I think the potential is something like:
Missouri has a tax code that’s trending in the direction a Marner would like. We’re close-ish to contention. If we moved Kyrou we could maintain most of our identity while eating marners big cap hit.
Toronto imo will have a plan to protect themselves and likely deal Marner in a sign and trade prior to July 1 if it becomes clear that he’s going to market. In an effort similar to Torontos reported Rantanen Marner offer - they’d perhaps look at hockey trades. With Kyrou as an offer, perhaps we’re a fit. There will have been months of time where these discussions could have occurred - whether it’s Toronto seeing what the market is - or teams calling Toronto trying to get into position in the event there is a transaction. None of this should be a surprise or unplanned.
I think marners camp would benefit from the space that a hockey trade transaction creates, allowing Marner to get the big ufa deal without instant cap emergency on his new teams books. Very few teams can casually add 14 mil, so I think Marner would be incentivized/know he has to do a hockey trade sign and trade. I’d also imagine it allows teams who need to move a guy the avenue they need, which is more buyers to Torontos (and marners) table, meaning Toronto would want the hockey trade - lots of other reasons for them too such as filling their depth chart with a scoring winger. Lastly, all it takes is one - I’d have to guess that some team will look to nab Marner before everybody can, so I think you’ll have teams motivated to do this too.
Until I hear somebody like Friedman or strick or jr say we’re out like Tavares I think there’s a small outside chance it happens and that it happens prior to July 1 and it costs us Kyrou if we’re the team that wins the ordeal. I’m like… 50% expecting a Toronto extension, 50% expecting a surprise deal to somebody announced a few days before July with a pretty small chance that we’re the team. I think if you start thinking about places Marner could go and you add in that there may be a sign and trade where a player(s) can be cleared from the books then a lot of possibilities open up.