Canada keeps cranking up the number of first-gen immigrants along with temporary residents, that means the slice of the media pie for hockey domestically keeps shrinking in relative terms because ice hockey is played in so few countries internationally. And with more money and infrastructure getting parked in non-hockey sports that translates into less kids being interested in the sport long term.
The country is also gripping with a cost-of-living crisis - or bonanza, if you're one of the benefactors who get to deflect blame - primarily driven by real estate. Canadians in general have seen their budgets quickly swallowed up by housing costs way more than any other inflation factor. Even people who can afford to buy homes that suit their need have most of their income tied up in mortgages. So increasingly, it's people who got to buy in early or are otherwise mortgage free with valuable real estate who can comfortably afford the sport. In that sense, hockey is more affordable than ever for the well-to-do. But the gap between them and everyone else has vastly widened over the past decade or two.
Then there's the climate change factor, which is slowly reducing naturally available ice for people to use for recreational purposes. I think it's worse for other skating sports because hockey still requires a lot of other infrastructure to get going, but the point still stands that kids will be less inclined to participate in a sport they can't easily get into.
So I think the golf analogy is good; hockey is descending into being a sport that just can't be practiced at a competitive level for the vast majority and said majority is losing interest in it. I don't think the NHL in Canada is under threat any time soon, but within a generation you'll probably see a lot more credible competition for pro ice hockey from other sports.
The country is also gripping with a cost-of-living crisis - or bonanza, if you're one of the benefactors who get to deflect blame - primarily driven by real estate. Canadians in general have seen their budgets quickly swallowed up by housing costs way more than any other inflation factor. Even people who can afford to buy homes that suit their need have most of their income tied up in mortgages. So increasingly, it's people who got to buy in early or are otherwise mortgage free with valuable real estate who can comfortably afford the sport. In that sense, hockey is more affordable than ever for the well-to-do. But the gap between them and everyone else has vastly widened over the past decade or two.
Then there's the climate change factor, which is slowly reducing naturally available ice for people to use for recreational purposes. I think it's worse for other skating sports because hockey still requires a lot of other infrastructure to get going, but the point still stands that kids will be less inclined to participate in a sport they can't easily get into.
So I think the golf analogy is good; hockey is descending into being a sport that just can't be practiced at a competitive level for the vast majority and said majority is losing interest in it. I don't think the NHL in Canada is under threat any time soon, but within a generation you'll probably see a lot more credible competition for pro ice hockey from other sports.