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Speculation: 2025 Off-season Thread

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lol what?



"The Avalanche have struck brass with many of their recent first round picks! 🙌"

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That doesn't explain why the team was better without Makar.

They're not. The numbers are all higher with Makar than without.

What JFresh is showing is a selective sample of a shift that is mostly heavily skewed toward defense, and likely without possession. Cale mostly plays with Nate, and Nate's not changing when they have possession, he's changing when they don't have it, or when they're about to give it up, and Cale stays on to clean up the mess, and take the hit to his analytics, while Nate doesn't.

No Makar No MacKinnon is a full shift from other defenseman, that presumably includes both possession and non possession, so it includes both shots for and against. Unlike the other which mostly includes shots against, but not for.

In order for this to be meaningful, he needs to drill down on top defenseman on other teams, that are similarly played as a 5 man unit, and look at their numbers in the same situation where the C changes and the D stays on.

If they don't have the same impact on the numbers, then it probably means Nate is being lazy and changing at bad times. Which is probably the case sometimes, but it's not clear how often. I don't see how it would be anything Makar is doing. He still defends hard at the end of his shifts.
 
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