rubenflamshep
Registered User
Hey folks,
For the last couple months I've been tooling around with visualizing player statistics normalized by age. What drew me to this was issues with how we look at draft prospects - at any given point in time, a player born in January can be effectively a year older than a player born in December of that same year, even though these players are ostensibly in the same draft class/birth year (there's a well documented bias towards players born earlier in the year).
scoutthe.xyz is my attempt to correct for that. Now we can normalize player metrics for their age down to the day. For example we can see that Jason Robertson had a similar OHL point production to Max Domi (taken 27 picks earlier):
We can also express metrics as percentiles against every other player's performance at that exact age. To that end we can see that Alex DeBrincat's OHL point production percentile is not that far off of Mattew Tkachuk's (99.5 vs 99.8; Tkachuk would be taken 33 spots earlier that draft):
I've also tried to highlight the top players for their age. The scout league page for the NHL has a lot of the usual suspects but helps reinforce the notion that a lot of players are playing the best hockey anyone has ever seen for a player their age in the last 20 years (ravg = rolling average):
Anyways, I'd love to put this tool out there and get any feedback y'all can levy my way. I think it's a cool way of thinking about analytics and I suspect there are some people out there that share that sentiment!
For the last couple months I've been tooling around with visualizing player statistics normalized by age. What drew me to this was issues with how we look at draft prospects - at any given point in time, a player born in January can be effectively a year older than a player born in December of that same year, even though these players are ostensibly in the same draft class/birth year (there's a well documented bias towards players born earlier in the year).
scoutthe.xyz is my attempt to correct for that. Now we can normalize player metrics for their age down to the day. For example we can see that Jason Robertson had a similar OHL point production to Max Domi (taken 27 picks earlier):
We can also express metrics as percentiles against every other player's performance at that exact age. To that end we can see that Alex DeBrincat's OHL point production percentile is not that far off of Mattew Tkachuk's (99.5 vs 99.8; Tkachuk would be taken 33 spots earlier that draft):
I've also tried to highlight the top players for their age. The scout league page for the NHL has a lot of the usual suspects but helps reinforce the notion that a lot of players are playing the best hockey anyone has ever seen for a player their age in the last 20 years (ravg = rolling average):
Anyways, I'd love to put this tool out there and get any feedback y'all can levy my way. I think it's a cool way of thinking about analytics and I suspect there are some people out there that share that sentiment!
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