Sens of Anarchy
Registered User
- Jul 9, 2013
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Not really risky. If it's 7th overall this year vs say 5% chance of Jack Hugues/45% top 10 pick/55% outside top ten next year, I take my chances on the second scenario.
Look historically at picks 5-10 it's really not that good. Not much better than later in the first round.
just look at 2016 alone
1 | 6 | Calgary | Matthew Tkachuk | L | London Knights [OHL] | 141 | 37 | 60 | 97 | 166 | 2017-18 |
1 | 7 | Arizona | Clayton Keller | C | U.S. National Development Team [USHL] | 68 | 17 | 31 | 48 | 22 | 2017-18 |
1 | 8 | Buffalo | Alexander Nylander | R | Mississauga Steelheads [OHL] | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2016-17 |
1 | 9 | Montreal | Mikhail Sergachev | D | Windsor Spitfires [OHL] | 69 | 8 | 23 | 31 | 32 | 2017-18 |
1 | 10 | Colorado | Tyson Jost | C | Penticton Vees [BCHL] | 55 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 2017-18 |
in 2015 passing after 5 would mean passing on 7. Provorov, 8. Werenski, 10. Rantanen...
Point is there is risk in every draft.. I would not want to pass on these guys knowing what we know now; And there are a lot more picks after these guys in the first that are worse rather than better
No guarantees.
Look at the top picks in 2014
1 | 1 | Florida | Aaron Ekblad | D | Barrie Colts [OHL] | 291 | 50 | 75 | 125 | 193 | 2017-18 |
1 | 2 | Buffalo | Sam Reinhart | C | Kootenay Ice [WHL] | 233 | 56 | 70 | 126 | 44 | 2017-18 |
1 | 3 | Edmonton | Leon Draisaitl | C | Prince Albert Raiders [WHL] | 253 | 71 | 126 | 197 | 68 | 2017-18 |
1 | 4 | Calgary | Sam Bennett | C | Kingston Frontenacs [OHL] | 226 | 40 | 46 | 86 | 161 | 2017-18 |
1 | 5 | NY Islanders | Michael Dal Colle | L | Oshawa Generals [OHL] | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2017-18 |
Top 5 vs 6-10 ; Pretty sure Nylander and Ehlers #8 and #9 would be wanted more than a few of these top 5 picks.
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