You are kinda forgetting some key points. We are not going to be sellers this year. Unless the rails fall off very quickly. (Possible for sure). We will almost certainly trade Dumo and Fabbri, but unlikely anyone else. Unless someone throws a stupid trade at us, Brady for Z straight up, Semec + picks + salary dump for Gibson.
Pitt / Philly / SJ have already started selling off a little bit, Nashville should sell some non key assets and start resting their older players down the stretch.
5th overall is not out of question, I just see us as one of the few teams not selling off any key assets, who will also be trying to win every game down the stretch as we aren’t really in tank mode anymore, and some team may flip to tank. Montreal / Seattle / Utah (with a half tank), NYI ? Basically I see a scenario where 5 of more other teams try to get worse than us, with Nashville / SJ / Sabres / Chicago kinda already past the point of no return.
I agree with Tomd , it isn’t very likely we are bottom 5 team when it’s all said and done. Although not impossible.