- Total Word Count:: 1,537 words
- Total Typos: 277
- Typos as a Percentage: 18.02%
Three days ago, Ben Pope wrote an article quoting Chris Peters of FloHockey, stating that this is considered a weak draft and that no player at the top is viewed by scouts as a surefire franchise star.
This surprised me. I thought many considered Schaefer to be that franchise #1 star defenseman, although even with Misa, there are questions about how high a star he will become at the NHL level. Peters said Misa has a chance to be a franchise-type player, but it's not a certainty he'll reach that elite impact level.
Pope also quoted Davidson, saying the Blackhawks' rankings will not align with most public ranking lists.
So, it seems the Hawks won't just go BPA (best player available), but rather go for the best fit or the player they feel has the highest potential down the line. That's how I interpret it.
Chris Peters thinks the Hawks may take Desnoyers at #3 as the best fit, even though his ceiling may not be as high as some others. But his consistency, 200-foot game, and two-way center style are things the organization values more than raw talent with inconsistency. Pope points out that Martone has consistency issues, plus skating concerns. Frolík only played his best hockey of the season at the U18s, and that was against his own age group.
If the Hawks aren’t considering Martone or Frolík for these issues, then if Desnoyers isn’t the best of a poor group, then who is?
In my opinion, that leaves only two others to consider:
- Jake O'Brien
- Brady Martin
Martin is listed at 6'0", 178 lbs on most rosters, but hits and plays like he’s 6'4", 240 lbs. He's ultra-consistent, with a high compete level. He posted 72 points on a weak Soo team. One has to consider that he’d probably have 20–30 more points if he were on teams like Martone’s, Desnoyers’, or O'Brien’s, and was the #1C there. Would Misa have put up 134 points on the Soo?
You must look at the privileged situations on good teams vs. a guy who was the best player on bad teams. Martin stood out far more at the U18s than Frolík and all the hype around him that fizzled.
Now to Jake O'Brien: he has a June 2007 birthday, making him younger than most others mentioned. That gives him the longest runway to improve. Most scouts agree he’s the best passer and playmaker in the draft. He plays in all situations, including PK and PP1, and gets big minutes for Brantford. But context matters: at 5-on-5, he was only the 2C. Thomas was the 1C in Brantford.
Even so, O'Brien's elite passing helped make Brantford’s PP1 lethal. At 5-on-5, he played with second-liners, and the best among them—Vanacker—was injured for the first half of the season and didn’t return to form until February. This context explains O’Brien’s lower 5-on-5 numbers early in the season.
O'Brien's flaws include a lack of explosive acceleration and straight-line separation speed—he needs to improve those. He’s a solid 200-foot two-way player, but he didn’t post a great +/- rating, instead ending with a slightly negative number. Still, considering the lower talent around him on the second line, that’s understandable. However, it also indicates some defensive instincts that need development.
Despite that, he put up 98 points as a 2C and will likely be Brantford’s 1C next season. He’s 6'2", strong on the boards, good in puck battles, and uses his size well to protect the puck. Projecting forward, he could have the highest ceiling as a 1C if he fills out and polishes the rough spots.
So, although he’s ranked lower than most of the other names (except Martin), O’Brien may actually have the highest ceiling long-term. He’s just earlier in his development curve. I think he’ll have a big year in Brantford this season.
Maybe the Hawks are betting on a very high ceiling while others plateau.
With Martin, you know what you’re getting: the king of consistency. He outworks everyone on the ice, is one of the best hitters in the draft, and plays with a relentless motor. He has a high-quality shot, creates high-scoring chances, and is hard to knock off the puck. He brings a 200-foot game with constant work ethic. While he doesn’t have breakaway speed, he gets by defenders with above-average pace and power in his stride.
While nobody suggests he’ll be a 90-point 1C in the NHL, he could be an impactful 2C who lifts his line, plays big minutes, and contributes across all zones due to relentless forechecking and effort. He creates scoring chances from this style, even if they don’t always turn into points. Given the weak Soo team, his scoring was good in context. Everyone saw how he could dominate shifts at the U18s.
He should have had 5 or 6 more goals just from the chances he created or was set up on. He was so impressive, I can’t stop praising him.
Maybe he ends up impacting games like Marchand did—relentless work rewarded over time. The fact that he punishes opponents with hard hits too is impressive.
Would the Hawks want this type of player in the top six? He’s not a fourth-line bruiser—he can score and drive play, not just from talent but from tireless work habits. He’s unique in this draft. The Hawks don’t have a player like him, and that includes Savoie, who—if he makes it—is a fourth-line energy type.
Martin is an energy player who can drive play on a top line or second line, even without scoring. He tilts the ice. I’d want that kind of impact player on my team.
Are the Hawks considering Martin as high as #3?
We don’t know. But Davidson's statement that the Hawks’ list is quite different from most public lists could be a clue.
The public wants Martone. While he played quite well for Canada at the WHC in limited minutes (as the youngest player on the ice), he didn’t hurt Canada defensively and even got a scoring chance. He played well along the boards, but didn’t get many shots off or score.
His size is something the Hawks need, but does he have a high star ceiling? I’m not sure.
The fact that Davidson says they could go off the favored lists suggests they’re considering someone else.
So, if they’re going off the usual suspects, it has to be either O'Brien or Martin, I would guess.
Maybe they even mean Desnoyers goes higher than most lists have him (6th or 7th)?
Makes you wonder if Davidson has narrowed his list to three and is still deciding after watching more Desnoyers play better against quality competition at the Memorial Cup.
We’ll see if Desnoyers shines or fizzles.