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We saw Porter Martone play for Canada yesterday in the Winter Sweden game. He played only 8:45 TOI, of course, mostly not used in offensive or PK situations. However, on the shifts he did play, you immediately notice his size. He didn’t get a shot on goal or set up a teammate for a scoring chance, but on the other hand, he did not look "lost" or overwhelmed. Sure, he’s not a speedster, but he did not look as slow as some reports suggested. I focused on him during one shift when Sweden was threatening in Canada's defensive zone, and he surprisingly stuck with his check, Lucas Raymond. So, it looked like when he applies himself, he won’t be as much of a defensive worry as I thought from the analysts who perhaps over-criticized his defensive play. I guess the issue is consistency of effort. When he’s focused and tries, it looks fine to me. But offensively, I didn’t see much to suggest anything special. I realize he only got limited minutes, so it's hard to judge based on that. Had he played with Crosby or MacKinnon, maybe we would’ve seen more from him.
He’s supposed to be more of a finesse, skill-based big guy, but he looked more like a power forward type—straight-line rushes up the wing, which Sweden had no trouble closing off on the boards. However, I think the biggest surprise I saw was that he looked more agile for a big guy than I thought. He was doing a lot of quick pivots and swivels without the puck to get into better defensive positions.
It’s just hard to judge him off such a limited bottom-six role.
I think the majority of mock drafts have the Hawks ending up with either Martone, Desnoyers, or Friesen at #3. (Unless the Craig Button mock scenario, where SJ takes Martone, materializes, in which case the Hawks do get Misa.) I still insist the best NHL prospect I’ve seen and can’t get out of my mind was the three-zone impact I saw from Brady Martin at the U18s, where he dominated shifts. Ironically, it wasn’t his NHL pro shot that dazzled; in fact, he was off quite a lot on that, but he finished strong with two goals in the gold medal game, giving him three goals for the tournament. Had his shot been "on," he could’ve ended with six or seven goals given the chances he created for himself or was set up on. Rather, it was his relentless excellence in his forechecking, puck hounding, retrievals, puck battle wins, holding onto pucks through checks—just a lot of excellent details that screamed "NHL pro." And the cherry on top: physicality and big, punishing hits. The fact that his work ethic and compete level are off the charts makes him a player who creates so many scoring chances, both for himself and his teammates.
In the Soo, he played for a bad team with not much to help him. But at the U18s, he had better support, and it was clear he was the best player on Canada. Compared to Frondell in that gold medal game, there was no comparison. Frondell was ineffective and looked slow, with nothing special to detect, whereas Martin looked very special.
All this despite one of his best reported attributes, his shot, being mostly "off" on the side of the goal-scoring chances he either created for himself or was set up for by teammates.
I would draft Martin at #3—such a high floor, you can’t miss.
Do others have a higher ceiling as point producers? Maybe, but I still think 72 points playing with little support around him would have been a much higher production stat if he were on a much better team like every other usual suspect in the top group of candidates for #3, who were privileged to have played in much better situations compared to his time in the Soo. I just think he brings more to the table overall than all the other #3 candidates.
None of the mock drafts I’ve seen from the usual top draft experts—Button, Pronman, Wheeler, Elite Prospects, Plazcek, and others—have Martone as high as #3. But no question, after his performance at the U18s and seeing how impactful a player he can be, with the unique combination of physicality, compete, leadership, and game-changing skills, you wonder why he shouldn’t be in the mix at #3. He’s in my books. He passed my eye test and made Frondell look like a non-factor in the eye test comparison. But KD will, of course, not take him at #3.
Now, Martone or Desnoyers are in contrast on some of those mocks at #3.
The issue is, Martone is a winger. If the Hawks want a winger at #3, they will take Martone. If they want a center, they probably take Desnoyers. Even though Moncton has used Desnoyers more on the wing in the games I’ve watched in the Q Final series with Rimouski.
Ironically, Martin was used at LW at the U18s by Canada, but we know he played center for the Soo all season. So, I think both Desnoyers and Martin are versatile and can play either C or on the wing.
Desnoyers went without a goal against Rimouski in six games in that Q Final series but did get six assists. He played okay, but I wouldn’t say he was the best player on the ice or the best player on his team. A few flashes of brilliance and mostly solid defensively, except for one off lousy game (where his whole team was a no-show). But overall, no consistent wow factor. Maybe he shows better at the Memorial Cup?
Anyway, I doubt KD will take my choice at #3, Brady Martin, so we’ll have to hope whoever he picks will develop to the ceiling the rankers think they can, justifying their rank higher than Martin now.
But beyond pure production, Martin brings so much more: tangible physicality, compete, and the intangible "leader by example" and "gamer" qualities. The overall impact he brings to tilt the ice. He will make any team much better. That I know.
So, you can’t just look at 72 points vs. 98-point guys or 84-point guys. You should consider everything, from the situation to the entire package.
Drafting involves what you know, see, and hope for in terms of a ceiling, but maybe your hope never reaches the ceiling you thought he might achieve once projected years down the road in an NHL career. Hard to guess which of any of Martone, Desnoyers, or Frondell will hit the expected ceiling for high picks—if any of them actually become stars as pros.
With Martin, you know that whatever ceiling he reaches, when you add the impact of all the rest he brings to a team, you’ll have something special and useful. Even more importantly, you’ll have a playoff-type hammer who will impact when the intensity and physicality ramp up in the playoffs.
I just think Martin is a unique opportunity type of player the Hawks desperately need up front.
But KD isn’t smart enough to realize it, and so will stick with one of the usual suspects after dream star picks Schaefer and Misa go off the board.
Worse, he’ll pick another shrimp in Hagens at #3, touting he sticks with his board as the best BPA despite the size concerns. And the Hawks will again, in that case, be unbalanced to the shrimp side = stupid = wrong roster construction if he's a slave to some BPA ranking GM rule that makes no sense for a team stocked with smallish talent up front and soon to be added from the pipeline.
If KD drafts Hagens, that’s cause for firing.
If I’m wrong, and KD shocks the hockey expert world by taking Martone at #3, then I’ll praise his insight and courage to ignore the consensus rankers and mocks.
But I just don’t expect KD to deviate from the usual four candidates all ranked ahead of Martin on almost all lists or mock drafts.
I don’t think Martin gets past #6. Lots of speculation the Flyers want him.
Martone is a sparkplug—something the Hawks need to inspire a team shift after shift, period after period, game after game. No slacking off. Bedard and all of them can learn from his PRO work ethic. Not saying he’s Hossa, but Hossa was the hardest worker and a consistent leader by example every game. Martin has similar qualities. Who wouldn’t want such an inspired leader by example for their team?
KD should not settle for "maybe" or a Junior hopeful who hits his ceiling down the line in the NHL, but for what the eyes see and know a player can bring because he’s already playing like a PRO—the tangible PLUS the intangibles, the Extra "it" and "hit" he brings to a club.
KD should, but he won’t realize this need for the Hawks.
So Martin becomes a key cog for another team.