Red Sox/MLB 2025 Off-Season Hot Stove II - TRUCK DAY IS FEBRUARY 3

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Manfred is such a puke
Manfred: 'I don't agree' that Dodgers are bad for baseball
 

Along the same lines

The MLBPA has it the best by far in professional sports. With the way a lot of big signings seem to drag out until spring training these days I expect an absolute war for this next CBA.
 

PALM BEACH, Fla. -- Baseball commissioner Rob Manfred says he is getting emails from fans concerned over the sport's lack of a salary cap following an offseason spending spree by the Los Angeles Dodgersthat sparked increased attention over the expiration of the collective bargaining agreement in December 2026.

"This is an issue that we need to be vigilant on," Manfred said Thursday following the end of an owners meeting. "We need to pay attention to it and need to determine whether there are things that can be done to allay those kinds of concerns and make sure we have a competitive and healthy game going forward."
 
The Red Sox are projected to finish last in the AL East with 77.6 wins, per Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA projections

What a bunch of garbage

They definitely can win 81 games
 
The Red Sox are projected to finish last in the AL East with 77.6 wins, per Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA projections

What a bunch of garbage

They definitely can win 81 games

There's a saying "all models are wrong, some are useful". Having said that, PECOTA projected them with 80 wins last year and they got 81, and 80 wins in 2023 and they got 78, so they might not be as garbage as you'd like to believe.
 
The Red Sox are projected to finish last in the AL East with 77.6 wins, per Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA projections

What a bunch of garbage

They definitely can win 81 games


They could win 81, that would be a minor overperformance of PECOTA, but certainly within margin of error. But can they get up around 90 wins where they would be relevant? Probably not
 
I'm not sure exactly how PECOTA projection works, but I've always felt baseball has the most late season variance of any sport. If you're out of the race on August 15th, the rest of the season is an absolute tank where veterans make up injuries and go home and they call up middling prospects to see what they've got, but if you're within earshot of a wildcard you buy at the deadline and go on a run. So a team with 81 win talent on pythag probably ends at 73 wins and a 85 win talent grinds up to 88 wins, etc.
 
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