Blue Jays Discussion: 2024-25 Off-season: The free agent watch begins (and sometimes old baseball radio broadcasts)

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Sure, 25... not sure where I got 17. It's approximately the same level of meaninglessness since it amounts to a little less than a week of baseball.

I suspect if you look at players with a significant number of playoff appearances in their career, you'll find that their career regular season numbers are far more predictive of how they perform going forward in the postseason than the first 5-10 games of their postseason career.

I don't understand how you're not projecting forward when you're factoring it into the size of contract he should get. The contract you give a player should be based entirely on how you project them to perform for you going forward.

It should be. But in reality teams use this in negotiations for contracts and vice versa. Agents will say my guy is a playoff performer no matter the sample size.

And I bet if Vladdy had a strong record in the playoffs his agent and poster here will say he is a proven playoff performer, hence why he is worth his ask.

This is my point, there are a lot of warts around Vladdy’s game on and off the field that hesitate to give him hundreds of millions of dollars and playoff performances is one of them. And if he had strong playoff performances, you bet it would be working the other way in his favor.
 
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