2024-2025 Blues Trade Proposals Thread.

I would take the risk on Pettersson. I very much doubt that he will be what he was last season moving forward. Whatever happened with him this year was just off horribly, even his shot volume was way down. Feels like a good change of scenery situation.
 
With the AAV on Pettersson's contract and his recent play, he essentially has negative value to 31 other teams. Vancouver is really stuck in a hard spot because it's poor asset management to sell low but his NMC kicks in on 7/1 that is accompanied by a $10M signing bonus payment. NMC for every year 2-8 of that deal is scary.

I actually don't hate the idea of EP as our 2C if he can kick in 70 points a year. That's the reality of our system, a 100-point Marner comparable is only like 75 points in STL. EP seems like a good candidate for a change of scenery, plus I like the Steen - Swedish connection that may help EP find his game again.

The rising cap makes EP's $11.6M a little easier to swallow, but I'd only offer our 2025 1st, a prospect not named Dvorsky, plus a cap dump (e.g., Faulk). I don't know if that's fair value or not, or if they'd push for a forward roster player, but that's my line. If it's EP and Willander, then I'd do the 2025 1st, Dvorsky, Faulk, and maybe some later picks/lower prospects.
I push back against this strongly. Thomas was on pace for 95 points over a full 82 game season. Our system doesn't hold back offense.
 
Top-6 centers are in high demand and in low supply. If you can trade a potential 2C (Dvorsky) for a sure-fire 2C (Pettersson) I’m not sure how you don’t do that.

I’d still rather have Larkin then EP, but with the cap rising and the window for contending for championships just re-opening, this kind of move is really needed.
 
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I push back against this strongly. Thomas was on pace for 95 points over a full 82 game season. Our system doesn't hold back offense.
And I push back against your push back strongly. Our implemented systems generally require sound defense and not getting into barn burners. But it's also about those highly-paid, "elite" stars that other teams build around, that score 90-100+ points. If Thomas played in Edmonton or Toronto, he'd have over 100 points which further solidifies my argument. Of course just my opinion.
 
And I push back against your push back strongly. Our implemented systems generally require sound defense and not getting into barn burners. But it's also about those highly-paid, "elite" stars that other teams build around, that score 90-100+ points. If Thomas played in Edmonton or Toronto, he'd have over 100 points which further solidifies my argument. Of course just my opinion.
Your argument was that Marner would turn into a 75 point player here, that's what I'm pushing back against. And yes, it's much more about quality of teammates and linemates specifically. No doubt in my mind that Thomas would have a slight increase on his 95 point pace this season if he played with higher end talent. Your post was basically implying that Thomas is a far superior player than Marner because of how Thomas produces here and how you believe Marner produces here. Kyrou has also scored 70+ points 3 times here with a peak 83 point pace. If a swing exists, it would be nowhere near a 25 point one that you are implying.
 
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Your argument was that Marner would turn into a 75 point player here, that's what I'm pushing back against. And yes, it's much more about quality of teammates and linemates specifically. No doubt in my mind that Thomas would have a slight increase on his 95 point pace this season if he played with higher end talent. Your post was basically implying that Thomas is a far superior player than Marner because of how Thomas produces here and how you believe Marner produces here. Kyrou has also scored 70+ points 3 times here with a peak 83 point pace. If a swing exists, it would be nowhere near a 25 point one that you are implying.
You're the one making that argument because that's not what I said at all. I didn't say anything about who's better than who.

Do I think Thomas puts up more points on a more offensively structured team? Yes. Do I think if Marner played on STL he would put up less points than he currently is? Again, yes.

With the AAV on Pettersson's contract and his recent play, he essentially has negative value to 31 other teams. Vancouver is really stuck in a hard spot because it's poor asset management to sell low but his NMC kicks in on 7/1 that is accompanied by a $10M signing bonus payment. NMC for every year 2-8 of that deal is scary.

I actually don't hate the idea of EP as our 2C if he can kick in 70 points a year. That's the reality of our system, a 100-point Marner comparable is only like 75 points in STL. EP seems like a good candidate for a change of scenery, plus I like the Steen - Swedish connection that may help EP find his game again.

The rising cap makes EP's $11.6M a little easier to swallow, but I'd only offer our 2025 1st, a prospect not named Dvorsky, plus a cap dump (e.g., Faulk). I don't know if that's fair value or not, or if they'd push for a forward roster player, but that's my line. If it's EP and Willander, then I'd do the 2025 1st, Dvorsky, Faulk, and maybe some later picks/lower prospects.
I respect the push back that such a swing is not 25 points. If it's 10-20 points then sure. If someone argues that it doesn't exist, then I flat out disagree. My argument was that a Marner-like comparable for moving EP from Vancouver to STL is a decrease in points, so no one should expect EP in STL to put up 100 points like he did two years ago. That's the intent behind the point there.
 
You're the one making that argument because that's not what I said at all. I didn't say anything about who's better than who.

Do I think Thomas puts up more points on a more offensively structured team? Yes. Do I think if Marner played on STL he would put up less points than he currently is? Again, yes.


I respect the push back that such a swing is not 25 points. If it's 10-20 points then sure. If someone argues that it doesn't exist, then I flat out disagree. My argument was that a Marner-like comparable for moving EP from Vancouver to STL is a decrease in points, so no one should expect EP in STL to put up 100 points like he did two years ago. That's the intent behind the point there.
Do you disagree that Thomas produced at a 95 point pace this season? It's just silly to imply our system is comparable to something like Hitch's system. Even when Oshie went to Washington, he had a modest increase of around a 5 point pace.
 
Top-6 centers are in high demand and in low supply. If you can trade a potential 2C (Dvorsky) for a sure-fire 2C (Pettersson) I’m not sure how you don’t do that.

I’d still rather have Larkin then EP, but with the cap rising and the window for contending for championships just re-opening, this kind of move is really needed.
Agreed on Larkin. The relationship between the player and the front office is fractured. Has it reached a point where Larkin will request a trade? I don't know but if I'm Army, I'm certainly calling Yzerman to find out.

I would also be interested in an EP + Willander swap. Still have a hard time envisioning Vancouver moving Horvat, Miller and then EP in consecutive years. In hindsight, its EP that they should have moved.
 
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I don't think that the Blues play a system that discourages offense any more than Vancouver did under Tochett or Toronto currently does under Berube. Both of those coaches put a huge emphasis on taking care of your own zone before focusing on offense. So did Keefe's Maple Leafs teams. I think that the construction of Toronto's blue line has been bad for a long time and I don't really like the construction of Vancouver's blue line beyond Hughes. I think there is good argument that the front offices of those teams focused too much on paying offensive players over defensive players.

But in terms of how the teams play, we're just not playing a style that suppresses production compared to those two teams. Marner just had a career year playing Berube hockey and has extremely good defensively for years. EP played at a 100+ point pace when Tochett took over the team and brought in a defensive structure and then followed that up with an 89 point season in Tochett's first full year. He's also been very good defensively for years. Nothing about those players/coaches/teams suggests that they can't thrive offensively for a team that plays with solid defense-first structure.

Years ago, it may have been true that we would expect new guys to see a dip in production when joining the Blues, but that is not the case under Monty (and I don't think was the case under Berube either).
 
What would it take to get Ryan McCleod out of Buffalo?? 25 yr old, 6’3” 190 with speed to burn. 20 goals, 33 assists in 79 games this season. RFA next year.

It’s really going to depend on what deal he signs.

McLeod previously has been forceful using the rules to get outcomes he wants.

He started his career behind the oilers elite guys - a role that would hold any young center back.

The Sabres seemed to give him some of the top 6 minutes you’d guess he wants. He did well. Will the Sabres be offering him a deal that gives him those minutes next year? Does McLeod get a deal that walks him to free agency?

I’ve got no reason to think he wants to leave the Sabres except for the fact that he hasn’t signed. He’s so close to becoming a UFA.

Right now if I go to “Sabres depth chart” on google they’re putting McLeod as the Sabres 1C on multiple sites. Is he going to be paid as a 1C? Are they willing to offer him term as a top 6 center? Or is it a scenario that he wants ufa and that’s where he’s going to steer the process? If so - do the Sabres have to move him or lose him for nothing? We’ll find out this offseason.
 
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Do you disagree that Thomas produced at a 95 point pace this season? It's just silly to imply our system is comparable to something like Hitch's system. Even when Oshie went to Washington, he had a modest increase of around a 5 point pace.
I don't disagree because that's an objective statistic. Just like I can look up and say that Thomas had 32 points in 34 games from when Monty was hired and the 4 Nations break, then had 40 points in 26 games after that. Not sure what point you're trying to make about a point-pace. I'm also not comparing Monty's system to Hitchcock's. I'm not talking about a 60-point TJ Oshie either. For whatever reason that I cannot follow, you are.

I was making a generalization about offensive output across teams in the league. My opinion is that STL sacrifices some offense to the extent that defense is paramount. I'm not saying that a Monty or Berube system suppresses offensive production. But there is a difference between teams that need to score 4+ goals to win and other structures that focus on defense first then break out. But then you're ignoring the fact that I mentioned there are other elite players that drive up point production. My opinion is that if EP were in STL, he would not be a 100-point player, assuming he could even get back to that.

This has devolved into a conversation that's not about the content of a hypothetical trade proposal, so that's the pin in this discussion for me.
 
Larkin is still very much my dream target. I don't think that Detroit will let him go and Yzerman's public comments following Larkin's certainly had a 'suck it up' attitude. I still think that Yzerman would make a big offseason acquisition to placate Larkin before entertaining a trade and if push comes to shove I think that ownership would side with Larkin over Yzerman.

But if he's at all available, I hope we are making a big push for him. If Larkin is being remotely shopped, this is one of the few situations where I'd want Army coming into the conversation with an offer that could viewed as an overpay. Come out of the gate with a good enough offer to give Yzerman the justification to quietly try to get a haul from another no-leaks GM instead of shopping him around the league and inevitably fueling trade rumors.

I've said it before, but I'd be happy to build a package around Schenn + Dvorsky to give Detroit short term and long term pieces to plug the hole they'd create by moving Larkin.

Schenn's obviously a downgrade from Larkin, but there is no scenario where they bring back a center in the deal who is equivalent to Larkin in the short term. Schenn would at least be a great veteran leader at the position who can soak up top 6 minutes and mentor young centers. Dvorsky adds to their 2 good center prospects to increase the chances of developing two legit top 6 centers in the next few years. I'd add to that and I'd be happy to eat one of their bad contracts to give them more cap flexibility to address other needs.
 
Larkin is still very much my dream target. I don't think that Detroit will let him go and Yzerman's public comments following Larkin's certainly had a 'suck it up' attitude. I still think that Yzerman would make a big offseason acquisition to placate Larkin before entertaining a trade and if push comes to shove I think that ownership would side with Larkin over Yzerman.

But if he's at all available, I hope we are making a big push for him. If Larkin is being remotely shopped, this is one of the few situations where I'd want Army coming into the conversation with an offer that could viewed as an overpay. Come out of the gate with a good enough offer to give Yzerman the justification to quietly try to get a haul from another no-leaks GM instead of shopping him around the league and inevitably fueling trade rumors.

I've said it before, but I'd be happy to build a package around Schenn + Dvorsky to give Detroit short term and long term pieces to plug the hole they'd create by moving Larkin.

Schenn's obviously a downgrade from Larkin, but there is no scenario where they bring back a center in the deal who is equivalent to Larkin in the short term. Schenn would at least be a great veteran leader at the position who can soak up top 6 minutes and mentor young centers. Dvorsky adds to their 2 good center prospects to increase the chances of developing two legit top 6 centers in the next few years. I'd add to that and I'd be happy to eat one of their bad contracts to give them more cap flexibility to address other needs.

I agree but what about petterson? my concern is that he has such a huge cap hit that at that point it would be better to just use that cap space on a Dman like Dobson or something similar. Opinions?
 
Larkin is still very much my dream target. I don't think that Detroit will let him go and Yzerman's public comments following Larkin's certainly had a 'suck it up' attitude. I still think that Yzerman would make a big offseason acquisition to placate Larkin before entertaining a trade and if push comes to shove I think that ownership would side with Larkin over Yzerman.

But if he's at all available, I hope we are making a big push for him. If Larkin is being remotely shopped, this is one of the few situations where I'd want Army coming into the conversation with an offer that could viewed as an overpay. Come out of the gate with a good enough offer to give Yzerman the justification to quietly try to get a haul from another no-leaks GM instead of shopping him around the league and inevitably fueling trade rumors.

I've said it before, but I'd be happy to build a package around Schenn + Dvorsky to give Detroit short term and long term pieces to plug the hole they'd create by moving Larkin.

Schenn's obviously a downgrade from Larkin, but there is no scenario where they bring back a center in the deal who is equivalent to Larkin in the short term. Schenn would at least be a great veteran leader at the position who can soak up top 6 minutes and mentor young centers. Dvorsky adds to their 2 good center prospects to increase the chances of developing two legit top 6 centers in the next few years. I'd add to that and I'd be happy to eat one of their bad contracts to give them more cap flexibility to address other needs.
If we did a deal like that, I'd try like hell to get one of their dmen added and make for a true homerun play. Buium/Wallinder...obviously we'd be adding some.

Det/Buf/NJ are likely to prioritize adding some grit and grind to the team/system. NYI/Van both look to be flirting with re-build/whatever. Amongst those teams, there are some interesting trade candidates and packages. We aren't perfect fits with all of those teams, but there is some degree of alignment.
 
If we did a deal like that, I'd try like hell to get one of their dmen added and make for a true homerun play. Buium/Wallinder...obviously we'd be adding some.

Det/Buf/NJ are likely to prioritize adding some grit and grind to the team/system. NYI/Van both look to be flirting with re-build/whatever. Amongst those teams, there are some interesting trade candidates and packages. We aren't perfect fits with all of those teams, but there is some degree of alignment.
Have no idea who would be available, but for a true 2C or 2RD in the age range we want, all of Dvorsky, Jiricek, Stancl, Neighbours, Buch, Faulk and our 1st round in 2025 are on the table. While he pisses me off to no end, Kyrou is also available, but only in the right situation.

I’d like to see Larkin or McCleod centering Kyrou and Holloway. However, if moving Kyrou is how you get there, we have plenty of top 6 wingers to help replace part of his production.
 
I agree but what about petterson? my concern is that he has such a huge cap hit that at that point it would be better to just use that cap space on a Dman like Dobson or something similar. Opinions?
I'm not interested in Petey for the price that Vancouver would almost certainly demand to trade him. Vancouver isn't going to retain the amount of salary needed for me to be comfortable giving up a major haul of assets. And they also don't have any incentive to trade him for anything less than a haul of assets.

I'd be very willing to take him for a low-ball offer that doesn't include our highest-value prospects/players, but I think Vancouver would be insane to move him for such a deal.
 
I'm not interested in Petey for the price that Vancouver would almost certainly demand to trade him. Vancouver isn't going to retain the amount of salary needed for me to be comfortable giving up a major haul of assets. And they also don't have any incentive to trade him for anything less than a haul of assets.

I'd be very willing to take him for a low-ball offer that doesn't include our highest-value prospects/players, but I think Vancouver would be insane to move him for such a deal.
Yeah. As it's been discussed with him in the past, his salary doesn't really scare me with how the cap is going to raise, but it's the assets that they'd want. I'd have a fair amount of confidence that he slides in at a 85-95 point pace, so him as a player doesn't scare, but like you say, it's the trade assets. If Vancouver is just looking to make a deal and we'd get him at a discount, then fine, but I'm not expecting Vancouver to do that. I really don't know what Vancouver is going to do. I think they know Quinn isn't staying their long-term, so they are in a weird position.
 
If we did a deal like that, I'd try like hell to get one of their dmen added and make for a true homerun play. Buium/Wallinder...obviously we'd be adding some.

Det/Buf/NJ are likely to prioritize adding some grit and grind to the team/system. NYI/Van both look to be flirting with re-build/whatever. Amongst those teams, there are some interesting trade candidates and packages. We aren't perfect fits with all of those teams, but there is some degree of alignment.
I don't see any incentive for Detroit to do that. They don't need to include a prospect to get a haul for Larkin.

Getting Larkin would very much be a 'true homerun play.' He's one of the 25 best centers in the world and I think most would have him in the 15-20 range. He's locked in to a reasonable number for 6 more seasons (his age 29-34 seasons). He's a lock-it-in 30+ goal, 70+ point player despite getting some of the most difficult/defensive usage of any top 6 center in the league. Elite at the faceoff dot. And unlike Thomas, he is a lefty.

Thomas-Larkin would be the best top 6 center duo in the history of the franchise.

If moved, Larkin is going to return multiple high-value assets on his own. There is no reason for them to include their own high-value asset alongside him. Trying to get a high-end prospect along with him would have been like trying to get Buffalo to include a high end prospect in our deal for ROR. It just doesn't make any sense for them.
 
I don't see any incentive for Detroit to do that. They don't need to include a prospect to get a haul for Larkin.

Getting Larkin would very much be a 'true homerun play.' He's one of the 25 best centers in the world and I think most would have him in the 15-20 range. He's locked in to a reasonable number for 6 more seasons (his age 29-34 seasons). He's a lock-it-in 30+ goal, 70+ point player despite getting some of the most difficult/defensive usage of any top 6 center in the league. Elite at the faceoff dot. And unlike Thomas, he is a lefty.

Thomas-Larkin would be the best top 6 center duo in the history of the franchise.

If moved, Larkin is going to return multiple high-value assets on his own. There is no reason for them to include their own high-value asset alongside him. Trying to get a high-end prospect along with him would have been like trying to get Buffalo to include a high end prospect in our deal for ROR. It just doesn't make any sense for them.
Better than Federko- Gilmour duo?
 
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Yeah. As it's been discussed with him in the past, his salary doesn't really scare me with how the cap is going to raise, but it's the assets that they'd want. I'd have a fair amount of confidence that he slides in at a 85-95 point pace, so him as a player doesn't scare, but like you say, it's the trade assets. If Vancouver is just looking to make a deal and we'd get him at a discount, then fine, but I'm not expecting Vancouver to do that. I really don't know what Vancouver is going to do. I think they know Quinn isn't staying their long-term, so they are in a weird position.
I think that their best bet is to do very little this summer and pray that a summer of non-rehab-limited training leads to Petey looking more like his old self next year. Make sure that the vast majority of Petey's minutes come while Hughes is also on the ice to boost his numbers as much as possible. If the team isn't in the playoff picture by February, then start exploring the trade market for literally everyone on the roster. If the team surprises and is in the playoff picture then let them have their run and then sell hard in the summer of 2026.
 
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I agree but what about petterson? my concern is that he has such a huge cap hit that at that point it would be better to just use that cap space on a Dman like Dobson or something similar. Opinions?

EP's cap hit is a massive issue for me. He would require a premium payment (no he wouldn't be a cap dump - we can wish, but he would still be viewed as a top 15-20 center by most GMs). I would rather allocate that money to another position (#3 RHD, with upside) or a true 2nd line center.

I view Larkin and EP as great assets, but not a need. If would be great if we added them, but I would rather spend the assets on other holes.
 
I think that their best bet is to do very little this summer and pray that a summer of non-rehab-limited training leads to Petey looking more like his old self next year. Make sure that the vast majority of Petey's minutes come while Hughes is also on the ice to boost his numbers as much as possible. If the team isn't in the playoff picture by February, then start exploring the trade market for literally everyone on the roster. If the team surprises and is in the playoff picture then let them have their run and then sell hard in the summer of 2026.
Agreed. I think they make some moderate moves like replacing Boeser, and next season will help them figure out how to handle Hughes and Pettersson. Can they still build around Pettersson? Is Hughes truly destined for Jersey? Do you move both for a haul and start over again?
 
I don't see any incentive for Detroit to do that. They don't need to include a prospect to get a haul for Larkin.

Getting Larkin would very much be a 'true homerun play.' He's one of the 25 best centers in the world and I think most would have him in the 15-20 range. He's locked in to a reasonable number for 6 more seasons (his age 29-34 seasons). He's a lock-it-in 30+ goal, 70+ point player despite getting some of the most difficult/defensive usage of any top 6 center in the league. Elite at the faceoff dot. And unlike Thomas, he is a lefty.

Thomas-Larkin would be the best top 6 center duo in the history of the franchise.

If moved, Larkin is going to return multiple high-value assets on his own. There is no reason for them to include their own high-value asset alongside him. Trying to get a high-end prospect along with him would have been like trying to get Buffalo to include a high end prospect in our deal for ROR. It just doesn't make any sense for them.
Probably a good point when you're talking about a high end player like Larkin - I was leaning on the idea that they're truly logjammed on D, with lots of same-same in a division that's more and more resembling the physical WC style. One of them is likely to move this year for some help. Sometimes it's easier to make trades like that happen in a larger framework, but perhaps when you're talking someone of Larkin's caliber, it's a moot point.
 
My somewhat realistic and ideal summer is probably trading for a somewhat higher end C and signing Fabbro as the RD target. The glass half-full approach with Holloway's injury has been that it reminded us that while Schenn has improved on his overall game compared to last season, he's still not a #2 C without someone like Holloway driving the line.

I'm hesitant to say what I'd trade or who I'd target, I think we need to see how the playoffs finish and we start hearing about plans from other teams to see who are plausible targets.
 

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