VinikToWinIt
Number 1 Bull****
Subtract the home numbers from the total above; teams that win Game 1 on the road are 123-96 (.562) in the series.
Whoops, didn't see you had already posted the home numbers. Thanks!
Subtract the home numbers from the total above; teams that win Game 1 on the road are 123-96 (.562) in the series.
What I said is not a quantifiable observation. Data has nothing to do with it, other than possibly giving a partial explanation for why the data looks like it does.
Data also isn't the only basis for analysis. Just one of many.
Anecdata is the best data.
Something doesn't add up here, how could there possibly be 216 1st round game 1s and 184 game 1s in round 2? Shouldn't it be exactly half?Subtract the home numbers from the total above; teams that win Game 1 on the road are 123-96 (.562) in the series.
Teams winning Game 1 in the first round [four round era] are 136-80 (.630), with home G1 winners going 91-38 (.705); teams winning Game 1 in the conference semis are 129-55 (.701), with home G1 winners going 93-31 (.750).
Something doesn't add up here, how could there possibly be 216 1st round game 1s and 184 game 1s in round 2? Shouldn't it be exactly half?
Doesn't winning game 1 also gain you momentum, confidence, and puts a lot of pressure on your opponent?
I used to like that fact but having thought about it more, it's not that surprising.
If you won the second game you are either tied or winning 2-0. Being up 2-0 implies you're most probably the better team and you definitely have a much easier road to advancing. Tying the series 1-1 gains you momentum, confidence, and puts a lot of pressure on the opponent.
It makes perfect sense that history supports Game 2 winners.
Message to TB: 2-0 is the worst lead in hockey.
I'd be interested to see how much closer that gets to .500 after the series is tied, because I'm sure it skyrockets at 2-0.
Message to TB: 2-0 is the worst lead in hockey.
Surprisingly 15% of teams I think still lose going up 2-0...that may be the highest out of the NHL, NBA, MLB. Even more odd, I think its an even split 7% each way going up 2-0 at home and on the road. One would think only 2% of teams going up 2-0 on the road have lost the series but its equally as likely statistically to lose going up 2-0 as it goes going up 2-0 at home. I don't think any NBA team has gone up 2-0 on the road and lost the series and only 3 MLB teams have done so and lost the series, one of which was robbed by a historically bad call, so NHL again proves its a very tough sport come playoff time, even up 3-0 there are no guarantees.
I'd like to see the data where the high-seeded team gets in an 0-2 hole. At that point, you'd expect them to lose significantly more often even in spite of being seeded higher.