I'm on the Cronin won't be fired in-season group. I'm not pro Cronin. Been on that since Verbeek thought last year was a success despite earning only one extra point with a vastly superior roster and Goals Against improvement. His metric of success is vastly different from ours.
We have undeniable fact that our offensive output remains underwhelming since last year. Cronin has stated many times he cannot sacrifice his defense for offense despite being at the bottom of several defensive metrics. If it were not for our goalies standing on their heads, then it's quite possible we have a similar record to last season.
Our youth offensive talents are not made for Cronin's offense. Several of our offensive youths' productions have stalled, been inconsistent, or muted. Firing Cronin in-season would not be ruining player development if it's already being ruined. See stats below
Per Natural Stat Trick's 5v5 stats,
Ducks 2023-24:
- Ducks GF: 127 goals (30th best in league)
- Ducks GA: 173 goals against (22nd best in league)
- CF% = 46.38% (27th best)
- HD Chances For attempts: 617 (30th best in leauge)
- HD Chances Against attempts: 772 (26th best in league)
Per Natural Stat Trick's 5v5 stats,
Ducks 2024-25:
- Ducks GF: 85 goals (28th best in league)
- Ducks GA: 97 goals against (18th (tied) best in league)
- CF%: 45.57% (30th best)
- HD Chances For attempts: 401 (23rd best in leauge)
- HD Chances Against attempts: 529 (worst in league)
Let's look at our defensive group.
We have one defenseman who is relatively tilting the ice for the team in LaCombe. The HD Chances against and chart below reinforces that our defense is bad despite improved GA. Our GA is better is due to our goalies.
View attachment 968039
Goal Setting and Dev Plans
It's great to have goals set and individualized plans made, but you have to have production behind said goals and plans. Both seasons look terrible at the AHL and NHL levels. Both levels are running the same offensive and defensive schemes, as denoted by McIlvane himself. Helleson didn't look good in the AHL, but looks serviceable at the NHL level. Verbeek's novel load mgmt is just that... a novel, a gimmick that hasn't panned out. Cronin's answer to many things that go wrong is, "I don't know." or "Shoot the puck more." Cronin's individual plan is to use Mac a third liner with some offense. That could really mess with a youth's mind to be pegged as one thing, when their play beforehand was more. Mac is just focused on playing a certain way for Cronin that his offensive prowess is put on the backburner. Here's quote that supports that Mac is a 3rd line checker with offense from today's
the Athletic/Stephens article:
“A lot of people do kind of look at me and see that I’m a bigger person,” McTavish said. “And I definitely use that to my advantage. Sometimes I think I can do some more stuff than just that and kind of showcase my skills and stuff like that. Yeah, it’s definitely something that I’ve kind of worked on a lot, using my strength and stuff. Definitely want to use that as much as possible.”
Our dev plan looks like youths teaching youths. The cream of the crop usually rise. Zell and Colangelo are examples of this as both are AHL all-stars. Although, that NHL jump is still a big jump. Pastujov had to figure out himself what to do in the ECHL until the AHL called him back up; he had a 1.33 ppg rate in only 12 ECHL games and by far their leading scorer and goal scorer. Luneau does look like he's picked up his offensive game under McIlvane; a cap in the feather for McIlvane. The rest of the AHL club is meh, but McIlvane isn't in charge of the roster.
A rotation of youths isn't ideal at the NHL level. That is why we have an AHL team. Problem is the Ducks only have youths available in the AHL. Gonna replace Helleson with another youth? Maybe Helleson looking good in the NHL might be better because he wasn't looking good in the AHL, but that's a knock on McIlvane, who Helleson was with last year too.
A great improvement under Cronin has been team discipline. We are a middle of the pack team in TSH (times short-handed) this year compared to the worst offender last year.
We're team reliant on our goaltenders to being great and individual effort on our offensive counters. We have three Ducks that consistently crash the net, but only two look good doing it in Terry and D LaCombe. The other player is Mac.
Anaheim should be a much better team this year in year 2 of Cronin, but several underlying metrics say we're worse this year despite earning more points/wins. We aren't meeting goals overall and several youths look worse this year compared to last year.
Yet the only person whose perspective matters is Verbeek. Verbeek can point to metrics or culture that have improved to where he might keep Cronin around for year 3.