way their NA scouting is set up with Chris Byrne as the head of that area, but with individual scouts for specific leagues or areas.
 
Hide BLucGervin's phone and unplug the fax machine for the next couple of days. Have zero faith that any trade these meatballs make will be a positive step forward for the franchise. Just remove a couple of the elderly and replace with a couple vodka sodas and call it a win.
 
Replying to Peter James Bond:

As far as I know Kopitar, Brown and Quick were drafted under Al Murray who then went on to Tampa Bay where he had an enormous amount of success. But that's a different story to explore.
Let's explore it. Al obviously had a eye for talent. The problem during the Taylor era (and now) is our player development.
Apparently Lias Andersson was high on their board if I remember correctly and they acquired him later from NYR.
Yeah and his father is/was one of our scouts too
 
Mikko Rantanen is an LA King TODAY.
If that happens, Clarke is a Hurricane (great for him) and Greentree (kings love to overpay) and you'll get him rest if season only or a 70 point winger here in La for $13 million for 8 years.
Kings need to be realistic, why cant they see what everyone else sees, team is not built or develops or plays in todays game to be more than a round 1 team
 
Mikko Rantanen is an LA King TODAY.
I really hope not.

The guy has 6 points in 12 games with Carolina.

Going to take at least Clarke and a 1st to acquire him. Then you're going to need to pay him at least $13m AAV to re-sign him.

Is Rantanen a 100 point player on the Kings?? I think it's pretty safe to say absolutely not. If he's not a 100 point player, he shouldn't get $13m a year for the next 8 years. Let some other team pay him that money.

Giving up those assets to acquire him. And then signing him to a monster contract like that... Would likely be incredibly detrimental to the franchise.
 
I really hope not.

The guy has 6 points in 12 games with Carolina.

Going to take at least Clarke and a 1st to acquire him. Then you're going to need to pay him at least $13m AAV to re-sign him.

Is Rantanen a 100 point player on the Kings?? I think it's pretty safe to say absolutely not. If he's not a 100 point player, he shouldn't get $13m a year for the next 8 years. Let some other team pay him that money.

Giving up those assets to acquire him. And then signing him to a monster contract like that... Would likely be incredibly detrimental to the franchise.
There's not necessarily a good chance he'd even re-sign here.

If you trade for Rantanen, you're trading for a guy you KNOW is waiting until the offseason so he can explore his options.

Meaning we could be trading away Clarke+ for essentially nothing.
 
There's not necessarily a good chance he'd even re-sign here.

If you trade for Rantanen, you're trading for a guy you KNOW is waiting until the offseason so he can explore his options.

Meaning we could be trading away Clarke+ for essentially nothing.
Also the thing is he would not be Rantanen, here he'd be a 70 point guy.
Dont you think legit skill players are looking at the La plays and think to themselves that I would not be able to play my game and now all they have to is look at a Pld and see what happens when you go to a team that plays a different style and utilizes your strengths
 
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Rantanen rode McKinnon and Makar's coattails. No way is he capable of producing on the Kings anything close to what he did with Colorado. NHL production is hugely affected by who you play with, maybe more than any of the other top 4 sports...the ultimate team game...it's why all teammates on the ice celebrate every goal and then everyone on the bench.

Vilardi and PLD stats are meaningless when compared with Kings. Teammates of Jets and Caps WAY more talented than Kings teammates, hence Vilardi and PLD's significantly increased production. No way will Rantanen be successful in L.A.

Kings are the anti-talent...they don't seek it out and squelch it when they draft it.
Please keep the kids and fire Blake.

Edit: I did not read MonkeysUncle's last post when I was writing this. Hence the redundancy. At least he knows genius when he sees it...lol
 
I really hope not.

The guy has 6 points in 12 games with Carolina.

Going to take at least Clarke and a 1st to acquire him. Then you're going to need to pay him at least $13m AAV to re-sign him.

Is Rantanen a 100 point player on the Kings?? I think it's pretty safe to say absolutely not. If he's not a 100 point player, he shouldn't get $13m a year for the next 8 years. Let some other team pay him that money.

Giving up those assets to acquire him. And then signing him to a monster contract like that... Would likely be incredibly detrimental to the franchise.
We pay Doughty 11.
Also, this team isn't going anywhere with Blake running things.
 
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I just really hope we get swept by Edmonton in the first (we deserve it) Blake Luc and his boys get their 2nd retirement papers, and a new GM comes in and says “ look we don’t have the tools, we are going to do a 80% rebuild.”

Then Drew asks for a trade we eat 4 million of his salary and the sell off starts!

Rebuild around Byfield, Clarke, Greentree, and George.

That’s a 1st line left wing number 3 defenseman a top6 winger and a potentially starting goalie. Everyone else is most likely transitional.
 
Chris Johnston said LA has backed off of conversations with Carolina about Rantanen. Looking like Dallas/Vegas/Florida are the most likely suitors now.

Says LA has looked at Rakell.
 
I just really hope we get swept by Edmonton in the first (we deserve it) Blake Luc and his boys get their 2nd retirement papers, and a new GM comes in and says “ look we don’t have the tools, we are going to do a 80% rebuild.”

Then Drew asks for a trade we eat 4 million of his salary and the sell off starts!

Rebuild around Byfield, Clarke, Greentree, and George.

That’s a 1st line left wing number 3 defenseman a top 6 winger and a potentially starting goalie. Everyone else is most likely transitional.

By the time Greentree and George are ready to contribute full-time to the Kings in 2-3 years, Byfield and Clarke are dangerously close to hitting UFA status. Sadly the time lines just don't really add up with Clarke and Byfield. If a rebuild happens it may be better to go scorched earth and move them.
 
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