Jays on May 12th games ago: 6.0 GBs of the Wildcard
Record since: 2-4
Today: Jays 3.5 GBs of the Wildcard
Jays have twice as many losses as wins in the last week and made up 2.5 Games in the WC race. It is an incredibly weak wildcard race. Unless you get a great offer to sell (a la Ragans for Chapman), you play this out until the deadline.
Last year, a 90 win. 5th seed. AL WC and 84 win. 6th seed. NL WC made it to the WS. So as long as you're in the hunt you take it, especially in a weak WC race. Contending for a playoff spot isnt always there, rebuilding will always be there at anytime whenever you are ready.
Your hitting is underperforming to epic proportions, your bullpen is one of the worst in the league and the starters haven't found their groove yet. If one of those comeback you are in a WC spot and if 2 come back, you are comfortably in a wildcard spot.
Outside of Baltimore, next 20 games are key:
3 vs CWS
4 vs DET
3 vs CWS
3 vs PIT
4 vs BAL
3 vs OAK
We will see what the Jays are about. Got to win at least 12-13 of those and you are probably in a WC spot.I'm playing this out until June to see where this ends up. Jays players are too good for them to be this bad.
Tiny sample size but some of the top guys are hitting better over the last week vs good pitching (Baltimore and Tampa):
Guerrero Jr. : 164 wRC+
Kirk: 150 wRC+
Bichette: 116 wRC+
Springer; 112 wRC+
Not saying the Jays will make the playoffs or win a WS, just saying they have time before the deadline so let this play out see where you are in June and July. And if you arent there, you can always sell at anytime.