Ovechkin milestone thread - 850 and Beyond!

[Mulletman]

Because a lot can happen in 10+ years. Assuming Ovi breaks the record (next year most likely -- about a 99% chance barring any catastrophic injuries) and gets 900 goals and stops Matthews would need to average over 50 goals a season for the next ten years (counting this upcoming one) to catch him.

That's ten years without significant injures, player strikes/lockouts, etc. Though really with that long of a time-frame it could just be cumulative effect of minor injuries that slow him (Matthews) down and he ends up missing. That length of time it's not even a given Matthews will get 700 goals (roughly double his current total).

Could Matthews do it? Absolutely, but talking about it right now just comes across to me as an annoying Matthews fanboi trying to steal some of Ovi's thunder. Really shouldn't talk about Matthews and the record until five years from now at least.

Dude, you should really learn how to do math! Matthews is 27 this year and has 368 career goals right now. If he scores and even 50 goals this year he has 418 goals after this season. Matthews still has another 13 seasons to play after that, before he's 40 like Ovechkin will be once he plays his last year of his current contract. If Matthews then averages just 39 goals for those 13 years until the end of his age 40 season, Matthews will end his career with 925 goals. Very doable for a guy like Matthews in this day and age!

 

[Hanji]

Dude, you should really learn how to do math! Matthews is 27 this year and has 368 career goals right now. If he scores and even 50 goals this year he has 418 goals after this season. Matthews still has another 13 seasons to play after that, before he's 40 like Ovechkin will be once he plays his last year of his current contract. If Matthews then averages just 39 goals for those 13 years until the end of his age 40 season, Matthews will end his career with 925 goals. Very doable for a guy like Matthews in this day and age!

Matthews averaging 39 goals a year for the next 13 seasons is possible, not very doable.
He’ll need a lot of luck (no injuries, work stoppages, etc.). He’s not exactly someone i’d call an amazingly durable player either. And that’s on top of the normal aging curve that Ovechkin defies.

Anyways, it’s a hypothetical at this point because it’s so far in the future. If Matthews is still producing 8-9 years from now, then it can be taken seriously.