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2025 26 Roster…too Soon

I was thinking the same thing last night. Every forward added from here on out should be 6’2” and 200 pounds or larger. Bedard and Nazar can be the two “small” guys, and Moore is kind of in between
Don't forget that they have Kantserov coming over soon as well. I'm not saying that they should only draft 6'2"+ forwards going forward, but I frankly have a hard time justifying picking players that are 5'10" or shorter right now. Draft-eligble players like Kindel, Potter, and Schmidt would not be high on my board.
 
I think the takeaway from this series is that size does matter in the playoffs. 12 forwards and 6 defensemen on the Panthers roster are 6’1” or taller. Marchand is their only small forward at 5’9” and he’s playing on their 3rd line. The next closest are Rodrigues and Samoskevich at 5’11”. In the end, you can have small forwards, but you frankly can only have so many on your roster and you need to insulate those players with size around them.
The Panthers are statistically the 9th tallest and 24th heaviest team in the NHL. The Leafs, who they beat, are #1 in both height and weight.

It's got a lot more to do with playing style than it does with actual height and weight.

Edit, meant to say the Leafs are both taller and heavier than Florida. The Leafs are the tallest and fifth heaviest.
 
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The Panthers are statistically the 9th tallest and 24th heaviest team in the NHL. The Leafs, who they beat, are #1 in both height and weight.

It's got a lot more to do with playing style than it does with actual height and weight.

Edit, meant to say the Leafs are both taller and heavier than Florida. The Leafs are the tallest and fifth heaviest.
Interesting, I didn’t realize that.

I remember breakdowns of the good lightning teams mentioning that despite their forwards being smaller they were always getting in peoples faces.
 
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Playing a physical game has way more to do with mentality than size. How do people still not realize this? Andrew Shaw, Dylan Strome?

Kruger was one of the most effective shutdown players the Hawks had. He was all of 186 lbs.

Dave Bolland? 181 lbs.

Kris Versteeg? 176 lbs.

We all know Kane wasn't even close to his listed size. He did OK in the playoffs.

I could keep going on, but I think you get the idea.

Playoff hockey is mostly a mental game. Some guys have that next level and unrelenting will to win at all costs, others don't.
 
Interesting, I didn’t realize that.

I remember breakdowns of the good lightning teams mentioning that despite their forwards being smaller they were always getting in peoples faces.
Everyone seemed to know the 🌩 were dirty with their big d, stars with a bit of the timely edge like Kucherov, and great 2way depth with edge like Paquette/Coleman/Goodrow typed and they had that style where the refs won't just keep calling penalties, that's how they go, so stay over the edge and you're good.

But Tampa fans act like this didn't happen and Florida is so different. Trends always seem to somehow get attributed to the teams after they did it. Like when the Pens won back-to-back they called it so innovative they rolled 3 scoring lines & 4th line checking line... the Hawks just did that for 2 cups too
 
Let's also not forget that Toews wasn't really a big guy either. He was giving up 2-3 inches and 20+ pounds to most of the centers he played against, and still dominated the head-to-head matchups.
True. Which makes a guy like Desnoyers, who is apparently a leave it all on the ice type, appealing.
 
Frondell, Misa, Desnoyers are all nice options at 3. It all depends on what NYI and SJ do ahead. If there is any chance for KD to trade up and get two of these three you make it happen.

Maybe a little fantasyland here but:

Bedard-Misa-______
Nazar-Frondell/Desnoyers-______
Moore-Boisvert-_______
 
If the Hawks match the top money any other organization sends Marner, I feel like he’ll choose here.

Chicago is premier sports town, while being 5th in terms of popularity among the sports teams, so there’s significantly less pressure. And just being a nice city in general. And closer to home for him than say somewhere in California.

I doubt his wife wants to go to Raleigh or somewhere like that. So just be prepared guys, I think the Hawks are a true front runner for him
Don’t hate on Raleigh. Been here for years and definitely prefer it to Chicago.
 
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Yeah I’ve lived in Chicago and spent some time in Raleigh. I’d personally probably choose living in Raleigh over Chicago at this point too. Their downtown area is great.
Agreed. Not to mention it is so much easier to get around here. Do not miss big city traffic. I will admit though that Chicago traffic is way better than Boston’s.
 
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Yeah I’ve lived in Chicago and spent some time in Raleigh. I’d personally probably choose living in Raleigh over Chicago at this point too. Their downtown area is great.
Agreed. Not to mention it is so much easier to get around here. Do not miss big city traffic. I will admit though that Chicago traffic is way better than Boston’s.
Having access to Chicago is much better than living there full time. Not the same there as 25-50 years ago. I get it if you’re in your 20’s, but not with a family. I live in Western Michigan on the lakeshore. Raised my family here. Way better than Chicago, and better than the North Shore where I grew up. Got my city fix anytime I wanted, hit up the sports, museums, and performing arts with the family, and then back to the relative peace and quiet here. My boys live there now, but they likely eventually will leave too.
 
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Irrelevant since Marner isn't coming here but...you guys know he could just buy a gorgeous home in Wilmette right? You guys are acting like his only option is to buy a high rise condo in River North or something. If you're making $13+M a year you have no problems finding the perfect home

Yeah that entire area (Lake Forest, Winnetka, Glencoe, etc) is already home to various Chicago athletes as well (Also a bunch of retired Chicago athletes live up there)
 
here's some career scoring averages i spent this afternoon compiling:

donato:
all strengths
13:21 avg toi | 0.47p/gp | 2.11p/60(+0.19/+9% from 1.92 c.23-24)
5v5
11:24avg toi | 0.36p/gp | 1.84p/60(+0.06/+3% from 1.78 c.23-24)

bertuzzi:
all strengths
16:58 avg toi | 0.63p/gp | 2.22p/60(-0.02/-0.8% from 2.24 c.23-24)
5v5
13:13 avg toi | 0.42p/gp | 1.61p/60(-0.02/-1% from 1.63 c.23-24)

teravainen:
all strengths
16:49 avg toi | 0.69p/gp | 2.45p/60(+0.01/+0.04% from 2.44 c.23-24)
5v5
12:35 avg toi | 0.32p/gp | 1.56p/60(no change from 23-24)

these are all very similar players in terms of point production, and yet when we talk about them, we usually talk about bertuzzi and teravainen as under performing middle-sixers, whereas donato is typically dismissed as a fourth liner. the numbers are clear that this last season was an outlier for donato that he is unlikely to fully live up to, but even before this season he was in the same class as the other two in raw numbers while being more efficient with less time at 5v5.

so the point i want to make is this: if you consider bert and turbo to be middle-sixers while donato is a fringe bottom-sixer, then it has to be on the basis of something other than their point production, because the daylight simply isn't there to make the call on that basis. if you accept that, then this discrepancy in the way these players are typically evaluated is even more mystifying, because neither of bert or turbo are popularly considered defensive stalwarts, nor is donato commonly understood to be a blackhole in his own zone. that leads me to believe that people call the one player a bottom-sixer because he has been deployed with the minutes of a bottom-sixer while they call the two players middle-sixers because they have been deployed with the minutes of a middle-sixer, not because of anything any of these players actually did in their respective minutes. once all three players came to the same team and received similar deployment, the already narrow differences between them narrowed even further. go figure.
 
I hope Moore is treated the same as Nazar . Let him start on Ice Hogs and dont rush him , if he flourishes call him up . Greene probably is on Ice hogs with Misiak and Lardis .
 
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here's some career scoring averages i spent this afternoon compiling:

donato:
all strengths
13:21 avg toi | 0.47p/gp | 2.11p/60(+0.19/+9% from 1.92 c.23-24)
5v5
11:24avg toi | 0.36p/gp | 1.84p/60(+0.06/+3% from 1.78 c.23-24)

bertuzzi:
all strengths
16:58 avg toi | 0.63p/gp | 2.22p/60(-0.02/-0.8% from 2.24 c.23-24)
5v5
13:13 avg toi | 0.42p/gp | 1.61p/60(-0.02/-1% from 1.63 c.23-24)

teravainen:
all strengths
16:49 avg toi | 0.69p/gp | 2.45p/60(+0.01/+0.04% from 2.44 c.23-24)
5v5
12:35 avg toi | 0.32p/gp | 1.56p/60(no change from 23-24)

these are all very similar players in terms of point production, and yet when we talk about them, we usually talk about bertuzzi and teravainen as under performing middle-sixers, whereas donato is typically dismissed as a fourth liner. the numbers are clear that this last season was an outlier for donato that he is unlikely to fully live up to, but even before this season he was in the same class as the other two in raw numbers while being more efficient with less time at 5v5.

so the point i want to make is this: if you consider bert and turbo to be middle-sixers while donato is a fringe bottom-sixer, then it has to be on the basis of something other than their point production, because the daylight simply isn't there to make the call on that basis. if you accept that, then this discrepancy in the way these players are typically evaluated is even more mystifying, because neither of bert or turbo are popularly considered defensive stalwarts, nor is donato commonly understood to be a blackhole in his own zone. that leads me to believe that people call the one player a bottom-sixer because he has been deployed with the minutes of a bottom-sixer while they call the two players middle-sixers because they have been deployed with the minutes of a middle-sixer, not because of anything any of these players actually did in their respective minutes. once all three players came to the same team and received similar deployment, the already narrow differences between them narrowed even further. go figure.
How much of Donato's time was spent with Bedard compared to Turbo and Bert?

I don't want Donato back for the reason that I don't think he's NHL good at anything.
 
How much of Donato's time was spent with Bedard compared to Turbo and Bert?
donato: 420:55, 2.71 on ice gf/60
bertuzzi: 366:58, 2.78 on ice gf/60
teravainen: 229:31, 2.09 on ice gf/60

like i showed the last time we did this, being with bedard doesn'thave primary explanatory value here.
I don't want Donato back for the reason that I don't think he's NHL good at anything.
i know you think that, and i think you think that for the reasons i outlined above. if he's not nhl good at anything, then you have to explain why bert and turbo are nhl good at something but objectivley less efficient at scoring 5v5 and not significantly better at all strengths.
 
donato: 420:55, 2.71 on ice gf/60
bertuzzi: 366:58, 2.78 on ice gf/60
teravainen: 229:31, 2.09 on ice gf/60

like i showed the last time we did this, being with bedard doesn'thave primary explanatory value here.

i know you think that, and i think you think that for the reasons i outlined above. if he's not nhl good at anything, then you have to explain why bert and turbo are nhl good at something but objectivley less efficient at scoring 5v5 and not significantly better at all strengths.
Because Turbo is a far better play maker with far better hands. Bert is a 20-20 guy who's really good around the net. Donato is a depth scoring winger who was really good at scoring some soft goals.

Donato certainly could prove me wrong and be close to the guy he was this past season but it's a gamble I wouldn't make because I see it as a statistical anomaly. Do you not or are you just asking why?
 
donato: 420:55, 2.71 on ice gf/60
bertuzzi: 366:58, 2.78 on ice gf/60
teravainen: 229:31, 2.09 on ice gf/60

like i showed the last time we did this, being with bedard doesn'thave primary explanatory value here.

i know you think that, and i think you think that for the reasons i outlined above. if he's not nhl good at anything, then you have to explain why bert and turbo are nhl good at something but objectivley less efficient at scoring 5v5 and not significantly better at all strengths.
Teuvo is great and smart defensively, idk how you came to the statement hes not known for that. And yeah, Donato is known to be a bit of trouble defensively because he doesn't often overwork or battle.

Bertuzzi is also a set role player, hes a net front guy. A good 10 of his pp goals were deflecting plays from Bedard. He's known flawed, but also a role not any skill player can plug into, so it's something you need.

I find it odd people here forget Donato was hot this season without playing with Bedard at all for months. Donato CHI 2425 he played barely with Bedard or even pp1 for the entire 1st half of the year and was hitting his career highs.

But your points ignore there is a role difference. What role will Donato have? He succeeded this year by skating hard and trying his best in a skill role. Has he really figured that out or was it a lucky year? Teuvo is a super smart 2ways skilled player with great passing... you know you're getting that. Bertuzzi is sadly streaky, but the only net front guy we have and good at it usually. Donato is what?
 
I hope Moore is treated the same as Nazar . Let him start on Ice Hogs and dont rush him , if he flourishes call him up . Greene probably is on Ice hogs with Misiak and Lardis .

If Moore continues his good play in camp/preseason he should stay in NHL. He looked every bit the part of an NHLer to end season

No reason to punish kid sending him to Rockford in that situation as it sends wrong message to put a kid in AHL and have slop playing over him "Just because"

No more wasting roster spots on worthless vets and holding kids back
 
Playing a physical game has way more to do with mentality than size. How do people still not realize this? Andrew Shaw, Dylan Strome?

Kruger was one of the most effective shutdown players the Hawks had. He was all of 186 lbs.

Dave Bolland? 181 lbs.

Kris Versteeg? 176 lbs.

We all know Kane wasn't even close to his listed size. He did OK in the playoffs.

I could keep going on, but I think you get the idea.

Playoff hockey is mostly a mental game. Some guys have that next level and unrelenting will to win at all costs, others don't.
exactly, Doug Gilmour and Theoren Fleury come to mind, both very tough despite small stature
 
If Moore continues his good play in camp/preseason he should stay in NHL. He looked every bit the part of an NHLer to end season

No reason to punish kid sending him to Rockford in that situation as it sends wrong message to put a kid in AHL and have slop playing over him "Just because"

No more wasting roster spots on worthless vets and holding kids back
Nobody ever got ruined from getting held back. There have been countless examples of prospects getting ruined by being rushed to the NHL. Make them prove it in Rockford.

I like Lev, think he looked good in his cup of coffee. Still think he should start in Rockford.
 
Because Turbo is a far better play maker with far better hands. Bert is a 20-20 guy who's really good around the net. Donato is a depth scoring winger who was really good at scoring some soft goals.
and yet, even before donato's individually anomalous 24-25 season, he was on average a more efficient scorer than either at 5v5. considering that the relative all strengths gulf between him and turbo last season was only ~-0.5p/60 while the 5v5 was ~+0.3, that tells me that the difference between the two wasn't really that great, and that your evaluations are oriented towards aesthetics rather than outcome or results.
Donato certainly could prove me wrong and be close to the guy he was this past season but it's a gamble I wouldn't make because I see it as a statistical anomaly. Do you not or are you just asking why?
his season was a statistical anomaly. i fully well expect him to score less than 2.85p/60 next season. rather, if he resigned i would expect him to score somewhere between 1.9 and 2.5, about like i expect from bert and turbo. my point is that even taking away the career year, donato is comparable to bert and turbo in terms of points production efficiency. again: if donato is clearly worse than either of these two players, it has to be for some reason other than point production, and no one has offered me any other satisfying reason so far.
Teuvo is great and smart defensively, idk how you came to the statement hes not known for that. And yeah, Donato is known to be a bit of trouble defensively because he doesn't often overwork or battle.
the point i was making is that neither of bert or turbo are known to be exceptional defensive forwards, and that donato is not known to be an exceptionally bad defensive forward. they are all pretty middling. i'd say turbo is probably considered the best, followed by donato and bert. the exact breakdown is neither here nor there, because what's important is i don't think there's anything to indicate that either bert or turbo's defensive contributions are so overaweing as to place them clearly head-and-shoulder above donato when considering their respective all around games.
But your points ignore there is a role difference. What role will Donato have? He succeeded this year by skating hard and trying his best in a skill role. Has he really figured that out or was it a lucky year? Teuvo is a super smart 2ways skilled player with great passing... you know you're getting that. Bertuzzi is sadly streaky, but the only net front guy we have and good at it usually. Donato is what?
to me, donato is a hard working middle-six forward who you can be confident will give you somewhere between 15-25 goals 40-60 points in 14 minutes a night. well worth the ~6.25% of the cap bert got, which would place him around a $5.96 mil cap hit this offseason. i do that for 3-5 years no problem. certainly far easier for me to offer him that than offer anyone else on the market $8+mil for 6+ years.
 

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