TheDarkWingThatDucks
Registered User
- Oct 30, 2024
- 366
- 323
Well if we break down the last 9 games we scored 32 goals, which is good for 3.55 goals per game average, if you had 6 more games at that average (so 15 total games) you will reach 53.33 goals. So the answer to your question is 6 more games at this average, or 15 total at our current average.
To compare we started the season the first 9 games with 21 goals, for an average of 2.33 goals per game average. So we would need a total of 23 games played to reach 53.67 goals for, or 14 more games after the 9 initial to start the season.
I’m too lazy to look at the data to find the high / low 9 game sample size which is an 11% chunk of the season.
But the answer is somewhere between 15-23 games for a GC lead team to score 53 goals.
Granted as the forever optimist I am, being such a young team, and considering our young players are carrying thru our current “15 games to score 53 goals” streak, I like to think hey, maybe these 20-23 year old kids will continue to improve as they get older and stronger, and maybe one day we can do it in 10-11 games. What dreams may come.
Quick little edit : our current 3.55 goals per game pace over our last 9 games would place us 2nd place in NHL standings go GPG. Sooooooooo maybe if we can keep this for the last 19 games, and finish the last 28 games at a strong pace, (that’s 32% of a season) maybe that’s a sign that Verbeek and co think the kids can handle the reigns of a full 82 game season, and not baby them the first 3-4 months of the season. Get Cutter and Leo on the PK, maybe add Marner, trade for a Gabe Vilardi (using our 1st round pick if the Jets re-sign Elhers and can’t afford both). Does grabbing Gabe at the draft make it more or less likely to sign Marner ?
Also Vilardi is an absolute PP1 net front monster. Go watch his highlights from his 20+ goals last season. Net front monster, and 6’3”.
Zegras / Leo / Marner
Cutter / Vilardi / Colangelo
Vats / McT / Terry
Killorn / Gaucher / Strome
Jackson / Gudas (until Tristian takes over)
Minty / Helly
Zelly / Trouba
Dostal / Gibson
that’s my goal right there, Trade for Vilardi (if possible, I don’t know the Jets brass inner thoughts on Elhers and Vilardi, WRT their cap and what they can / feel comfortable shelling out for both UFA Elhers and RFA Vilardi, do they want a Pasta or Sidorov or Hinds ? And re-sign Elhers but trade Vilardi’s rights ? Do they think one is more likely to continue to have nagging injuries? I don’t know but he’s my NUMBER 1 target this offseason. I trade any non roster player for him or / and our 1st. Then run straight to Marner and offer him a 7 year deal. Bridge Mason and company for 3 years down the road, and build a f***ing wagon! But hey that’s just one man’s opinion.
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