GDT: #18 ⋅ ANA @ CHI ⋅ 5:30 PM PST

JAHV

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A couple of fun notes:
  • The Ducks have a better points percentage than half of the Central Division
  • The Ducks would be in a playoff spot (by points percentage) if they were in the Eastern Conference
I know this is just a hot streak fluke, but it's kind of fun to be happy watching hockey for a whole week!
 

Hamilton Bulldogs

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I can understand the frustration with how McTavish has played this year, but he’s 21 years old on an ELC. He’s proven he can be better. Just give it some time. He’ll figure it out. It’s a little early to write the kid off.
You could also classify a handful of players that were in the lineup tonight as deadweight over the past few years. The key is getting everyone going at the same time.
 
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Aug 11, 2011
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Now we're hoping to become the worst of the mediocre teams. Hooray!
Are we the world’s biggest slider or the world’s smallest burger?

Bedard seems to own the Ducks. 5 points out of his 15 total this season were against the Ducks. At least they got the last laugh with Leo scoring the GW goal.
His passing and vision are crazy. But he’s so tiny and slow.
 
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Rooch

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I hate to admit it because I really dislike our coach and GM, but the chemistry on this team is beginning to emerge. Three straight wins doesn't undo the flaming turd of the first dozen games or so but its hard to deny what we've seen on this trip. They're gelling, finally. I feel this weird emotion in my chest and it think it's...hope?
 
Aug 11, 2011
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I hate to admit it because I really dislike our coach and GM, but the chemistry on this team is beginning to emerge. Three straight wins doesn't undo the flaming turd of the first dozen games or so but its hard to deny what we've seen on this trip. They're gelling, finally. I feel this weird emotion in my chest and it think it's...hope?
We’re still only firing on a couple cylinders in terms of the kids playing effectively, which is supposed to be the point. No progress so far from Minty/Mac/Carlsson, a few signs of life from LaCombe, Cutter, and Z, major steps by Zell and Dostal.
 
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JAHV

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We’re still only firing on a couple cylinders in terms of the kids playing effectively, which is supposed to be the point. No progress so far from Minty/Mac/Carlsson, a few signs of life from LaCombe, Cutter, and Z, major steps by Zell and Dostal.
I would quibble on Mintyukov. He's probably been the Ducks' best defenseman, all things considered. He's the only one averaging more than 20 minutes per night, he's playing in all situations, and he's got the best even strength expected GF% among all Ducks defensemen*. His defensive numbers aren't quite as good as last season, but he's also being trusted with more defensive zone starts than last year (and more than any other d-man on the team this season, even Gudas). Despite that, he's been generating more offense than last season and more offense than any Ducks' defenseman* this season.

Maybe he hasn't taken that really noticeable leap forward, but I think he's quietly becoming the solid two-way, all situations top pairing d-man that the team needs.

*Except for the five games from Vaakanainen, may he rest in peace.
 

ZegrassyKnoll

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To me, Minty is playing just as well as last year except now he is playing a couple more minutes a game and against other teams’ top lines - so even if he doesn’t look flashier or more dominant, I still think he has actually taken a decent step forward. And he’s getting PK time.
 
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Aug 11, 2011
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So are the stats wrong? All of them point to improvement this year in his overall play. The eye test agrees for me as well. He hasn't been as flashy this season, but he's been way more consistently solid.
Not all of them, as you said yourself. You’re choosing to prioritize the ones that match your gut, which is ultimately what most people do with low salience stats like xGF. I don’t see him generating much and I don’t think he’s done well with the extra responsibilities he’s been given, even though I think it’s essential that he be given them.
 

JAHV

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Not all of them, as you said yourself. You’re choosing to prioritize the ones that match your gut, which is ultimately what most people do with low salience stats like xGF. I don’t see him generating much and I don’t think he’s done well with the extra responsibilities he’s been given, even though I think it’s essential that he be given them.
The phrase "in his overall play" is important to that sentence. While his defensive numbers are worse, the context is that he's starting much more in the defensive zone than last year and than anyone else on the team. And he's generating more offense than last year despite that increase in defensive zone starts (on a per 60 basis), which has led to his xGF% increasing.

The one alarming thing in his statistical record I've seen is a sharp increase in giveaways this season. I don't want to handwave that away as unimportant because it's not, but those giveaways are probably because he's being asked to handle the puck more and, while they've certainly contributed to the worse defensive numbers, they haven't kept him from better shot generation.

He's not lighting the world on fire by any means, but the stats and eye test both say he's taken a step forward.
 
Aug 11, 2011
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Am Yisrael Chai
The phrase "in his overall play" is important to that sentence. While his defensive numbers are worse, the context is that he's starting much more in the defensive zone than last year and than anyone else on the team. And he's generating more offense than last year despite that increase in defensive zone starts (on a per 60 basis), which has led to his xGF% increasing.

The one alarming thing in his statistical record I've seen is a sharp increase in giveaways this season. I don't want to handwave that away as unimportant because it's not, but those giveaways are probably because he's being asked to handle the puck more and, while they've certainly contributed to the worse defensive numbers, they haven't kept him from better shot generation.

He's not lighting the world on fire by any means, but the stats and eye test both say he's taken a step forward.
The stats are ambiguous and we’re using a different eye test. To me, he’s shrunken his game to adapt to a more overwhelming reality. When/if he learns to apply his skills in a new role, I’ll agree there’s been a step. Until then it’s just developmental churn.
 

Static

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I wish mintyukov had the mentality in the offensive zone that zellweger does.

An interesting thing I've thought about is that I feel as if mintyukov and carlsson especially haven't shown a lot of chemistry with anyone on the roster.

One thing I wonder about them is that I feel they think the game better than almost anyone on the team, but their relative passivity makes them rely on their teammates more than their talent would suggest.

This makes them seem ineffective in that they just aren't aggressive enough and they make plays to spots that aren't there (that should be!) because our other guys aren't on the same page. They either need smarter teammates (who we don't currently employ) or a different mentality to take that next step. I'd bet both would absolutely flourish on a better team, but I'm worried they might not be suited to carry lesser players.
 

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