2023-24 Player Point Predictions

[Kegs]

Interesting (and scary) to see people picking Zacha to regress points-wise. Curious as to the rationale?

I figured he'd have a full year with Pasta and that should only boost his numbers, as compared to last year when he spent the first part of it bouncing around from line to line (230+ minutes away from Pasta).

I think he will score more goals. He will be shooting more. Roughly the same points. Some of my point totals where rounded down to make math easier

 

[PlayMakers]

Thought I'd go back and compare my projections for next year to our pre-deadline team...

Forwards:
David Pastrnak: 40-50-90 vs Pasta 61-52-113
Brad Marchand: 25-50-75 vs Marchand 21-46-67
Pavel Zacha: 20-50-70 vs Zacha 21-36-57
Jake DeBrusk: 30-30-60 vs DeBrusk 35-29-64 (pace)
Charlie Coyle: 20-40-60 vs Bergeron 27-31-58
James Van Riemsdyk: 15-25-40 vs Krejci 16-40-56
Jesper Boqvist: 15-25-40 vs Hall 22-28-48 (pace)
Morgan Geekie: 15-20-35 vs Coyle 16-29-45
Trent Frederic: 15-20-35 vs Frederic 17-14-31
Jakub Lauko: 10-10-20 vs 4-3-7 (23 games)
Patrick Brown: 5-15-15 vs Nosek 7-11-18
Milan Lucic: 10-10-20 vs Foligno 10-16-26
Aj Greer: 5-5-10 vs Greer 5-7-12

Defense:
Charlie McAvoy: 10-50-60 vs McAvoy 9-55-64 (pace)
Hampus Lindholm: 10-40-5 vs Lindholm 10-43-53
Matt Grzelcyk: 5-30-35 vs Grzelcyk 5-23-28 (pace)
Kevin Shattenkirk: 5-30-35 vs Clifton 5-18-23
Brandon Carlo: 5-15-20 vs Carlo 3-13-16
Derek Forbort: 5-10-15 vs Forbort 8-10-18 (pace)
Ian Mitchell: 3-7-10 vs Zboril 1-3-4 (23 games)

36 less goals, I think.

 

[Patdud]

ill breakdown lines I think we will see as well (consider rough pace numbers)

Merkulov - 20/30/50 (PP2)
Zacha - 25/55/80 (PP1)
Pastrnak - 60/45/105 (PP1)

Marchand - 30/55/85 (PP1)
Coyle - 20/30/50 (PP2)
DeBrusk - 35/35/70 (PP2)

van Riemsdyk - 25/25/50 (PP1)
Geekie - 15/30/45 (PP2)
Boqvist - 10/25/35

Lucic - 5/15/20
Frederic - 15/20/35
Lauko - 10/15/25

Lindholm - 10/35/45
McAvoy - 15/55/70 (PP2)

Grezlcyk - 5/25/30
Carlo - 5/15/20

Forbort - 5/5/10
Shattenkirk - 15/35/50 (PP1)


I know Merkulov riding shotgun with Zacha/Pasta seems crazy but Idk. I also know he can be the Pasta on pp2, firing one timers from the right circle.

 

[Sheppy]

That Shattenkirk number seems like it's pretty "out there"

 

[NDiesel]

ill breakdown lines I think we will see as well (consider rough pace numbers)

Merkulov - 20/30/50 (PP2)
Zacha - 25/55/80 (PP1)
Pastrnak - 60/45/105 (PP1)

Marchand - 30/55/85 (PP1)
Coyle - 20/30/50 (PP2)
DeBrusk - 35/35/70 (PP2)

van Riemsdyk - 25/25/50 (PP1)
Geekie - 15/30/45 (PP2)
Boqvist - 10/25/35

Lucic - 5/15/20
Frederic - 15/20/35
Lauko - 10/15/25

Lindholm - 10/35/45
McAvoy - 15/55/70 (PP2)

Grezlcyk - 5/25/30
Carlo - 5/15/20

Forbort - 5/5/10
Shattenkirk - 15/35/50 (PP1)


I know Merkulov riding shotgun with Zacha/Pasta seems crazy but Idk. I also know he can be the Pasta on pp2, firing one timers from the right circle.

I like the optimism but Shattenkirk and JVR numbers stand out as a bit high...I guess if they both stick on PP1 all year it could make sense though. If Merkulov played in that spot I could see 20/30 being attainable.

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

ill breakdown lines I think we will see as well (consider rough pace numbers)

Merkulov - 20/30/50 (PP2)
Zacha - 25/55/80 (PP1)
Pastrnak - 60/45/105 (PP1)

Marchand - 30/55/85 (PP1)
Coyle - 20/30/50 (PP2)
DeBrusk - 35/35/70 (PP2)

van Riemsdyk - 25/25/50 (PP1)
Geekie - 15/30/45 (PP2)
Boqvist - 10/25/35

Lucic - 5/15/20
Frederic - 15/20/35
Lauko - 10/15/25

Lindholm - 10/35/45
McAvoy - 15/55/70 (PP2)

Grezlcyk - 5/25/30
Carlo - 5/15/20

Forbort - 5/5/10
Shattenkirk - 15/35/50 (PP1)


I know Merkulov riding shotgun with Zacha/Pasta seems crazy but Idk. I also know he can be the Pasta on pp2, firing one timers from the right circle.

Just FYI, that adds up to twenty (20) more goals than the Bruins had last year.

 

[Dennis Bonvie]

ill breakdown lines I think we will see as well (consider rough pace numbers)

Merkulov - 20/30/50 (PP2)
Zacha - 25/55/80 (PP1)
Pastrnak - 60/45/105 (PP1)

Marchand - 30/55/85 (PP1)
Coyle - 20/30/50 (PP2)
DeBrusk - 35/35/70 (PP2)

van Riemsdyk - 25/25/50 (PP1)
Geekie - 15/30/45 (PP2)
Boqvist - 10/25/35

Lucic - 5/15/20
Frederic - 15/20/35
Lauko - 10/15/25

Lindholm - 10/35/45
McAvoy - 15/55/70 (PP2)

Grezlcyk - 5/25/30
Carlo - 5/15/20

Forbort - 5/5/10
Shattenkirk - 15/35/50 (PP1)


I know Merkulov riding shotgun with Zacha/Pasta seems crazy but Idk. I also know he can be the Pasta on pp2, firing one timers from the right circle.

Kind of high expectations for Shattenkirk, eh?

 

[PB37]

DeBrusk ( 35/25 ) Zacha ( 20/50 ) Pasta ( 50/50 )

Marchand ( 25/45 ) Coyle ( 15/40 ) JVR ( 20/20 )

Frederic ( 20/20 ) Poitras ( 15/25 ) Geekie ( 10/30 )

Lucic ( 15/10 ) Beecher ( 10/15 ) Lauko ( 5/10 )

Heinen ( 15 points )
Providence callups ( 10 points )


Grz ( 5/20 ) McAvoy ( 10/60 )

Lindholm ( 15/40 ) Carlo ( 5/15 )

Forbort ( 5/10 ) Shattenkirk ( 5/15 )

Mitchell ( 10 points )
Providence callups ( 15 points )


Ullmark: ( 30/10/5 )
Swayman ( 20/10/5 )

 

[weaponomega]

David Pastrnak: 54 - 48- 102
Brad Marchand: 27 - 45 - 72
Pavel Zacha: 17 - 35 - 52
Jake Debrusk: 28 - 23 - 51
Charlie Coyle: 15 - 22 - 37
James Van Riemsdyk: 22 - 13 - 35
Jesper Boqvist: 25 - 25 - 50 <- Breakout candidate
Morgan Geekie: 6 - 19 - 25
Trent Frederic: 11 - 8 - 19
Jakub Lauko: 9 - 5 - 14
Patrick Brown 5 - 10 - 15
Milan Lucic: 10 - 10 - 20

Charlie McAvoy: 7 - 45 - 52
Hampus Lindholm: 12 - 32 - 44
Matt Grzelcyk: 8 - 30 - 38
Kevin Shattenkirk: 6 - 24 - 30
Brandon Carlo: 2 - 20 - 22
Derek Forbort: 6 - 6 - 12
Jakub Zboril: 0 - 4 - 4

 

[Patdud]

Just FYI, that adds up to twenty (20) more goals than the Bruins had last year.

I said rough numbers!!!

Kind of high expectations for Shattenkirk, eh?

I see both him and JVR on PP 1 with Marchand and Pastrnak for damn near 82 games so I dont think itll be too far off.

 

[Dennis Bonvie]

I said rough numbers!!!


I see both him and JVR on PP 1 with Marchand and Pastrnak for damn near 82 games so I dont think itll be too far off.

Shattenkirk has always been on the Power Play yet he's only reached 50 points once in 13 seasons and that was 8 years ago.

 

[Sheppy]

If Shattenkirk scores 15 goals and accumulates 50 points I'll tattoo Danton Heinen above my heart.

(Please don't hold me to that)

 

[Beesfan]

Forwards:
David Pastrnak: 47-54-101
Brad Marchand: 26-53-79
Pavel Zacha: 21-43-64
Jake DeBrusk: 28-26-54
Charlie Coyle: 14-31-44
James Van Riemsdyk: 16-27-43
Morgan Geekie: 17-28-45 (breakout)
Trent Frederic: 22-20-42
Jakub Lauko: 8-11-19
Jesper Boqvist: 11-17-28
Patrick Brown: 7-10-17
Milan Lucic: 14-18-32
Aj Greer: 9-10-19

Defense:
Charlie McAvoy: 16-55-71
Hampus Lindholm: 12-45-57
Matt Grzelcyk: 8-30-38
Kevin Shattenkirk: 4-19-23
Brandon Carlo: 5-21-26
Derek Forbort: 4-13-17
Jakob Zboril: 3-10-13

Goaltending:
Linus Ullmark: 29-13-4, 2.38 GAA, .919 SV%
Jeremy Swayman: 25-8-3, 2.26 GAA, .923 SV%

 

[Patdud]

Shattenkirk has always been on the Power Play yet he's only reached 50 points once in 13 seasons and that was 8 years ago.

research is for the weak.

 

[Dennis Bonvie]

research is for the weak.

There is much truth in that.

 

[bb74]

Forwards:
David Pastrnak: 41-39-80
Brad Marchand: 26-41-67
Pavel Zacha: 17-44-61
Jake DeBrusk: 26-22-48
Charlie Coyle: 18-29-47
James Van Riemsdyk: 16-19-35
Morgan Geekie: 15-23-38
Trent Frederic: 14-18-32
Jakub Lauko: 9-12-21
Jesper Boqvist: 9-14-23
Patrick Brown:4-11-15
Milan Lucic: 7-13-20
Aj Greer: 6-9-15

Defense:
Charlie McAvoy:8-46-54
Hampus Lindholm: 9-37-46
Matt Grzelcyk: 5-22-27
Kevin Shattenkirk: 7-28-35
Brandon Carlo: 3-19-22
Derek Forbort: 2-11-13
Jakob Zboril: 1-6-7

Goaltending:
Linus Ullmark: 27-18-7, 2.45 GAA, .921 SV%
Jeremy Swayman: 17-10-3, 2.46 GAA, .915 SV%

I believe everyone is going to take a real hit on production now they are going C by committee and Line 1 is going to get massive D focus by the opposition. Won't be playing with a lead nearly as much and they have the full bottom 6 being a question mark. Skin of the teeth season for a WC slot IMO.

 

[ON3M4N]

Now that the roster has been finalized and no one had Poitras, what do folks want to predict for him on his rookie season?

 

[ON3M4N]

Now that the roster has been finalized and no one had Poitras, what do folks want to predict for him on his rookie season?

I'm going to go with 15G/30A for the kid in his rookie season.

 

[PlayMakers]

I might have to amend my Coyle prediction if Monty isn't going to use him on the PP.

You can't get 55-60 points without PP time.

 

[PlayMakers]

Now that the roster has been finalized and no one had Poitras, what do folks want to predict for him on his rookie season?

12-24-36.

 

[yazmybaby]

12-24-36.

14-28- 42

 

[KillerMillerTime]

I might have to amend my Coyle prediction if Monty isn't going to use him on the PP.

You can't get 55-60 points without PP time.

Is a potential Coyle problem appearing? Little PP time apparently and I can see Montgomery plugging Poitras in a 2C role. How happy will he be if that happens?

 

[McGarnagle]

Lucic 69 goals

 

[PB37]

updated mine with the new players before the season kicks off!

 

[PlayMakers]

Is a potential Coyle problem appearing? Little PP time apparently and I can see Montgomery plugging Poitras in a 2C role. How happy will he be if that happens?

He seems like a good soldier. He hasn’t had any issue being the 3C in previous seasons.