I'm not going to be able to write as much on the draft this year as in past years because I have a ton of life things going on, but I'd like to say that, for those of you who have Islander fan friends (or enemies, or whatever), you're going to hear a lot about a controversy for who should be the #1 overall pick in the 2025 draft.
I'm here to say, there's no controversy. LD Matthew Schaefer is head and shoulders above the rest of this class. I recently watched three of his games in full, and the kid is simply a franchise defenseman in every sense of the words. He's the best skater in the class, and I'd also rank his hockey IQ tops in the class. He's got an elite compete level and no flaws.
I'm a huge fan of Misa and Hagens, but they both come with questions. Hagens has greater upside, Misa has a higher floor, and they're both tremendous prospects -- but neither is a #1 overall pick to a sane organization with Matthew Schaefer in the mix. Porter Martone has tremendous upside, but also a ton of questions and I'm not certain he's going to be in my top 5 for this year. I'll accept arguments for him as early as #4, but the idea people have ranked him over Schaefer is a bit off the rails in my book.
Caleb Desnoyers has really shot up my rankings over the course of this year, I'd call him the highest-floor F in the 2025 class and he's the only top 5 candidate whom I would refer to as "a true center". I think he's a likely NHL 2C but with his combination of hockey IQ and compete, it would be foolish to understate his upside as a 1C. For me, he's separated from Frondell, O'Brien and McQueen and entered the top 3 overall conversation. Overall, I'd probably rank him at #4 right now, but I think he'd be a fine pick as early as #2.
Frondell and Martone are in my top 5 consideration, but they're not locks. The three oft-overlooked 1st rounders whom I believe could also compete for my #5-#7 spots are W Victor Eklund, LW Carter Bear and LD Kashawn Aitcheson. Eklund has gotten top 7 hype, and deservedly so -- he's a high-compete, high-octane scoring wing with clear top 6 potential. Bear and Aitcheson are both sorely, sorely underrated prospects whom I will surely write about in the near future. If either slips out of the top 10 in this (relatively weak) draft, it will represent a serious steal.