Some draft misses by Pracey: You would think that someone so in love with small skill guys would have picked Johnny Hockeyâ„¢ over Nermark in 2011r4. Also Shaw over Muers the next round. And Palat going 4th last was a miss by everyone.
(The following is according to one study based on players drafted 1988-97, and my expectations of our prospects)
Overall, the percentage of players drafted that play significant time n the NHL is 23.2%. Pracey drafted 26 players. Of those, 4 have already made it (15.3%), two more will (adding Picks and Bournival brings it to 23.0%), and another three have a decent shot (Elliot, Siemens and Hishon: 34.6%). Take out 2009, those numbers become 19 picks, 1 already (5.3%), 2 will (15.8%) and 2 maybe (26.3%).
Round by round:
A player selected in the first round has a 60% chance of playing 200+ NHL games. For Pracey, so so, as two of his 1sts have not made it (though may still, and injury shouldn't be held against him).
For 2nd round, the chance drops to 27.3%, and here, Pracey does well, with 1/4 already there, and one probable and one more possible.
Third round averages 25.7%, and Pracey falters a bit, but still fine, with Barrie being enough to carry it at 1/3 (and Bournival should get there too, making it well above average).
Rounds 4-6 sit around 13.9%, meaning at least 1, maybe 2 of the 11 he picked in those rounds should be showing real promise...and we have maybe 1 and outside shot at a 2nd.
Round 7 is a 7% crap shoot, and with Colin Smith, I think we have a slight shot at a last round win (even if we don't need any more of that type of player).
He did not do as poorly as some would like to believe. Outside of 2012, he only picked 4 centers in 3 years. Two of them now center our top lines, and one other possibly could be if it weren't for an injury. What the hell he was thinking in 2012 by going 5/5 on centers is anyone's guess...maybe he lost a bet, or was winning one by doing that. He also drafted 8 D in 3 years, along with 4W and 4G. Maybe did not need that may G, but Roykic have drafted one is each of their drafts as well.
But overall, if you take out 2009, Pracey looks like he stunk, although for some, it is still too early to tell. If you take out 2012, he drafts balanced, but leans small. He does not do well with D, aside from Barrie and maybe Elliott. At G, he did fine, with the highest pick doing best, and little expectation from 5th round and later.
That 2012 year is tough to explain though. That cost him the job, along with ignoring Europe.