WARNING: The following contains material consisting of the statistical construct Wins Above Replacement. If such a topic is not your cup of tea, there are countless other threads to spend your time perusing.
If you are still reading there is a decent chance you have seen me ramble on about WAR before, but if not the link above should fill you in. The numbers for all forwards seasons from 2007-08 to 2011-12 have been crunched and I would like to share the results.
First off, here are the top 15 individual seasons from that time frame (all columns except WAR are measured in "goals" not wins):
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[/TBODY]Do note that it is highly unlikely that WAR is accurate down to the last decimal point. Zach Parise at 7.4 or Daniel Sedin's 7.2, for example, is a toss up.
Next up is the cumulative leaders in each component of WAR. In this case, the units are again "goals" not "wins".
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Finally, here are the 25 most (and 5 least) valuable forwards over that time frame.
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[/TBODY]If you found this interesting, I have some more yearly best and worst data here: Forwards WAR Results from 2007-12.
During the all star break, I also ran the numbers for forwards this season. Here is the top 10:
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If you are still reading there is a decent chance you have seen me ramble on about WAR before, but if not the link above should fill you in. The numbers for all forwards seasons from 2007-08 to 2011-12 have been crunched and I would like to share the results.
First off, here are the top 15 individual seasons from that time frame (all columns except WAR are measured in "goals" not wins):
Player | Shooting | Passing | Defence | Faceoffs | Penalty Differential | Rep. | WAR |
Alex Ovechkin (07-08) | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 9 |
Evgeni Malkin (11-12) | 27 | 24 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 14 | 8.8 |
Alex Ovechkin (09-10) | 30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8.5 |
Henrik Sedin (09-10) | 5 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8.2 |
Pavel Datsyuk (07-08) | 7 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 8 |
Sidney Crosby (09-10) | 24 | 18 | -1 | 2 | -1 | 15 | 7.8 |
Henrik Zetterberg (07-08) | 22 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 7.6 |
Zach Parise (08-09) | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7.4 |
Pavel Datsyuk (08-09) | 10 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7.3 |
Daniel Sedin (10-11) | 17 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7.2 |
Nicklas Backstrom (09-10) | 8 | 29 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 15 | 7.1 |
Jarome Iginla (07-08) | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 |
Alex Ovechkin (08-09) | 31 | 7 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 |
Joe Thornton (07-08) | 2 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6.7 |
Claude Giroux (11-12) | 8 | 24 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6.7 |
Next up is the cumulative leaders in each component of WAR. In this case, the units are again "goals" not "wins".
Shooting | Passing | Defence | ||||||
Best | Alex Ovechkin | 129 | Henrik Sedin | 153 | Pavel Datsyuk | 28 | ||
Steven Stamkos | 81 | Joe Thornton | 118 | Dainius Zubrus | 16 | |||
Marian Gaborik | 73 | Nicklas Backstrom | 99 | Johan Franzen | 16 | |||
Jeff Carter | 72 | Ryan Getzlaf | 90 | Daymond Langkow | 16 | |||
Jarome Iginla | 65 | Sidney Crosby | 87 | Jonathan Toews | 16 | |||
Ilya Kovalchuk | 65 | Pavel Datsyuk | 86 | Patrik Elias | 15 | |||
Rick Nash | 64 | Evgeni Malkin | 85 | Ryan Getzlaf | 13 | |||
Sidney Crosby | 63 | Daniel Sedin | 78 | Patrice Bergeron | 12 | |||
Phil Kessel | 62 | Martin St.Louis | 73 | Daniel Sedin | 11 | |||
Corey Perry | 60 | Mike Ribeiro | 66 | Ryan Kesler | 11 | |||
Worst | Craig Adams | -31 | Eric Nystrom | -33 | Jeff Carter | -15 | ||
Travis Moen | -34 | Cal Clutterbuck | -35 | Ethan Moreau | -15 | |||
Jerred Smithson | -38 | Travis Moen | -35 | Scott Hartnell | -16 | |||
Scott Gomez | -40 | David Clarkson | -38 | Eric Staal | -17 | |||
Samuel Pahlsson | -46 | Jerred Smithson | -39 | Joffrey Lupul | -20 |
Faceoffs | Penalty Differential | Replacement | ||||||
Best | Manny Malholtra | 13 | Dustin Brown | 34 | Martin St.Louis | 78 | ||
David Steckel | 11 | Martin St.Louis | 19 | Ilya Kovalchuk | 76 | |||
Patrice Bergeron | 11 | Pavel Datysuk | 17 | Jarome Iginla | 74 | |||
Antoine Vermette | 11 | Zach Parise | 15 | Anze Kopitar | 74 | |||
Jonathan Toews | 10 | Jarome Iginla | 13 | Alex Ovechkin | 73 | |||
Jarret Stoll | 9 | Erik Cole | 13 | Eric Staal | 73 | |||
Rod Brind`amour | 9 | Darren Helm | 12 | Joe Thornton | 71 | |||
Paul Gaustad | 9 | Anze Kopitar | 12 | Patrick Marleau | 70 | |||
Ryan Kesler | 9 | Evgeni Malkin | 12 | Dany Heatley | 70 | |||
Boyd Gordon | 7 | Rick Nash | 11 | Corey Perry | 69 | |||
Worst | Olli Jokinen | -6 | Todd Bertuzzi | -11 | ||||
Evgeni Malkin | -7 | Ryan Getzlaf | -12 | |||||
Mike Ribeiro | -7 | Jarret Stoll | -12 | |||||
Eric Staal | -7 | Mike Knuble | -12 | |||||
Andrew Cogliano | -8 | Chris Neil | -13 |
Finally, here are the 25 most (and 5 least) valuable forwards over that time frame.
Rank | Player | 07-12 WAR |
1 | Alex Ovechkin | 32.7 |
2 | Pavel Datsyuk | 30.6 |
3 | Daniel Sedin | 27.7 |
4 | Sidney Crosby | 27.6 |
5 | Evgeni Malkin | 27.5 |
6 | Henrik Sedin | 26.8 |
7 | Joe Thornton | 26.3 |
8 | Henrik Zetterberg | 25.6 |
9 | Jonathan Toews | 23 |
10 | Martin St.Louis | 23 |
11 | Patrick Kane | 21.6 |
12 | Anze Kopitar | 21.5 |
13 | Nicklas Backstrom | 21.1 |
14 | Corey Perry | 19.8 |
15 | Marian Hossa | 19.7 |
16 | Jason Spezza | 19.6 |
17 | Marian Gaborik | 19.2 |
18 | Patrick Marleau | 18.7 |
19 | Eric Staal | 18.6 |
20 | Rick Nash | 18.5 |
21 | Ilya Kovalchuk | 18.3 |
22 | Joe Pavelski | 18.3 |
23 | Steven Stamkos | 18.3 |
24 | Patrik Elias | 18 |
25 | Ryan Kesler | 17.9 |
07-12 WAR | |
Colton Orr | -4.9 |
Raitis Ivanans | -4 |
Jerred Smithson | -3.9 |
Ethan Moreau | -3.6 |
Travis Moen | -3.4 |
During the all star break, I also ran the numbers for forwards this season. Here is the top 10:
WAR | |
DAVID.PASTRNAK (BOS) | 4.9 |
NATHAN.MACKINNON (COL) | 4.9 |
ARTEMI.PANARIN (NYR) | 4.8 |
CONNOR.MCDAVID (EDM) | 4.7 |
BRAD.MARCHAND (BOS) | 4.5 |
AUSTON.MATTHEWS (TOR) | 4.2 |
LEON.DRAISAITL (EDM) | 4.1 |
JONATHAN.HUBERDEAU (FLA) | 4 |
NIKITA.KUCHEROV (T.B) | 3.6 |
EVGENI.MALKIN (PIT) | 3.6 |
If you have any questions or data requests, I am happy to oblige.