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2025 Playoff Picture: Eastern Conference Fog Edition

I think the lock (or very high probability) teams are

New Jersey
Carolina
Washington
Toronto
Florida
Tampa

That leaves two spots for Boston, Ottawa, Detroit, Montreal, Columbus, Rangers, Pittsburgh.

I guess I am saying Buffalo, Flyers and Islanders are out.

That's seven teams for two spots? Does Boston really miss the playoffs? Can Sid will the Pens back in? Detroit was tied for the last spot last year and seen to have momentum with the coaching change? Then Cinderellas like Columbus, Montreal and Ottawa? To say nothing of the Rangers who many thought could challenge for that division title.

Who stays hot? Who stays healthy? Ease of schedule? Who gets a four nations break?

I pick Boston and Ottawa.
 
Boston could very easily slide into the bubble crowd.
Bruins look by many measures like they are already well within that bubble. 8th in P% with multiple teams right behind. -24 GD. 3-5-2 in last 10. Their experience and history is perhaps the main thing that might say otherwise.

As a fan of a Western playoff team who just lost to the Habs, it won't surprise me if they make it. Though a lot of that was on the back of a rookie G playing lights out. If he continues anything like that, Montreal will make more noise.
 
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Bruins look by many measures like they are already well within that bubble. 8th in P% with multiple teams right behind. -24 GD. 3-5-2 in last 10. Their experience and history is perhaps the main thing that might say otherwise.

As a fan of a Western playoff team who just lost to the Habs, it won't surprise me if they make it. Though a lot of that was on the back of a rookie G playing lights out. If he continues anything like that, Montreal will make more noise.

Yeah, they beat the Knights too. Very quick and scrappy team. I'm pretty sure one of Habs, Jackets or Sens will make it this time -- and maybe two of them.
 
It's actually crazy to me that after so many years of "maybe next year" out of teams like Ottawa, Montreal, Detroit, and Buffalo, none of them have managed to step up and definitively fill a spot in a perennially dogshit bottom half of the eastern conference.

I feel like the safe money is on Boston/Tampa and NYR because it wouldn't surprise me to see the other teams continue to be sellers (or at the very least they won't be "buyers") at the trade deadline even if they're still in spitting distance of a wild card to try and continue to build instead of sneaking into the playoffs just to get destroyed in the 1st round.
Don't know why you have Montreal on this list. They were a cup finalist 4 years ago then had their year of disintegration and have nothing but get better since. Cripes! They have beaten the last 4 Stanley cup champions in the past 2 weeks. Before the season I took the position that Eastern conference was going to be a blood bath and that is what we have. The tightness in the standings show this.
 
It's actually crazy to me that after so many years of "maybe next year" out of teams like Ottawa, Montreal, Detroit, and Buffalo, none of them have managed to step up and definitively fill a spot in a perennially dogshit bottom half of the eastern conference.

I feel like the safe money is on Boston/Tampa and NYR because it wouldn't surprise me to see the other teams continue to be sellers (or at the very least they won't be "buyers") at the trade deadline even if they're still in spitting distance of a wild card to try and continue to build instead of sneaking into the playoffs just to get destroyed in the 1st round.
Ottawa is first wild card team by points percentage
 
The minute the Bruins got past their cupcake part of the schedule, they became a below-average team. That's not good enough to get them into the playoffs.

I'm going gutsy. I'm picking Ottawa and Montreal to make the playoffs.
 
The Leafs, Cats, Caps, Devils and Canes are all in good shape going into the four nations break.

It's the Squid Game for the other three slots where nobody is really out and even the Sabres could claw back in if they could put a nice run together. Very likely a matter of who can stay healthy and not seriously stumble for the rest of the season.
 

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