ESPN grades the Paxton deal.
Red Sox grade: C-
Because Paxton was DFA'd by the Dodgers this week, this isn't a true deadline deal but more of the standard kind of swap you see as teams manage their rosters through the season. That the Dodgers were willing to jettison Paxton as part of an attempt to improve the rotation is an indictment of where he's at in his career, though that's not to say he can't provide a modest upgrade in rotation depth for Boston.
Paxton pitched for the Red Sox last year but they are getting a different pitcher, even though his ERA is roughly the same. This version doesn't throw as hard, doesn't miss many bats and has given up an awful lot of hard contact. Perhaps because of this, Paxton's walk rate is also at a career nadir because he is unwilling to work in the strike zone with the diminished stuff. Or maybe it's his command but, either way -- it's not good.
It's those under-the-hood indicators that knock the Red Sox down a bit here, as they did give up talent for a DFA'd player and might have done better by waiting to see who else becomes available. That said, Paxton is a familiar face and the Red Sox should know what they're getting.
Dodgers grade: C+
Bolivar is a 17-year-old infielder from Venezuela signed in January for a $25,000 bonus, nominally as a shortstop though he has already moved off that position. He's not only just 17, he just turned that age three weeks ago and to project him out from here based on his Dominican Summer League stats would be silly. We can say that he hit well while often batting cleanup for the Boston entrant in the DSL (.844 OPS in 17 games at that slot). The Dodgers must have liked him, as you figure there was a non-zero trade market for Paxton given the number of teams looking for rotation depth. But, as with nearly all prospects this young: Who knows? -- Doolittle
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ESPN grades the Jansen deal.
Red Sox grade: C+
The Red Sox rank seventh in OPS from the catching position, but that's entirely because of Connor Wong's .803 mark -- Reese McGuire's is .575 in a little less than half the plate appearances. Jansen has a .671 OPS this season and .733 for his career -- he has slumped badly over the past few weeks but given his track record, you like his chances to outperform what Boston could expect from McGuire.
For that matter, Wong's batting numbers might be expected to regress, as he is outperforming his forecasts by a considerable amount. He and Jansen should be a nice tandem going forward, assuming the latter can acclimate quickly to working with a new staff. McGuire, assuming he is the odd man out, has better defensive marks than Wong, who is a strong thrower. Jansen can plug most of a defensive void opened up by a loss or decline in playing time for McGuire but -- major caveat -- you never know quite what to expect when catchers change teams midstream.
One thing you do like is Jansen's power swing, which features well above average flyball and pull rates. That seems like a pretty good recipe for Fenway Park. He has a .793 OPS there in 42 games for his career. Perhaps Boston will try to carry three catchers and work Jansen in at DH on occasion. Jansen is a rental pickup who will enter free agency this winter.
Blue Jays grade: B-
The Blue Jays aren't in full reset mode yet, but they are actively subtracting as we race toward the deadline. Jansen and Yimi Garcia (traded to Seattle on Friday) were both walk-year players. Nate Pearson (traded to Chicago on Saturday) was as much as anything someone who needs fresh voices in his ear. As long as we're not seeing names like Gausman, Guerrero, Bichette, it's not quite a reset -- but the ship has sailed on 2024.
This is a solid return for a rental catcher who will be highly sought-after in free agency this winter. Coffey is a powerful infielder who has 14 homers this season. He had one spree from June 9 to June 15 when he homered in six straight games, including a two-homer contest. His inability to make enough quality contact to feature that power has kept him off most prospect rankings before this season even though he was the 41st overall pick in the 2022 draft out of Liberty.
Paulino was ranked as Boston's No. 31 prospect (40 FV) by ESPN's Kiley McDaniel before the season, a steady climber in the Boston system after signing at 16 in 2019. He's a lefty swinger with productive speed attributes who has moved around a lot defensively. He has a lot of trouble with same-side hurlers. Batista is a 19-year-old righty out of the Dominican Republic who is a flier-type of pickup. -- Doolittle