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GDT: USA (5) vs. Canada (4) • Gold Medal Game • Jan. 5 • Part 1

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What's interesting is that the oddsmakers have Canada as heavy favourites (around 1.5). I feel the line should be Canada as a slight favourite only (1.75-1.8). It's good value to bet on the US at 2.7 but as a Canadian I'm not going to do that.
 
sanitysrequiem said:
What's interesting is that the oddsmakers have Canada as heavy favourites (around 1.5). I feel the line should be Canada as a slight favourite only (1.75-1.8). It's good value to bet on the US at 2.7 but as a Canadian I'm not going to do that.
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Where do you see USA at 2.7 OT included..?
 
It's pretty unbelievable how Canadian goaltenders **** the bed year after year in this tourny. If Hart doesn't play good hockey, they are done.

If he plays well they have a chance but I would bet the US wins. Homer voted for the poll
 
I can see another big game from the Dubois-Roy-Gauthier if they're skating together again. As per their profiles on eliteprospects.com they have an average height of 6'3 and 2/3'' and weigh of 212lbs.

That's some pretty scary size for teenagers. If they come out flying they could walk all over some of the smaller American blueliners like Fitzgerald, Ahcan and Fox.
 
3-2 Canada is my prediction. Flip it and it would not shock me at all though. USA was better in the game against Canada, and Canada was better in the semi-finals.
 
mazmin said:
I can see another big game from the Dubois-Roy-Gauthier if they're skating together again. As per their profiles on eliteprospects.com they have an average height of 6'3 and 2/3'' and weigh of 212lbs.

That's some pretty scary size for teenagers. If they come out flying they could walk all over some of the smaller American blueliners like Fitzgerald, Ahcan and Fox.
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These kids all play college hockey, not juniors. They've seen big forwards before. And all 3 of those guys made the team, in part, because they have a skill that does a great job of neutralizing the forecheck: breakout passing.
 
Russian people cheering for Canada)

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The game is basically a tossup and may well be determined by puck luck.

Obviously, the team with the goalie who plays best is most likely to win. However, looking at the performance of the goaltenders over a period of time, not just the tournament games, there is no actual way of predicting which of Hart or Parsons is likely to be hot today. It could be either. Right now, I would trust Woll over Ingram, but I think both will be confined to opening and closing the gate at the end of the bench. I am sure both of them can carry out their duties.

In theory, home ice should be an advantage to Canada but that may not be the case in World Juniors as much as it is in the NHL. Does anyone know the history of the results when the host team is playing in the gold medal game?

A matter which may be closely related to home ice is that Canada came out flat at the beginning of the round robin game. I do not think this was because they were not up for the game. Just the opposite, IMO. I think they were so up for the game that they came out tight. If this happens again, the US will very likely win.


Both teams are packed with high draft choices, Canada somewhat more so. But this doesn't mean much at this stage of the players' careers. The draft choices are made on the basis of future upside in the NHL, not present performance in junior hockey. In any case, the Americans may have an advantage in team play because so many of them played together at some point in USNDTP and are familiar with a common system. Team play trumps individual skill.

I think the American forwards have been playing better than Canada's, at least until the Canada-Sweden game. Keller, Greenway and White have often verged on the dominant. (I know they are not a line. I'm saying that they have been the best US forwards, IMO.). Particularly without Myers, the Canadian blueline will have trouble containing the massive Greenway whose prospect stock is rising like a bullet. However, I think Chabot has clearly been the best blueliner in the tournament and the US blueline does have some size challenged Dmen who could be a bit exposed if the Canadian forwards forecheck like they did against Sweden.

As everyone has been noting, it is hard to beat a good team twice in a tournament. That doesn't mean it is impossible, cf US-Russia. Like that game, it may come to OT and then to a shootout.

My heart says Canada, of course, but my head says, "Who knows?"
 
Rooting for USA, but think it will be a Canada win. I think the Americans are spent after yesterday.

Certainly hope Kunin, Greenway, (and Kaprizov (RUS) & Erickson-EK (SWE)) have great showings today.
 
The US beating both Russia and Canada twice in a short tourney seems unlikely.

Looking forward to a great game. Hope both teams and goalies play their best tonight.
 
SabresSharks said:
The US beating both Russia and Canada twice in a short tourney seems unlikely.

Looking forward to a great game. Hope both teams and goalies play their best tonight.
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Unlikely but definitely possible. This USA team is really good. You could sense the familiarity on the team since the chemistry clicked right away. Only problem is that it seemed Canada has finally started to click too. They shouldn't be as flat as they were on NYE.
 
I'm in the states but love Canadian hockey and culture.

Who should I root for and why?
 
Canada may have the advantage that Hart should be a little more rested than Parsons, and also the US rode Jones and McAvoy pretty hard in the Russia game with both guys ~30 minutes toi. We will see if that makes a difference.
 
Canada has a good shot. I'd like to see Roy, Dubois and Gauthier go up against Greenway with Juulsen on the back end, they're as good a bet as any to contain that line.
 
Canada's performance vs Sweden has me confident going into this game. They need a strong start, get possession of the puck, shots on goal and knock the US players on their butts. That said, I don't see the US getting deterred by much, even if they were to go down a couple of goals. Going to be a close game, I think.
 
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