Lindstrom is gonna be interesting to me. It wouldn't surprise me if he gets picked top 3 and rushed to the NHL and busts.
I have little interest in him in the top 5. I would not want to pick a guy that high where his worst attribute is his hockey sense.
So using last 5 years numbers (I took the PPG and extrapolated a full season for the 2 shortened seasons) here is the pace they will have to finish the season to finish in each of the top 10 picks:
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Pick[/TD]
[TD]Pace[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
1
[/TD]
[TD]
52
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
2
[/TD]
[TD]
68
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
3
[/TD]
[TD]
72
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
4
[/TD]
[TD]
75
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
5
[/TD]
[TD]
80
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
6
[/TD]
[TD]
85
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
7
[/TD]
[TD]
89
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
8
[/TD]
[TD]
92
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
9
[/TD]
[TD]
94
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
10
[/TD]
[TD]
98
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
The Ducks current pace is 59 points. Unless they have an incredible turn around, I think it is safe to say a top 5 pick is all but guaranteed. Not to mention they are going to get worse when Henrique and Bush (and whoever else) gets moved at the deadline.