This is kind of a silly contradictory statement.
On one hand there's no evidence that the pitching will regress upwards to be closer to its projected performance level (ie actually be decent)
On the other hand we know Pillar is going to regress towards his historical/projected performance level (ie get worse).
You can't just say that one type of regression isn't going to happen and another one is entirely to better frame your argument that this is hopeless and the team sucks. Either regression happens and performance tends towards sustainable levels or it doesn't and what we see now is a truer picture of the players going forward than what was projected to begin the season.
I hear what you're saying and agree, it's contradictory, but it's hard to have much hope for this team.
This is the second straight year Estrada looks bad. Stroman is hurt. Happ is what he is (a 3rd/4th starter). This is only Sanchez's second full season as a Major League starter, who knows what he really is. And Garcia is a typical 5th starter.
Maybe it's just the hopeless feeling of watching them blow yet another winnable game.
It's really hard to look at this team and be confident. I mean - even if the starters do perform closer to what was expected - where is the offense going to come from?
Look at the players they are relying on to get better:
Martin and Morales are complete disasters.
Smoak looks like last year was a fluke.
Donaldson is obviously hurt.
Hernandez is a raw prospect who might be a find, but he also might be a Colby Rasmus type.
Travis is in the minors.
I could go on, but the point is: management's patch work lineup and band aid solutions don't appear to be very effective (Solarte is an exception).
I'm not there yet, but I'm pretty close to being of the mind that it's time to blow the veterans off this roster and give those games to the young guys and see what happens.
The last thing I want to see is a season wasted giving at bats to Morales and others in a vain attempt to contend when the prudent long-term move would be to take a step back and play the newcomers and let them get some experience.