The Athletic's Scott Wheeler offers some final takeaways on the 2022 NHL Draft class.
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Thoughts on the goalies
After there were no goalies on my draft board for the first time in the five years I’ve been doing this work at The Athletic, I promised to dig into them before the draft.
The top two goalie prospects in this draft are believed to be Finnish product Topias Leinonen (who posted a .916 save percentage with JYP’s junior team, was fine but not a standout at U18 worlds, and struggled in his brief introductions to the pro game in Mestis and Liiga) and Prince George Cougars netminder Tyler Brennan, who performed well on a subpar team in the WHL. Of the two, I’m partial to Brennan, but I wouldn’t take either where they’re likely to be selected (second/third round).
Leinonen is huge and measured in at 6-foot-5 and 233 pounds at the combine, which will be appealing to some teams but I’d argue that it raises red flags about just how heavy he is. Only three of the 119 goalies who played in the NHL this season were heavier (Anthony Stolarz, Robin Lehner and Frederik Andersen, and they’re 28, 30 and 31 years old, respectively). It’s likely that Leinonen will get bigger and it could really slow him down (he already struggles at times with his movement). He’d need a stronger track record of success to warrant a selection as a blocking-style goalie who could work closely with a goalie coach and a fitness/nutrition guru. He may still work out under the right guidance, but that’s a late-round gamble for me given his track record.
Brennan played his best hockey in Prince George’s first-round sweep to the superior Portland Winterhawks, taking the net from fellow 2022 prospect Ty Young after Young was yanked in the opener. He stopped 28 of 29 shots in relief and then played to 2-1, 2-0 and 2-1 losses in games 2, 3 and 4, surrendering just seven goals on 153 shots (.954 save percentage). He’s another big kid (6-4) but he’s leaner (185 pounds) than Leinonen, he moves better in the net and his technical skills (hands, feet, tracking) grade out higher. He’s also older (born just a couple weeks from 2021 eligibility).
If my list ran longer than 100, the truth is that neither likely would have even been the first goalie to make an appearance (though Brennan would have been in the conversation for second).
The goalies I’m fondest of in this age group are actually its little guys. Hugo Hävelid, the 5-10 star of Sweden’s gold medal-winning U18 team (he was named the tournament’s top goaltender) and Linkoping’s championship-winning J20 club (he was named the league’s top goaltender). He’s my favorite of the bunch.
Other names to watch are …
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Brett Brochu, the 5-11 overager (barely, because he was born just a week from 2022 eligibility) who won the OHL’s Goaltender of the Year Award this season after posting a .911 save percentage across 43 games for the London Knights.
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Sergei Ivanov, the 5-11, unranked-by-NHL-Central-Scouting backstop of the SKA’s MHL-champion junior club, with his .928 regular season and .930 playoffs.
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Thomas Milic, the 6-foot re-entry goaltender of the WHL-finalist Seattle Thunderbirds.
Each of those kids has a compelling draft case.
Thunderbirds general manager Bill La Forge told me it would be a “travesty” if Milic didn’t get picked in his second go-around after his brilliant playoff performance (.925 across 25 games).
“You look at Dustin Wolf, you look at Juuse Saros, Alexander Georgiev. This guy is like those guys. He’s that good. If some team doesn’t take him with a seventh-rounder, I don’t understand it,” La Forge said.